Saturday, November 9, 2024 64 games

Today: winner picks 37 of 46 right · line picks 3 of 6 right · total picks 4 of 12 right. Pick: who we think wins (Banker very likely, Solid likely). Line: the bookmaker's handicap. FLA -9.5 means Florida must win by 10 or more to cover. Prediction: our expected winning margin. Line pick: shown only where history shows an edge. Underdogs getting 12 to 17.5 points covered 53% of the time over the last 7 seasons; other lines are close to a coin flip, so no pick. Result: what happened against the line. Total pick: UNDER at neutral-site games (went under 51.8% over 7 seasons), OVER when the spread is 20+ (went over 52.3%). These are small edges, below the ~52.4% normally needed to profit. Model total: our computer's projected combined points (from each team's speed and points per possession) and its over/under call against the O/U line. Tested on 37,000 past games it was right about 50.4% of the time. Not betting advice.

Time / Status	Away		Home		Pick	Line	Prediction	Line pick	Result	O/U	Total pick	Model total	Prev. meetings
Final	12Tennessee	77	@ Louisville	55		LOU -2.5			LOU lost by 22 · not covered	156.5			5 met · LOU 4 · TENN 1
Final	Fordham	57	@ Seton Hall	56	HALL Solid 83% ✗	HALL -10.5			HALL lost by 1 · not covered	135.5			Never met
Final	Little Rock	67	@ Winthrop	82	WIN Solid 85% ✓	WIN -11.5			WIN won by 15 · covered	157.5			2 met · WIN 2 · LR 0
Final	Pratt Inst	42	@ Long Island	102									Never met
Final	Sacred Heart	76	@ Dartmouth	81		DART -2.5			DART won by 5 · covered	142.5			3 met · DART 1 · SHU 2
Final	Wright St	81	@ Miami OH	68	M-OH Solid 62% ✗	M-OH -3.5			M-OH lost by 13 · not covered	154.5			22 met · M-OH 9 · WRST 13
Final	Manor	52	@ Wagner	94									Never met
Final	Rider	64	@ Coppin St	53	RID Solid 81% ✓	RID -9.5			RID won by 11 · covered	136.5			4 met · COPP 0 · RID 4
Final	Quinnipiac	73	@ St John's	96	SJU Banker 96% ✓	SJU -19.5			SJU won by 23 · covered	156.5			Never met
Final	Jackson St	71	@ High Point	80	HPU Banker 98% ✓	HPU -22.5			HPU won by 9 · not covered	154.5	OVER 154.5 · 52.3% (151) ✗		Never met
Final	Toledo	90	@ Marshall	80		TOL -0.5			TOL won by 10 · covered	160.5			12 met · MRSH 4 · TOL 8
Final	Delaware St	62	@ Columbia	83	COLU Banker 87% ✓	COLU -12.5		DSU +12.5 · covers 53% ✗	COLU won by 21 · covered	153.5			2 met · COLU 2 · DSU 0
Final	Colgate	56	@ Drexel	73	COLG Solid 62% ✗	COLG -3.5			COLG lost by 17 · not covered	143.5			2 met · DREX 2 · COLG 0
Final	Brescia	49	@ Evansville	96									Never met
Final	Morgan St	66	@ Longwood	84	LONG Solid 81% ✓	LONG -9.5			LONG won by 18 · covered	152.5			5 met · LONG 3 · MORG 2
Final	Houghton	62	@ Mercyhurst	88									Never met
