Sunday, November 17, 2024 36 games

Today: winner picks 25 of 30 right · line picks 0 of 5 right · total picks 3 of 8 right. Pick: who we think wins (Banker very likely, Solid likely). Line: the bookmaker's handicap. FLA -9.5 means Florida must win by 10 or more to cover. Prediction: our expected winning margin. Line pick: shown only where history shows an edge. Underdogs getting 12 to 17.5 points covered 53% of the time over the last 7 seasons; other lines are close to a coin flip, so no pick. Result: what happened against the line. Total pick: UNDER at neutral-site games (went under 51.8% over 7 seasons), OVER when the spread is 20+ (went over 52.3%). These are small edges, below the ~52.4% normally needed to profit. Model total: our computer's projected combined points (from each team's speed and points per possession) and its over/under call against the O/U line. Tested on 37,000 past games it was right about 50.4% of the time. Not betting advice.

Time / Status	Away		Home		Pick	Line	Prediction	Line pick	Result	O/U	Total pick	Model total	Prev. meetings
Final	Canisius	69	@ W Michigan	92	WMU Solid 69% ✓	WMU -5.5			WMU won by 23 · covered	142.5			Never met
Final	New Mexico	71	@ 22St John's	85	SJU Solid 75% ✓	SJU -7.5			SJU won by 14 · covered	162.5			Never met
Final	GA Southern	87	vs William & Mary	102		GASO -2.5			GASO lost by 15 · not covered	161.5	UNDER 161.5 · 51.8% (189) ✗		Never met
Final	Nebraska	74	vs Saint Mary's	77	SMC Solid 62% ✓	SMC -3.5			SMC won by 3 · not covered	139.5	UNDER 139.5 · 51.8% (151) ✗		Never met
Final	Princeton	68	@ Merrimack	57	PRIN Solid 69% ✓	PRIN -5.5			PRIN won by 11 · covered	135.5			Never met
Final	Campbell	86	@ Navy	66	NAVY Solid 72% ✗	NAVY -6.5			NAVY lost by 20 · not covered	140.5			1 met · NAVY 0 · CAM 1
Final	Stonehill	74	vs Lindenwood	75		STO -2.5			STO lost by 1 · not covered	135.5	UNDER 135.5 · 51.8% (149) ✗		Never met
Final	Clemson	71	@ Boise St	84	BOIS Solid 62% ✓	BOIS -3.5			BOIS won by 13 · covered	144.5			1 met · BOIS 0 · CLEM 1
Final	Harvard	66	@ Colorado	88	COLO Banker 91% ✓	COLO -14.5		HARV +14.5 · covers 53% ✗	COLO won by 22 · covered	143.5			3 met · COLO 2 · HARV 1
Final	Coppin St	63	@ Miami	93	MIA Banker 98% ✓	MIA -37.5			MIA won by 30 · not covered	141.5	OVER 141.5 · 52.3% (156) ✓		1 met · MIA 1 · COPP 0
Final	Manhattan	82	@ FDU	85		MAN -1.5			MAN lost by 3 · not covered	154.5			4 met · FDU 2 · MAN 2
Final	Jax State	71	@ Coastal	53		JXST -2.5			JXST won by 18 · covered	133.5			2 met · CCU 1 · JXST 1
Final	NC A&T	82	@ The Citadel	73		CIT -2.5			CIT lost by 9 · not covered	147.5			3 met · CIT 2 · NCAT 1
Final	NC Central	75	@ Winthrop	77	WIN Solid 81% ✓	WIN -9.5			WIN won by 2 · not covered	147.5			2 met · WIN 0 · NCCU 2
