NCAA Predictor
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Friday, November 8, 2024 80 games

Today: winner picks 55 of 64 right · line picks 4 of 9 right · total picks 14 of 26 right. Pick: who we think wins (Banker very likely, Solid likely). Line: the bookmaker's handicap. FLA -9.5 means Florida must win by 10 or more to cover. Prediction: our expected winning margin. Line pick: shown only where history shows an edge. Underdogs getting 12 to 17.5 points covered 53% of the time over the last 7 seasons; other lines are close to a coin flip, so no pick. Result: what happened against the line. Total pick: UNDER at neutral-site games (went under 51.8% over 7 seasons), OVER when the spread is 20+ (went over 52.3%). These are small edges, below the ~52.4% normally needed to profit. Model total: our computer's projected combined points (from each team's speed and points per possession) and its over/under call against the O/U line. Tested on 37,000 past games it was right about 50.4% of the time. Not betting advice.

Time / StatusAwayHomePickLinePredictionLine pickResultO/UTotal pickModel totalPrev. meetings
Final Siena Heights 58 @ E Michigan 83 EMU Banker 95% ✓ 5 met · EMU 5 · SHTU 0
Final Southwestern 53 @ Incarnate Word 97 UIW Banker 95% ✓ 2 met · UIW 2 · SWU 0
Final Gardner-Webb 88 @ NC Central 82 NCCU -1.5 NCCU lost by 6 · not covered 142.5 4 met · NCCU 2 · GWEB 2
Final W Colorado 80 @ Denver 97 DEN Banker 95% ✓ 1 met · DEN 1 · WCOL 0
Final Fullerton 53 @ Stanford 80 STAN Banker 93% ✓ STAN -16.5 CSUF +16.5 · covers 53% ✗ STAN won by 27 · covered 142.5 2 met · STAN 2 · CSUF 0
Final Franklin 60 @ Ball State 87 Never met
Final Boston College 55 vs VCU 80 VCU Solid 83% ✓ VCU -10.5 VCU won by 25 · covered 140.5 UNDER 140.5 · 51.8% (135) ✓ 1 met · VCU 1 · BC 0
Final Army 58 @ 7Duke 100 DUKE Banker 98% ✓ DUKE -33.5 DUKE won by 42 · covered 143.5 OVER 143.5 · 52.3% (158) ✓ 4 met · DUKE 4 · ARMY 0
Final UMBC 54 @ Penn State 103 PSU Banker 98% ✓ PSU -22.5 PSU won by 49 · covered 166.5 OVER 166.5 · 52.3% (157) ✗ 2 met · PSU 2 · UMBC 0
Final IU Indy 80 @ Xavier 94 XAV Banker 98% ✓ XAV -30.5 XAV won by 14 · not covered 158.5 OVER 158.5 · 52.3% (174) ✓ 2 met · XAV 2 · IUIN 0
Final Samford 86 @ Cornell 88 SAM -2.5 SAM lost by 2 · not covered 167.5 Never met
Final Saint Peter's 74 @ UMass Lowell 81 UML Solid 83% ✓ UML -10.5 UML won by 7 · not covered 135.5 1 met · UML 1 · SPU 0
Final Temple 103 vs Monmouth 74 TEM Solid 72% ✓ TEM -6.5 TEM won by 29 · covered 148.5 UNDER 148.5 · 51.8% (177) ✗ Never met
