NCAA Predictor
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Saturday, November 16, 2024 82 games

Today: winner picks 56 of 70 right · line picks 3 of 9 right · total picks 9 of 18 right. Pick: who we think wins (Banker very likely, Solid likely). Line: the bookmaker's handicap. FLA -9.5 means Florida must win by 10 or more to cover. Prediction: our expected winning margin. Line pick: shown only where history shows an edge. Underdogs getting 12 to 17.5 points covered 53% of the time over the last 7 seasons; other lines are close to a coin flip, so no pick. Result: what happened against the line. Total pick: UNDER at neutral-site games (went under 51.8% over 7 seasons), OVER when the spread is 20+ (went over 52.3%). These are small edges, below the ~52.4% normally needed to profit. Model total: our computer's projected combined points (from each team's speed and points per possession) and its over/under call against the O/U line. Tested on 37,000 past games it was right about 50.4% of the time. Not betting advice.

Time / StatusAwayHomePickLinePredictionLine pickResultO/UTotal pickModel totalPrev. meetings
Final Presbyterian 67 @ Kennesaw St 85 KENN Solid 66% ✓ KENN -4.5 KENN won by 18 · covered 158.5 1 met · KENN 1 · PRES 0
Final NJIT 69 @ Morgan St 81 MORG Solid 72% ✓ MORG -6.5 MORG won by 12 · covered 143.5 1 met · MORG 0 · NJIT 1
Final Wake Forest 60 @ Xavier 75 XAV Solid 72% ✓ XAV -6.5 XAV won by 15 · covered 155.5 7 met · XAV 4 · WAKE 3
Final Wofford 35 @ 6Duke 86 DUKE Banker 98% ✓ DUKE -24.5 DUKE won by 51 · covered 148.5 OVER 148.5 · 52.3% (121) ✗ 2 met · DUKE 2 · WOF 0
Final Wagner 28 @ Seton Hall 54 HALL Banker 91% ✓ HALL -14.5 WAG +14.5 · covers 53% ✗ HALL won by 26 · covered 122.5 8 met · HALL 8 · WAG 0
Final Richmond 76 @ Bucknell 80 RICH Solid 62% ✗ RICH -3.5 RICH lost by 4 · not covered 139.5 8 met · BUCK 4 · RICH 4
Final Mercyhurst 63 @ Columbia 77 COLU Banker 89% ✓ COLU -13.5 MERC +13.5 · covers 53% ✗ COLU won by 14 · covered 145.5 Never met
Final Lafayette 71 @ Cornell 81 COR Solid 83% ✓ COR -10.5 COR won by 10 · not covered 152.5 12 met · COR 9 · LAF 3
Final Charleston So 69 vs VMI 80 CHSO Solid 62% ✗ CHSO -3.5 CHSO lost by 11 · not covered 152.5 UNDER 152.5 · 51.8% (149) ✓ 23 met · VMI 12 · CHSO 11
Final Notre Dame 84 @ Georgetown 63 ND -2.5 ND won by 21 · covered 144.5 16 met · GTWN 9 · ND 7
Final UT Martin 62 @ Longwood 64 LONG Banker 87% ✓ LONG -12.5 UTM +12.5 · covers 53% ✓ LONG won by 2 · not covered 148.5 2 met · LONG 0 · UTM 2
Final Dartmouth 50 @ Boston U 78 BU Solid 66% ✓ BU -4.5 BU won by 28 · covered 134.5 6 met · BU 4 · DART 2
Final St Mary's (MN) 59 @ UIC 117 Never met