Final	VMI	76	@ Bellarmine	71	BELL Solid 83% ✗	BELL -10.5			BELL lost by 5 · not covered	149.5			Never met
Final	AR-Pine Bluff	80	@ Tulsa	103	TLSA Banker 98% ✓	TLSA -22.5			TLSA won by 23 · covered	162.5	OVER 162.5 · 52.3% (183) ✓		1 met · TLSA 1 · UAPB 0
Final	Lafayette	60	@ La Salle	81	LAS Solid 78% ✓	LAS -8.5			LAS won by 21 · covered	132.5			8 met · LAS 5 · LAF 3
Final	Omaha	64	@ Minnesota	68	MINN Banker 97% ✓	MINN -20.5			MINN won by 4 · not covered	144.5	OVER 144.5 · 52.3% (132) ✗		3 met · MINN 3 · OMA 0
Final	St Bonaventure	87	@ Canisius	78	SBU Solid 75% ✓	SBU -7.5			SBU won by 9 · covered	139.5			21 met · CAN 10 · SBU 11
Final	Cleveland St	64	@ Kansas St	77	KSU Banker 98% ✓	KSU -23.5			KSU won by 13 · not covered	148.5	OVER 148.5 · 52.3% (141) ✗		3 met · KSU 3 · CLE 0
Final	Bucknell	72	@ 23Kentucky	100	UK Banker 98% ✓	UK -28.5			UK won by 28 · not covered	153.5	OVER 153.5 · 52.3% (172) ✓		Never met
Final	Fairfield	57	@ Georgetown	69	GTWN Banker 92% ✓	GTWN -15.5		FAIR +15.5 · covers 53% ✓	GTWN won by 12 · not covered	156.5			3 met · GTWN 3 · FAIR 0
Final	Charlotte	74	@ Utah State	103	USU Banker 89% ✓	USU -13.5		CLT +13.5 · covers 53% ✗	USU won by 29 · covered	145.5			Never met
Final	Coastal	59	@ East Carolina	63	ECU Banker 87% ✓	ECU -12.5		CCU +12.5 · covers 53% ✓	ECU won by 4 · not covered	135.5			6 met · ECU 3 · CCU 3
Final	Old Dominion	44	@ 10Arizona	102	ARIZ Banker 98% ✓	ARIZ -33.5			ARIZ won by 58 · covered	163.5	OVER 163.5 · 52.3% (146) ✗		Never met
Final	UTEP	60	@ Utah Valley	89		UVU -0.5			UVU won by 29 · covered	143.5			Never met
Final	MS for Women	44	@ Nicholls	93									Never met
Final	Alcorn St	56	@ Xavier (LA)	62									2 met · XULA 1 · ALCN 1
Final	Wofford	69	@ Lipscomb	78	LIP Solid 66% ✓	LIP -4.5			LIP won by 9 · covered	154.5			1 met · LIP 1 · WOF 0
Final	Troy	78	@ LSU N Orleans	61	TROY Banker 87% ✓	TROY -12.5		NOLA +12.5 · covers 53% ✗	TROY won by 17 · covered	151.5			6 met · NOLA 3 · TROY 3
Final	PSU Schuylkill	77	@ MD Eastern	96									Never met
Final	Stonehill	49	@ Providence	76	PROV Banker 98% ✓	PROV -24.5			PROV won by 27 · covered	139.5	OVER 139.5 · 52.3% (125) ✗		1 met · PROV 1 · STO 0
Final	Marist	79	@ Richmond	72	RICH Solid 78% ✗	RICH -8.5			RICH lost by 7 · not covered	141.5			2 met · RICH 0 · MRST 2
Final	Memphis	80	@ UNLV	74		UNLV -1.5			UNLV lost by 6 · not covered	157.5			Never met
Final	Santa Barbara	94	@ Portland	53	UCSB Solid 75% ✓	UCSB -7.5			UCSB won by 41 · covered	149.5			4 met · PORT 1 · UCSB 3
Final	James Madison	69	@ Norfolk St	83	JMU Solid 66% ✗	JMU -4.5			JMU lost by 14 · not covered	144.5			3 met · NORF 2 · JMU 1
Final	Louisiana Tech	92	@ UT Arlington	77		UTA -0.5			UTA lost by 15 · not covered	149.5			6 met · UTA 1 · LT 5