Final PSU Wilkes-Bar 34 @ Towson 89 Never met
Final Austin Peay 68 @ Butler 66 BTLR Banker 94% ✗ BTLR -17.5 APSU +17.5 · covers 53% ✓ BTLR lost by 2 · not covered 147.5 Never met
Final C Connecticut 73 @ Saint Joseph's 67 JOES Banker 93% ✗ JOES -16.5 CCSU +16.5 · covers 53% ✓ JOES lost by 6 · not covered 144.5 1 met · JOES 1 · CCSU 0
Final Saint Francis 62 @ Clemson 88 CLEM Banker 98% ✓ CLEM -29.5 CLEM won by 26 · not covered 146.5 OVER 146.5 · 52.3% (150) ✓ Never met
Final 9North Carolina 89 @ 1Kansas 92 KU Solid 75% ✓ KU -7.5 KU won by 3 · not covered 160.5 5 met · KU 4 · UNC 1
Final Iona 76 @ Hofstra 90 HOF Solid 66% ✓ HOF -4.5 HOF won by 14 · covered 148.5 8 met · HOF 4 · IONA 4
Final SC Upstate 74 @ Virginia Tech 93 VT Banker 98% ✓ VT -23.5 VT won by 19 · not covered 150.5 OVER 150.5 · 52.3% (167) ✓ 3 met · VT 2 · UPST 1
Final UMass 69 @ West Virginia 75 WVU Solid 81% ✓ WVU -9.5 WVU won by 6 · not covered 153.5 2 met · WVU 1 · MASS 1
Final N Kentucky 50 @ 14Purdue 72 PUR Banker 97% ✓ PUR -20.5 PUR won by 22 · covered 147.5 OVER 147.5 · 52.3% (122) ✗ 1 met · PUR 1 · NKU 0
Final E Kentucky 82 @ ETSU 78 ETSU Solid 85% ✗ ETSU -11.5 ETSU lost by 4 · not covered 150.5 4 met · ETSU 3 · EKU 1
Final W Carolina 54 @ Queens 67 QUC Solid 66% ✓ QUC -4.5 QUC won by 13 · covered 159.5 Never met
Final Grambling 64 @ 24Ole Miss 66 MISS Banker 98% ✓ MISS -23.5 MISS won by 2 · not covered 142.5 OVER 142.5 · 52.3% (130) ✗ 1 met · MISS 1 · GRAM 0
Final SC State 64 @ South Carolina 86 SC Banker 96% ✓ SC -19.5 SC won by 22 · covered 148.5 12 met · SC 12 · SCST 0
Final Morehead St 56 @ 20Cincinnati 83 CIN Banker 98% ✓ CIN -27.5 CIN won by 27 · not covered 143.5 OVER 143.5 · 52.3% (139) ✗ 1 met · CIN 1 · MORE 0
Final Purdue FW 68 @ UCF 75 UCF Solid 85% ✓ UCF -11.5 UCF won by 7 · not covered 150.5 Never met
Final Murray St 68 @ Pitt 83 PITT Banker 87% ✓ PITT -12.5 MUR +12.5 · covers 53% ✗ PITT won by 15 · covered 151.5 1 met · PITT 1 · MUR 0
Final Hampton 54 @ G Washington 82 GW Banker 87% ✓ GW -12.5 HAMP +12.5 · covers 53% ✗ GW won by 28 · covered 146.5 3 met · GW 1 · HAMP 2
Final Holy Cross 77 @ Rhode Island 91 URI Banker 97% ✓ URI -20.5 URI won by 14 · not covered 149.5 OVER 149.5 · 52.3% (168) ✓ 6 met · URI 5 · HC 1
Final Presbyterian 72 @ NC State 81 NCSU Banker 97% ✓ NCSU -21.5 NCSU won by 9 · not covered 155.5 OVER 155.5 · 52.3% (153) ✗ 2 met · NCSU 2 · PRES 0
Final Siena 90 @ Bryant 88 BRY Solid 83% ✗ BRY -10.5 BRY lost by 2 · not covered 148.5 3 met · BRY 1 · SIE 2