Final Youngstown St 95 @ Syracuse 104 SYR Banker 87% ✓ SYR -12.5 YSU +12.5 · covers 53% ✓ SYR won by 9 · not covered 151.5 Never met
Final NC Wesleyan 54 @ UNC Greensboro 99 UNCG Banker 95% ✓ 2 met · UNCG 2 · NCW 0
Final La Salle 71 @ Drexel 68 LAS Solid 66% ✓ LAS -4.5 LAS won by 3 · not covered 138.5 10 met · DREX 4 · LAS 6
Final Stetson 64 @ Oklahoma 85 OU Banker 98% ✓ OU -27.5 OU won by 21 · not covered 147.5 OVER 147.5 · 52.3% (149) ✓ Never met
Final Indiana St 94 @ Ball State 84 BALL Solid 69% ✗ BALL -5.5 BALL lost by 10 · not covered 149.5 21 met · BALL 10 · INST 11
Final C Arkansas 61 @ W Illinois 63 WIU Solid 75% ✓ WIU -7.5 WIU won by 2 · not covered 135.5 3 met · WIU 3 · CARK 0
Final Misericordia 48 @ Binghamton 77 BING Banker 95% ✓ 1 met · BING 1 · MISE 0
Final SC State 62 @ Bethune 75 BCU Solid 66% ✓ BCU -4.5 BCU won by 13 · covered 149.5 38 met · BCU 20 · SCST 18
Final Saint Peter's 69 @ UMBC 61 SPU -1.5 SPU won by 8 · covered 144.5 3 met · UMBC 1 · SPU 2
Final Radford 92 @ Evansville 81 EVAN Solid 62% ✗ EVAN -3.5 EVAN lost by 11 · not covered 143.5 Never met
Final Tulsa 106 @ Missouri St 111 TLSA Solid 62% ✗ TLSA -3.5 TLSA lost by 5 · not covered 143.5 10 met · MOST 3 · TLSA 7
Final UT Rio Grande 83 vs Tennessee Tech 58 RGV Solid 75% ✓ RGV -7.5 RGV won by 25 · covered 152.5 UNDER 152.5 · 51.8% (141) ✓ 1 met · TNTC 0 · RGV 1
Final SIUE 76 vs Canisius 58 SIUE Solid 66% ✓ SIUE -4.5 SIUE won by 18 · covered 142.5 UNDER 142.5 · 51.8% (134) ✓ Never met
Final Idaho 71 @ BYU 95 BYU Banker 98% ✓ BYU -28.5 BYU won by 24 · not covered 152.5 OVER 152.5 · 52.3% (166) ✓ Never met
Final South Carolina 71 @ 16Indiana 87 IU Solid 78% ✓ IU -8.5 IU won by 16 · covered 143.5 Never met
Final Idaho St 78 @ San Diego 66 USD Solid 62% ✗ USD -3.5 USD lost by 12 · not covered 138.5 Never met
Final E Michigan 63 @ Cleveland St 71 CLE Solid 72% ✓ CLE -6.5 CLE won by 8 · covered 139.5 4 met · CLE 0 · EMU 4
Final Jackson St 81 @ Vanderbilt 94 VAN Banker 98% ✓ VAN -27.5 VAN won by 13 · not covered 151.5 OVER 151.5 · 52.3% (175) ✓ Never met
Final N'Western St 75 @ Rice 77 RICE Solid 78% ✓ RICE -8.5 RICE won by 2 · not covered 140.5 6 met · RICE 6 · NWST 0
Final SF Austin 49 @ Arkansas St 59 ARST Solid 83% ✓ ARST -10.5 ARST won by 10 · not covered 148.5 1 met · ARST 0 · SFA 1
Final Texas St 60 @ Abilene Chrstn 72 ACU -1.5 ACU won by 12 · covered 137.5 3 met · ACU 1 · TXST 2
Final Colorado St 69 vs 25Ole Miss 84 MISS Solid 69% ✓ MISS -5.5 MISS won by 15 · covered 140.5 UNDER 140.5 · 51.8% (153) ✗ 1 met · MISS 0 · CSU 1
Final Yale 56 @ Minnesota 59 MINN Solid 66% ✓ MINN -4.5 MINN won by 3 · not covered 138.5 Never met
