Friday, November 15, 2024 50 games

Today: winner picks 31 of 37 right · line picks 1 of 3 right · total picks 7 of 14 right. Pick: who we think wins (Banker very likely, Solid likely). Line: the bookmaker's handicap. FLA -9.5 means Florida must win by 10 or more to cover. Prediction: our expected winning margin. Line pick: shown only where history shows an edge. Underdogs getting 12 to 17.5 points covered 53% of the time over the last 7 seasons; other lines are close to a coin flip, so no pick. Result: what happened against the line. Total pick: UNDER at neutral-site games (went under 51.8% over 7 seasons), OVER when the spread is 20+ (went over 52.3%). These are small edges, below the ~52.4% normally needed to profit. Model total: our computer's projected combined points (from each team's speed and points per possession) and its over/under call against the O/U line. Tested on 37,000 past games it was right about 50.4% of the time. Not betting advice.

Time / Status	Away		Home		Pick	Line	Prediction	Line pick	Result	O/U	Total pick	Model total	Prev. meetings
Final	UT Rio Grande	86	vs Charleston So	76	RGV Solid 66% ✓	RGV -4.5			RGV won by 10 · covered	158.5	UNDER 158.5 · 51.8% (162) ✗		Never met
Final	Tennessee Tech	72	vs VMI	71	TNTC Solid 62% ✓	TNTC -3.5			TNTC won by 1 · not covered	149.5	UNDER 149.5 · 51.8% (143) ✓		Never met
Final	LSU N Orleans	54	vs Stonehill	80	NOLA Solid 62% ✗	NOLA -3.5			NOLA lost by 26 · not covered	141.5	UNDER 141.5 · 51.8% (134) ✓		Never met
Final	Holy Cross	82	vs Sacred Heart	75		SHU -2.5			SHU lost by 7 · not covered	151.5	UNDER 151.5 · 51.8% (157) ✗		15 met · SHU 7 · HC 8
Final	Virginia	70	vs Villanova	60	VILL Solid 62% ✗	VILL -3.5			VILL lost by 10 · not covered	128.5	UNDER 128.5 · 51.8% (130) ✗		3 met · VILL 2 · UVA 1
Final	William & Mary	85	@ Winthrop	86	WIN Solid 75% ✓	WIN -7.5			WIN won by 1 · not covered	158.5			Never met
Final	SIUE	79	@ W Michigan	60		WMU -2.5			WMU lost by 19 · not covered	142.5			1 met · WMU 0 · SIUE 1
Final	TCU	64	@ Michigan	76	MICH Solid 72% ✓	MICH -6.5			MICH won by 12 · covered	151.5			Never met
Final	20Florida	87	@ Florida St	74	FLA Solid 69% ✓	FLA -5.5			FLA won by 13 · covered	157.5			22 met · FSU 11 · FLA 11
Final	Monmouth	81	@ 24Rutgers	98	RUTG Banker 97% ✓	RUTG -21.5			RUTG won by 17 · not covered	147.5	OVER 147.5 · 52.3% (179) ✓		6 met · RUTG 5 · MONM 1
Final	SMU	70	@ Butler	81		SMU -1.5			SMU lost by 11 · not covered	157.5			Never met
Final	Vermont	59	@ Iona	62	UVM Solid 66% ✗	UVM -4.5			UVM lost by 3 · not covered	135.5			7 met · IONA 4 · UVM 3
Final	Temple	69	@ Boston College	72		TEM -1.5			TEM lost by 3 · not covered	144.5			2 met · BC 0 · TEM 2
Final	2Alabama	78	@ 13Purdue	87	ALA Solid 66% ✗	ALA -4.5			ALA lost by 9 · not covered	165.5			4 met · PUR 3 · ALA 1
Final	Nicholls	49	@ 17Cincinnati	86	CIN Banker 98% ✓	CIN -27.5			CIN won by 37 · covered	146.5	OVER 146.5 · 52.3% (135) ✗		Never met
Final	Fordham	76	@ Manhattan	78	FOR Solid 78% ✗	FOR -8.5			FOR lost by 2 · not covered	141.5			20 met · MAN 12 · FOR 8
Final	Loyola Chicago	73	@ Princeton	68		PRIN -1.5			PRIN lost by 5 · not covered	147.5			1 met · PRIN 0 · LUC 1
Final	UNC Wilmington	89	@ SC Upstate	85	UNCW Solid 81% ✓	UNCW -9.5			UNCW won by 4 · not covered	156.5			Never met
Final	UAB	65	@ High Point	68		HPU -2.5			HPU won by 3 · covered	158.5			Never met
Final	New Hampshire	58	@ Brown	76	BRWN Solid 78% ✓	BRWN -8.5			BRWN won by 18 · covered	147.5			12 met · BRWN 5 · UNH 7