Final	Florida St	73	vs Rice	65	FSU Solid 81% ✓	FSU -9.5			FSU won by 8 · not covered	153.5	UNDER 153.5 · 51.8% (138) ✓		Never met
Postponed	North Dakota		@ UTSA										Never met
Final	UNC Asheville	76	@ Ohio	82	OHIO Solid 81% ✓	OHIO -9.5			OHIO won by 6 · not covered	158.5			2 met · OHIO 2 · UNCA 0
Final	Montana St	69	@ Wichita St	89	WICH Solid 81% ✓	WICH -9.5			WICH won by 20 · covered	151.5			Never met
Final	SUNY Poly	73	@ Le Moyne	107									Never met
Final	SUNY Oneonta	69	@ UAlbany	89	UALB Banker 95% ✓								4 met · UALB 4 · SNYO 0
Final	Vermont	51	@ Merrimack	65	UVM Solid 75% ✗	UVM -7.5			UVM lost by 14 · not covered	126.5			2 met · MRMK 0 · UVM 2
Final	MTSU	79	@ Abilene Chrstn	56	ACU Solid 62% ✗	ACU -3.5			ACU lost by 23 · not covered	146.5			1 met · ACU 0 · MTSU 1
Final	Northwestern	66	@ Dayton	71	DAY Solid 66% ✓	DAY -4.5			DAY won by 5 · covered	136.5			2 met · DAY 0 · NU 2
Final	Lncstr Bible	42	@ Loyola MD	83									Never met
Final	8Baylor	72	vs 16Arkansas	67	BAY Solid 62% ✓	BAY -3.5			BAY won by 5 · covered	156.5	UNDER 156.5 · 51.8% (139) ✓		4 met · ARK 1 · BAY 3
Final	Kennesaw St	84	@ CA Baptist	88	CBU Solid 83% ✓	CBU -10.5			CBU won by 4 · not covered	157.5			Never met
Final	Bethune	58	@ Nebraska	63	NEB Banker 98% ✓	NEB -23.5			NEB won by 5 · not covered	154.5	OVER 154.5 · 52.3% (121) ✗		1 met · NEB 1 · BCU 0
Final	New Hampshire	53	@ 3UConn	92	CONN Banker 98% ✓	CONN -36.5			CONN won by 39 · covered	152.5	OVER 152.5 · 52.3% (145) ✗		7 met · CONN 7 · UNH 0
Final	Liberty	66	@ Seattle U	64		SEA -1.5			SEA lost by 2 · not covered	139.5			Never met
Final	Youngstown St	80	@ Chicago St	60	YSU Solid 69% ✓	YSU -5.5			YSU won by 20 · covered	151.5			Never met
Final	Western KY	72	@ Grand Canyon	74	GCU Banker 87% ✓	GCU -12.5		WKU +12.5 · covers 53% ✓	GCU won by 2 · not covered	160.5			Never met
Final	Bluefield	66	@ Elon	103	ELON Banker 95% ✓								4 met · ELON 3 · BLU 1
Final	Sam Houston	91	@ Tarleton St	62	SHSU Solid 69% ✓	SHSU -5.5			SHSU won by 29 · covered	144.5			4 met · TAR 1 · SHSU 3
Final	FIU	75	@ Southern Utah	80	SUU Solid 72% ✓	SUU -6.5			SUU won by 5 · not covered	160.5			Never met
Final	New Mexico St	75	@ Utah Tech	63	NMSU Solid 62% ✓	NMSU -3.5			NMSU won by 12 · covered	149.5			5 met · UTU 1 · NMSU 4
Final	11Auburn	74	vs 4Houston	69	HOU Solid 69% ✗	HOU -5.5			HOU lost by 5 · not covered	141.5	UNDER 141.5 · 51.8% (143) ✗		1 met · HOU 1 · AUB 0
Final	Washington	53	@ Nevada	63	NEV Solid 72% ✓	NEV -6.5			NEV won by 10 · covered	154.5			6 met · NEV 5 · WASH 1
Final	Pepperdine	76	@ UC San Diego	94	UCSD Solid 78% ✓	UCSD -8.5			UCSD won by 18 · covered	144.5			1 met · UCSD 0 · PEPP 1
Final	Boise St	73	@ San Francisco	84		BOIS -1.5			BOIS lost by 11 · not covered	145.5			4 met · SF 1 · BOIS 3