Final Ohio Wesleyan 57 @ Akron 88 Never met
Final Davidson 91 @ Bowling Green 85 DAV Solid 69% ✓ DAV -5.5 DAV won by 6 · covered 147.5 Never met
Final Miami Hamilton 53 @ Kent State 98 Never met
Final Coastal GA 49 @ FAU 99 Never met
Final South Florida 71 @ Charleston 86 COFC Solid 66% ✓ COFC -4.5 COFC won by 15 · covered 155.5 Never met
Final William & Mary 77 @ Radford 89 W&M Solid 62% ✗ W&M -3.5 W&M lost by 12 · not covered 148.5 10 met · RAD 4 · W&M 6
Final GA Southern 84 @ UNC Wilmington 92 UNCW Solid 69% ✓ UNCW -5.5 UNCW won by 8 · covered 152.5 1 met · UNCW 1 · GASO 0
Final St Thomas 90 @ Green Bay 76 STMN Solid 62% ✓ STMN -3.5 STMN won by 14 · covered 146.5 2 met · GB 1 · STMN 1
Final Georgia St 66 @ Mississippi St 101 MSST Banker 98% ✓ MSST -23.5 MSST won by 35 · covered 148.5 OVER 148.5 · 52.3% (167) ✓ 3 met · MSST 3 · GAST 0
Final UL Monroe 64 @ Tulane 80 TULN Solid 85% ✓ TULN -11.5 TULN won by 16 · covered 154.5 1 met · TULN 1 · ULM 0
Final Furman 76 @ Belmont 74 BEL -2.5 BEL lost by 2 · not covered 159.5 3 met · BEL 1 · FUR 2
Final South Alabama 70 @ Nicholls 64 NICH Solid 69% ✗ NICH -5.5 NICH lost by 6 · not covered 151.5 1 met · NICH 1 · USA 0
Final FGCU 51 @ TCU 67 TCU Banker 94% ✓ TCU -17.5 FGCU +17.5 · covers 53% ✓ TCU won by 16 · not covered 148.5 1 met · TCU 1 · FGCU 0
Final SIUE 58 @ Illinois 90 ILL Banker 98% ✓ ILL -26.5 ILL won by 32 · covered 159.5 OVER 159.5 · 52.3% (148) ✗ 2 met · ILL 2 · SIUE 0
Final Mount St Marys 52 @ Maryland 86 MD Banker 98% ✓ MD -23.5 MD won by 34 · covered 137.5 OVER 137.5 · 52.3% (138) ✓ 8 met · MD 8 · MSM 0
Final Howard 62 @ Missouri 77 MIZ Banker 95% ✓ MIZ -18.5 MIZ won by 15 · not covered 152.5 Never met
Final Hou Christian 59 @ 19Texas 90 TEX Banker 98% ✓ TEX -33.5 TEX won by 31 · not covered 150.5 OVER 150.5 · 52.3% (149) ✗ 4 met · TEX 4 · HCU 0
Final East Texas A&M 55 @ 13Texas A&M 87 TA&M Banker 98% ✓ TA&M -31.5 TA&M won by 32 · covered 143.5 OVER 143.5 · 52.3% (142) ✗ 1 met · TA&M 1 · ETAM 0
Final Dallas Chrstn 36 @ Texas A&M-CC 87 AMCC Banker 95% ✓ 1 met · AMCC 1 · DCC 0
Final Nelson 67 @ N Arizona 115 NAU Banker 95% ✓ 1 met · NAU 1 · NEL 0
Final SUNY Fredonia 78 @ Buffalo 87 Never met
Final Yale 79 @ UIC 91 YALE Solid 72% ✗ YALE -6.5 YALE lost by 12 · not covered 138.5 1 met · UIC 0 · YALE 1
Final Santa Clara 74 vs Arizona St 81 SCU Solid 69% ✗ SCU -5.5 SCU lost by 7 · not covered 151.5 UNDER 151.5 · 51.8% (155) ✗ 1 met · ASU 1 · SCU 0
Final Concordia AA 46 @ Valparaiso 111 Never met