Final AR-Pine Bluff 64 @ Incarnate Word 92 UIW Banker 91% ✓ UIW -14.5 UAPB +14.5 · covers 53% ✗ UIW won by 28 · covered 160.5 1 met · UIW 1 · UAPB 0
Final Little Rock 81 @ UTSA 64 UTSA Solid 78% ✗ UTSA -8.5 UTSA lost by 17 · not covered 154.5 1 met · UTSA 0 · LR 1
Final George Mason 77 @ East Carolina 78 GMU Solid 62% ✗ GMU -3.5 GMU lost by 1 · not covered 136.5 5 met · ECU 1 · GMU 4
Final Le Moyne 52 @ St Bonaventure 71 SBU Banker 94% ✓ SBU -17.5 LEM +17.5 · covers 53% ✗ SBU won by 19 · covered 145.5 1 met · SBU 1 · LEM 0
Final Toledo 82 @ Detroit Mercy 67 TOL Solid 85% ✓ TOL -11.5 TOL won by 15 · covered 153.5 15 met · DETM 5 · TOL 10
Final Murray St 88 @ MTSU 67 MTSU -2.5 MTSU lost by 21 · not covered 145.5 13 met · MTSU 5 · MUR 8
Final Mercer 66 @ South Alabama 75 USA Solid 69% ✓ USA -5.5 USA won by 9 · covered 152.5 1 met · USA 1 · MER 0
Final Cheyney (PA) 51 @ Delaware St 93 DSU Banker 95% ✓ 3 met · DSU 2 · CHEY 1
Final Rockford 64 @ Hou Christian 84 Never met
Final New Hampshire 63 vs Sacred Heart 80 SHU -0.5 SHU won by 17 · covered 145.5 UNDER 145.5 · 51.8% (143) ✓ 6 met · SHU 5 · UNH 1
Final Portland 63 @ Long Beach St 61 LBSU Solid 66% ✗ LBSU -4.5 LBSU lost by 2 · not covered 140.5 5 met · LBSU 0 · PORT 5
Final Miss Valley St 43 @ Texas 89 TEX Banker 98% ✓ TEX -43.5 TEX won by 46 · covered 141.5 OVER 141.5 · 52.3% (132) ✗ Never met
Final Green Bay 65 @ Providence 79 PROV Banker 92% ✓ PROV -15.5 GB +15.5 · covers 53% ✓ PROV won by 14 · not covered 144.5 Never met
Final GA Southern 89 @ Winthrop 87 WIN Solid 66% ✗ WIN -4.5 WIN lost by 2 · not covered 150.5 2 met · WIN 2 · GASO 0
Final ETSU 70 @ Davidson 76 DAV Solid 69% ✓ DAV -5.5 DAV won by 6 · covered 143.5 6 met · DAV 2 · ETSU 4
Final Oakland 57 @ 1Kansas 78 KU Banker 98% ✓ KU -27.5 KU won by 21 · not covered 146.5 OVER 146.5 · 52.3% (135) ✗ 2 met · KU 2 · OAK 0
Final Liberty 74 vs FAU 77 LIB -2.5 LIB lost by 3 · not covered 147.5 UNDER 147.5 · 51.8% (151) ✗ 2 met · FAU 1 · LIB 1
Final Bowling Green 72 @ Michigan St 86 MSU Banker 98% ✓ MSU -24.5 MSU won by 14 · not covered 151.5 OVER 151.5 · 52.3% (158) ✓ 3 met · MSU 3 · BGSU 0
Final C Connecticut 62 vs Northeastern 80 NE -2.5 NE won by 18 · covered 138.5 UNDER 138.5 · 51.8% (142) ✗ 4 met · NE 4 · CCSU 0
Final St Joseph's LI 45 @ Stony Brook 93 STBK Banker 95% ✓ 2 met · STBK 2 · SJLI 0
Final Loyola MD 57 @ VCU 83 VCU Banker 98% ✓ VCU -24.5 VCU won by 26 · covered 138.5 OVER 138.5 · 52.3% (140) ✓ 1 met · VCU 1 · L-MD 0
Final Kansas City 56 @ 14Creighton 79 CREI Banker 97% ✓ CREI -20.5 CREI won by 23 · covered 146.5 OVER 146.5 · 52.3% (135) ✗ 3 met · CREI 3 · KC 0