Final	Army	88	@ Marist	91	MRST Solid 75% ✓	MRST -7.5			MRST won by 3 · not covered	131.5			11 met · MRST 4 · ARMY 7
Final	West Georgia	55	@ South Florida	74	USF Banker 95% ✓	USF -18.5			USF won by 19 · covered	153.5			Never met
Final	Maine	55	@ Quinnipiac	58	QUIN Solid 69% ✓	QUIN -5.5			QUIN won by 3 · not covered	145.5			13 met · QUIN 9 · ME 4
Final	Lindenwood	53	@ Robert Morris	67	RMU Solid 72% ✓	RMU -6.5			RMU won by 14 · covered	141.5			Never met
Final	Belmont	79	@ Air Force	71	BEL Solid 62% ✓	BEL -3.5			BEL won by 8 · covered	141.5			2 met · AF 1 · BEL 1
Final	FAU	116	@ Charleston	119		COFC -1.5			COFC won by 3 · covered	163.5			2 met · COFC 1 · FAU 1
Final	Tulane	67	@ Furman	75	FUR Solid 69% ✓	FUR -5.5			FUR won by 8 · covered	153.5			1 met · FUR 0 · TULN 1
Final	MD Eastern	71	@ Old Dominion	73	ODU Solid 85% ✓	ODU -11.5			ODU won by 2 · not covered	147.5			9 met · ODU 9 · UMES 0
Final	Elon	79	@ Gardner-Webb	80	GWEB Solid 62% ✓	GWEB -3.5			GWEB won by 1 · not covered	150.5			3 met · GWEB 1 · ELON 2
Final	John Jay	44	@ Fairfield	93									Never met
Final	Virginia Tech	64	vs Penn State	86	PSU Solid 75% ✓	PSU -7.5			PSU won by 22 · covered	150.5	UNDER 150.5 · 51.8% (150) ✓		7 met · PSU 4 · VT 3
Final	NC Central	75	vs GA Southern	80	GASO Solid 69% ✓	GASO -5.5			GASO won by 5 · not covered	151.5	UNDER 151.5 · 51.8% (155) ✗		Never met
Final	Saint Joseph's	86	@ Penn	69	JOES Solid 75% ✓	JOES -7.5			JOES won by 17 · covered	148.5			21 met · PENN 6 · JOES 15
Final	American	55	@ 10North Carolina	107	UNC Banker 98% ✓	UNC -24.5			UNC won by 52 · covered	148.5	OVER 148.5 · 52.3% (162) ✓		Never met
Final	West Virginia	62	@ Pitt	86	PITT Solid 75% ✓	PITT -7.5			PITT won by 24 · covered	148.5			27 met · PITT 15 · WVU 12
Final	15Marquette	78	@ Maryland	74		MD -2.5			MD lost by 4 · not covered	147.5			1 met · MD 1 · MARQ 0
Final	Georgia	77	@ Georgia Tech	69		UGA -1.5			UGA won by 8 · covered	156.5			21 met · GT 10 · UGA 11
Final	E Illinois	58	@ Northwestern	67	NU Banker 98% ✓	NU -23.5			NU won by 9 · not covered	138.5	OVER 138.5 · 52.3% (125) ✗		3 met · NU 3 · EIU 0
Final	Ohio	70	@ Memphis	94	MEM Banker 87% ✓	MEM -12.5		OHIO +12.5 · covers 53% ✗	MEM won by 24 · covered	161.5			1 met · MEM 1 · OHIO 0
Final	Texas College	69	@ UT Arlington	95									Never met
Final	St Norbert	54	@ St Thomas	102									Never met
Final	Washington St	66	vs Iowa	76	IOWA Solid 69% ✓	IOWA -5.5			IOWA won by 10 · covered	171.5	UNDER 171.5 · 51.8% (142) ✓		Never met
Final	Samford	97	@ North Alabama	96		SAM -1.5			SAM won by 1 · not covered	162.5			2 met · UNA 1 · SAM 1
Final	21Ohio State	64	@ 23Texas A&M	78	TA&M Solid 69% ✓	TA&M -5.5			TA&M won by 14 · covered	147.5			2 met · TA&M 2 · OSU 0
Final	9Arizona	88	@ Wisconsin	103	ARIZ Solid 66% ✗	ARIZ -4.5			ARIZ lost by 15 · not covered	150.5			5 met · WIS 3 · ARIZ 2
Final	Duquesne	58	@ DePaul	84	DEP Solid 69% ✓	DEP -5.5			DEP won by 26 · covered	144.5			2 met · DEP 1 · DUQ 1
Final	UMass Lowell	54	@ 4Gonzaga	113	GONZ Banker 98% ✓	GONZ -27.5			GONZ won by 59 · covered	164.5	OVER 164.5 · 52.3% (167) ✓		Never met
Final	Lehigh	45	@ UCLA	85	UCLA Banker 98% ✓	UCLA -22.5			UCLA won by 40 · covered	136.5	OVER 136.5 · 52.3% (130) ✗		Never met
Final	Fullerton	51	@ Oregon St	70	ORST Banker 87% ✓	ORST -12.5		CSUF +12.5 · covers 53% ✗	ORST won by 19 · covered	134.5			2 met · ORST 1 · CSUF 1
Final	Long Island	77	@ CA Baptist	90	CBU Banker 92% ✓	CBU -15.5		LIU +15.5 · covers 53% ✓	CBU won by 13 · not covered	148.5			Never met