Final Arkansas St 79 @ 2Alabama 88 ALA Banker 98% ✓ ALA -24.5 ALA won by 9 · not covered 171.5 OVER 171.5 · 52.3% (167) ✗ 2 met · ALA 2 · ARST 0
Final McMurry 62 @ Texas St 102 TXST Banker 95% ✓ 3 met · TXST 3 · MCM 0
Final Kansas Chrstn 36 @ Kansas City 124 KC Banker 95% ✓ 3 met · KC 3 · KCC 0
Final Ozark Chrstn 49 @ Oral Roberts 105 ORU Banker 95% ✓ 2 met · ORU 2 · OCC 0
Final Missouri S&T 64 @ S Illinois 86 SIU Banker 95% ✓ 1 met · SIU 1 · MS&T 0
Final NJIT 54 @ Villanova 91 VILL Banker 98% ✓ VILL -22.5 VILL won by 37 · covered 138.5 OVER 138.5 · 52.3% (145) ✓ 2 met · VILL 2 · NJIT 0
Final Harvard 80 @ Navy 85 NAVY -1.5 NAVY won by 5 · covered 136.5 Never met
Final Princeton 75 vs Duquesne 68 PRIN Solid 69% ✓ PRIN -5.5 PRIN won by 7 · covered 146.5 UNDER 146.5 · 51.8% (143) ✓ 3 met · DUQ 1 · PRIN 2
Final UC Riverside 80 @ BYU 86 BYU Banker 98% ✓ BYU -22.5 BYU won by 6 · not covered 154.5 OVER 154.5 · 52.3% (166) ✓ Never met
Final N Colorado 88 @ Colorado 90 COLO Banker 89% ✓ COLO -13.5 UNCO +13.5 · covers 53% ✓ COLO won by 2 · not covered 151.5 8 met · COLO 8 · UNCO 0
Final George Mason 63 @ 18Marquette 82 MARQ Banker 89% ✓ MARQ -13.5 GMU +13.5 · covers 53% ✗ MARQ won by 19 · covered 149.5 Never met
Final N'Western St 65 @ Texas Tech 86 TTU Banker 98% ✓ TTU -34.5 TTU won by 21 · not covered 148.5 OVER 148.5 · 52.3% (151) ✓ 6 met · TTU 6 · NWST 0
Final Long Beach St 79 @ S Dakota St 80 SDST Solid 81% ✓ SDST -9.5 SDST won by 1 · not covered 145.5 Never met
Final Tennessee St 79 @ Colorado St 87 CSU Banker 98% ✓ CSU -23.5 CSU won by 8 · not covered 146.5 OVER 146.5 · 52.3% (166) ✓ 1 met · CSU 1 · TNST 0
Final San José St 67 vs Pacific 80 SJSU -1.5 SJSU lost by 13 · not covered 143.5 UNDER 143.5 · 51.8% (147) ✗ 8 met · PAC 6 · SJSU 2
Final Weber St 48 @ Oregon St 76 ORST Solid 66% ✓ ORST -4.5 ORST won by 28 · covered 141.5 Never met
Final Montana 48 @ Oregon 79 ORE Banker 94% ✓ ORE -17.5 MONT +17.5 · covers 53% ✗ ORE won by 31 · covered 152.5 5 met · ORE 4 · MONT 1
Final Sacramento St 57 @ Fresno St 64 FRES Solid 75% ✓ FRES -7.5 FRES won by 7 · not covered 159.5 4 met · FRES 3 · SAC 1
Final UC Irvine 66 @ LMU 51 UCI -1.5 UCI won by 15 · covered 150.5 9 met · LMU 3 · UCI 6
Final Boston U 60 @ San Diego 74 USD -2.5 USD won by 14 · covered 143.5 Never met
Final New Mexico 72 vs 22UCLA 64 UCLA Solid 66% ✗ UCLA -4.5 UCLA lost by 8 · not covered 152.5 UNDER 152.5 · 51.8% (136) ✓ Never met
Final Bradley 74 @ Washington St 91 WSU -1.5 WSU won by 17 · covered 154.5 Never met
Final Life Pacific 61 @ Hawai'i 96 Never met