Final Capital 55 @ Dayton 76 Never met
Final Hofstra 75 @ UMass 71 MASS Solid 69% ✗ MASS -5.5 MASS lost by 4 · not covered 144.5 2 met · MASS 2 · HOF 0
Final Siena 60 @ UAlbany 70 UALB Solid 66% ✓ UALB -4.5 UALB won by 10 · covered 147.5 18 met · UALB 8 · SIE 10
Final Holy Cross 73 @ Brown 65 BRWN Solid 75% ✗ BRWN -7.5 BRWN lost by 8 · not covered 145.5 9 met · BRWN 2 · HC 7
Final Saint Francis 58 @ Mount St Marys 66 MSM Solid 75% ✓ MSM -7.5 MSM won by 8 · covered 141.5 41 met · MSM 29 · SFPA 12
Final Bellarmine 62 @ Marshall 83 MRSH Solid 83% ✓ MRSH -10.5 MRSH won by 21 · covered 145.5 Never met
Final S Indiana 74 @ Purdue FW 93 PFW Banker 91% ✓ PFW -14.5 USI +14.5 · covers 53% ✗ PFW won by 19 · covered 148.5 2 met · PFW 2 · USI 0
Final Central St 56 @ Wright St 92 WRST Banker 95% ✓ 1 met · WRST 1 · CNSU 0
Final NC Central 78 vs William & Mary 76 W&M Solid 66% ✗ W&M -4.5 W&M lost by 2 · not covered 150.5 UNDER 150.5 · 51.8% (154) ✗ Never met
Final LMU 71 @ Saint Louis 77 SLU Solid 72% ✓ SLU -6.5 SLU won by 6 · not covered 154.5 2 met · SLU 1 · LMU 1
Final CSU Northridge 79 @ Sacramento St 69 CSUN Solid 66% ✓ CSUN -4.5 CSUN won by 10 · covered 143.5 2 met · SAC 2 · CSUN 0
Final N Illinois 60 @ Bradley 76 BRAD Banker 96% ✓ BRAD -19.5 BRAD won by 16 · not covered 144.5 4 met · BRAD 4 · NIU 0
Final Alabama A&M 71 @ Tennessee St 81 TNST Solid 78% ✓ TNST -8.5 TNST won by 10 · covered 148.5 12 met · TNST 7 · AAMU 5
Final Norfolk St 67 @ Hampton 58 NORF Solid 66% ✓ NORF -4.5 NORF won by 9 · covered 138.5 45 met · HAMP 21 · NORF 24
Final James Madison 63 @ Towson 67 TOW -2.5 TOW won by 4 · covered 137.5 43 met · TOW 19 · JMU 24
Final FGCU 61 @ Drake 63 DRKE Solid 83% ✓ DRKE -10.5 DRKE won by 2 · not covered 129.5 Never met
Final Haskell 52 @ Oral Roberts 87 ORU Banker 95% ✓ 3 met · ORU 3 · HSKL 0
Final Omaha 73 @ Southern Utah 79 SUU Solid 75% ✓ SUU -7.5 SUU won by 6 · not covered 155.5 Never met
Final Utah Tech 69 @ Wyoming 86 WYO Solid 83% ✓ WYO -10.5 WYO won by 17 · covered 145.5 1 met · WYO 1 · UTU 0
Final Fresno St 56 @ Bakersfield 74 CSUB -1.5 CSUB won by 18 · covered 148.5 12 met · CSUB 2 · FRES 10
Final Pepperdine 62 @ UC Irvine 80 UCI Banker 93% ✓ UCI -16.5 PEPP +16.5 · covers 53% ✗ UCI won by 18 · covered 144.5 14 met · UCI 7 · PEPP 7
Final Chicago St 37 @ San Francisco 82 SF Banker 98% ✓ SF -27.5 SF won by 45 · covered 149.5 OVER 149.5 · 52.3% (119) ✗ Never met
Final Santa Clara 59 @ Nevada 85 NEV Solid 75% ✓ NEV -7.5 NEV won by 26 · covered 146.5 7 met · NEV 5 · SCU 2
Final Seattle U 84 @ UC San Diego 71 UCSD Solid 75% ✗ UCSD -7.5 UCSD lost by 13 · not covered 139.5 3 met · UCSD 0 · SEA 3