Sunday, November 10, 2024 29 games

Today: winner picks 19 of 23 right · line picks 2 of 4 right · total picks 4 of 7 right. Pick: who we think wins (Banker very likely, Solid likely). Line: the bookmaker's handicap. FLA -9.5 means Florida must win by 10 or more to cover. Prediction: our expected winning margin. Line pick: shown only where history shows an edge. Underdogs getting 12 to 17.5 points covered 53% of the time over the last 7 seasons; other lines are close to a coin flip, so no pick. Result: what happened against the line. Total pick: UNDER at neutral-site games (went under 51.8% over 7 seasons), OVER when the spread is 20+ (went over 52.3%). These are small edges, below the ~52.4% normally needed to profit. Model total: our computer's projected combined points (from each team's speed and points per possession) and its over/under call against the O/U line. Tested on 37,000 past games it was right about 50.4% of the time. Not betting advice.

Time / Status	Away		Home		Pick	Line	Prediction	Line pick	Result	O/U	Total pick	Model total	Prev. meetings
Final	E Illinois	55	@ 17Indiana	90	IU Banker 98% ✓	IU -26.5			IU won by 35 · covered	148.5	OVER 148.5 · 52.3% (145) ✗		1 met · IU 1 · EIU 0
Final	App State	56	@ Wisconsin	87	WIS Banker 92% ✓	WIS -15.5		APP +15.5 · covers 53% ✗	WIS won by 31 · covered	137.5			Never met
Final	Michigan	70	vs Wake Forest	72		MICH -2.5			MICH lost by 2 · not covered	156.5	UNDER 156.5 · 51.8% (142) ✓		Never met
Final	North Florida	105	@ Georgia Tech	93	GT Banker 91% ✗	GT -14.5		UNF +14.5 · covers 53% ✓	GT lost by 12 · not covered	154.5			Never met
Final	Niagara	78	@ Detroit Mercy	84		DETM -1.5			DETM won by 6 · covered	146.5			1 met · DETM 1 · NIA 0
Final	SE Missouri	76	@ Vanderbilt	85	VAN Banker 98% ✓	VAN -26.5			VAN won by 9 · not covered	155.5	OVER 155.5 · 52.3% (161) ✓		1 met · VAN 1 · SEMO 0
Final	Binghamton	64	@ Miami	88	MIA Banker 98% ✓	MIA -28.5			MIA won by 24 · not covered	156.5	OVER 156.5 · 52.3% (152) ✗		1 met · MIA 0 · BING 1
Final	UC Irvine	80	@ Northern Iowa	60	UNI Solid 62% ✗	UNI -3.5			UNI lost by 20 · not covered	140.5			Never met
Final	Eureka	53	@ Loyola Chicago	105	LUC Banker 95% ✓								3 met · LUC 3 · ERKA 0
Final	Princeton	79	@ Northeastern	76	PRIN Solid 75% ✓	PRIN -7.5			PRIN won by 3 · not covered	146.5			5 met · NE 1 · PRIN 4
Final	Maine	69	@ Brown	67	BRWN Solid 62% ✗	BRWN -3.5			BRWN lost by 2 · not covered	140.5			10 met · BRWN 6 · ME 4
Final	Harvard	55	@ American	67		HARV -1.5			HARV lost by 12 · not covered	141.5			1 met · AMER 0 · HARV 1
Final	Saint Francis	65	@ Campbell	64	CAM Solid 78% ✗	CAM -8.5			CAM lost by 1 · not covered	144.5			1 met · CAM 0 · SFPA 1
Final	SF Austin	51	@ Drake	66	DRKE Solid 66% ✓	DRKE -4.5			DRKE won by 15 · covered	139.5			2 met · DRKE 0 · SFA 2
Final	Chatham	51	@ Robert Morris	79									Never met
Final	SE Louisiana	72	@ UAB	82	UAB Banker 97% ✓	UAB -21.5			UAB won by 10 · not covered	153.5	OVER 153.5 · 52.3% (154) ✓		1 met · UAB 1 · SELA 0
Final	St Thomas	71	@ Oklahoma St	80	OKST Banker 89% ✓	OKST -13.5		STMN +13.5 · covers 53% ✓	OKST won by 9 · not covered	156.5			Never met
Final	Mount Marty	47	@ South Dakota	77	SDAK Banker 95% ✓								6 met · SDAK 6 · MMU 0
Final	Texas Southern	64	@ Georgia	92	UGA Banker 93% ✓	UGA -16.5		TXSO +16.5 · covers 53% ✗	UGA won by 28 · covered	147.5			1 met · UGA 1 · TXSO 0
Final	Avila	44	@ Saint Louis	95									Never met
Final	Tennessee St	66	@ Wyoming	81	WYO Solid 85% ✓	WYO -11.5			WYO won by 15 · covered	145.5			1 met · WYO 1 · TNST 0
Final	Alabama St	61	@ LSU	74	LSU Banker 96% ✓	LSU -19.5			LSU won by 13 · not covered	151.5			1 met · LSU 1 · ALST 0
Final	FDU	70	@ 15Creighton	96	CREI Banker 98% ✓	CREI -36.5			CREI won by 26 · not covered	167.5	OVER 167.5 · 52.3% (166) ✗		Never met
Final	Arizona St	80	@ 6Gonzaga	88	GONZ Banker 97% ✓	GONZ -21.5			GONZ won by 8 · not covered	156.5	OVER 156.5 · 52.3% (168) ✓		Never met
Final	Champ Chrstn	60	@ UT Rio Grande	110	RGV Banker 95% ✓								Never met
Final	Pacific	94	vs Life Pacific	41									Never met
Final	Menlo	66	@ Cal Poly	99	CP Banker 95% ✓								5 met · CP 5 · MNLO 0
Final	NW Indian	44	@ Montana	94	MONT Banker 95% ✓								1 met · MONT 1 · NWIC 0
Final	San José St	69	@ Hawai'i	80	HAW Solid 62% ✓	HAW -3.5			HAW won by 11 · covered	133.5			22 met · HAW 16 · SJSU 6