Final	Lipscomb	61	@ Western KY	66	WKU Solid 69% ✓	WKU -5.5			WKU won by 5 · not covered	159.5			Never met
Final	Austin Peay	68	@ 11Tennessee	103	TENN Banker 98% ✓	TENN -27.5			TENN won by 35 · covered	141.5	OVER 141.5 · 52.3% (171) ✓		3 met · TENN 2 · APSU 1
Final	Chattanooga	87	@ SE Missouri	82	UTC Solid 78% ✓	UTC -8.5			UTC won by 5 · not covered	145.5			3 met · SEMO 2 · UTC 1
Final	Texas Southern	82	@ Samford	97	SAM Banker 87% ✓	SAM -12.5		TXSO +12.5 · covers 53% ✗	SAM won by 15 · covered	160.5			2 met · SAM 2 · TXSO 0
Final	New Hampshire	72	vs Holy Cross	74	HC Solid 66% ✓	HC -4.5			HC won by 2 · not covered	141.5	UNDER 141.5 · 51.8% (146) ✗		10 met · HC 4 · UNH 6
Final	UC Davis	65	@ Stanford	79	STAN Banker 89% ✓	STAN -13.5		UCD +13.5 · covers 53% ✗	STAN won by 14 · covered	148.5			8 met · STAN 7 · UCD 1
Final	Liberty	68	@ Charleston	47	COFC Solid 69% ✗	COFC -5.5			COFC lost by 21 · not covered	141.5			1 met · COFC 1 · LIB 0
Final	Utah	73	vs Mississippi St	78	MSST Solid 75% ✓	MSST -7.5			MSST won by 5 · not covered	148.5	UNDER 148.5 · 51.8% (151) ✗		1 met · MSST 1 · UTAH 0
Final	LSU N Orleans	62	@ Robert Morris	73	RMU Solid 81% ✓	RMU -9.5			RMU won by 11 · covered	141.5			Never met
Final	Montana St	78	@ Denver	79	MTST Solid 69% ✗	MTST -5.5			MTST lost by 1 · not covered	148.5			6 met · DEN 4 · MTST 2
Final	Ecclesia	42	@ Southern	131	SOU Banker 95% ✓								6 met · SOU 6 · ECCL 0
Final	Sam Houston	85	@ Lamar	72	SHSU Solid 72% ✓	SHSU -6.5			SHSU won by 13 · covered	148.5			38 met · LAM 10 · SHSU 28
Final	Troy	61	@ Oregon	82	ORE Banker 87% ✓	ORE -12.5		TROY +12.5 · covers 53% ✗	ORE won by 21 · covered	146.5			Never met
Final	Santa Barbara	64	@ San José St	59	UCSB Solid 72% ✓	UCSB -6.5			UCSB won by 5 · not covered	144.5			2 met · SJSU 0 · UCSB 2
Final	Trinity Chrstn	52	@ Illinois St	107									Never met
Final	Sacred Heart	70	@ Brown	89	BRWN Solid 78% ✓	BRWN -8.5			BRWN won by 19 · covered	145.5			9 met · BRWN 6 · SHU 3
Final	Cal Poly	82	@ E Washington	78	EWU Solid 66% ✗	EWU -4.5			EWU lost by 4 · not covered	158.5			3 met · EWU 3 · CP 0
Final	St Thomas	66	@ Arizona St	81	ASU Banker 87% ✓	ASU -12.5		STMN +12.5 · covers 53% ✗	ASU won by 15 · covered	145.5			Never met
Final	Tarleton St	41	@ 12Baylor	104	BAY Banker 98% ✓	BAY -31.5			BAY won by 63 · covered	143.5	OVER 143.5 · 52.3% (145) ✓		1 met · BAY 1 · TAR 0
Final	California	71	@ USC	66	USC Solid 72% ✗	USC -6.5			USC lost by 5 · not covered	153.5			44 met · USC 25 · CAL 19
Final	Weber St	68	@ Hawai'i	73	HAW Solid 69% ✓	HAW -5.5			HAW won by 5 · not covered	134.5			Never met
Final	UMass Lowell	69	@ Washington	74	WASH Solid 85% ✓	WASH -11.5			WASH won by 5 · not covered	153.5			Never met