Thursday, November 7, 2024 42 games

Today: winner picks 25 of 28 right · line picks 2 of 5 right · total picks 6 of 8 right. Pick: who we think wins (Banker very likely, Solid likely). Line: the bookmaker's handicap. FLA -9.5 means Florida must win by 10 or more to cover. Prediction: our expected winning margin. Line pick: shown only where history shows an edge. Underdogs getting 12 to 17.5 points covered 53% of the time over the last 7 seasons; other lines are close to a coin flip, so no pick. Result: what happened against the line. Total pick: UNDER at neutral-site games (went under 51.8% over 7 seasons), OVER when the spread is 20+ (went over 52.3%). These are small edges, below the ~52.4% normally needed to profit. Model total: our computer's projected combined points (from each team's speed and points per possession) and its over/under call against the O/U line. Tested on 37,000 past games it was right about 50.4% of the time. Not betting advice.

Time / Status	Away		Home		Pick	Line	Prediction	Line pick	Result	O/U	Total pick	Model total	Prev. meetings
Final	Point	58	@ North Alabama	94									Never met
Final	KCU	61	@ UT Martin	114									Never met
Final	Bethesda	53	@ Bakersfield	122	CSUB Banker 95% ✓								2 met · CSUB 2 · BTHS 0
Final	SUNY Oneonta	63	@ Binghamton	82	BING Banker 95% ✓								3 met · BING 3 · SNYO 0
Final	Oakwood	78	@ Alabama A&M	121	AAMU Banker 95% ✓								9 met · AAMU 8 · OAKW 1
Final	Robert Morris	77	@ Delaware	81	DEL Solid 75% ✓	DEL -7.5			DEL won by 4 · not covered	147.5			4 met · DEL 2 · RMU 2
Final	NC A&T	64	@ Wake Forest	80	WAKE Banker 98% ✓	WAKE -26.5			WAKE won by 16 · not covered	154.5	OVER 154.5 · 52.3% (144) ✗		6 met · WAKE 6 · NCAT 0
Final	Charleston So	66	@ North Florida	90	UNF Solid 75% ✓	UNF -7.5			UNF won by 24 · covered	147.5			5 met · UNF 3 · CHSO 2
Final	Stony Brook	73	@ C Michigan	72	CMU Solid 69% ✗	CMU -5.5			CMU lost by 1 · not covered	138.5			Never met
Final	Holy Cross Col	37	@ N Illinois	105									Never met
Final	Davenport	46	@ W Michigan	86									Never met
Final	Purchase	72	@ FDU	112									Never met
Final	MD Eastern	84	@ Penn	85	PENN Banker 96% ✓	PENN -19.5			PENN won by 1 · not covered	140.5			1 met · PENN 0 · UMES 1
Final	MS for Women	49	@ Miss Valley St	66									Never met
Final	Eureka	48	@ Indiana St	93									Never met
Final	WPI	47	@ Quinnipiac	71									Never met
Final	UHSP	30	@ Lindenwood	98									Never met
Final	Erskine	56	@ The Citadel	86									Never met
Final	VA Lynchburg	54	@ Mercer	125									Never met
Final	Southern Miss	84	@ UAB	98	UAB Banker 89% ✓	UAB -13.5		USM +13.5 · covers 53% ✗	UAB won by 14 · covered	153.5			39 met · UAB 26 · USM 13
Final	Florida A&M	73	@ SMU	102	SMU Banker 98% ✓	SMU -30.5			SMU won by 29 · not covered	150.5	OVER 150.5 · 52.3% (175) ✓		Never met
Final	Niagara	60	@ Michigan St	96	MSU Banker 98% ✓	MSU -29.5			MSU won by 36 · covered	144.5	OVER 144.5 · 52.3% (156) ✓		Never met
Final	Omaha	79	@ Stetson	76	STET Solid 66% ✗	STET -4.5			STET lost by 3 · not covered	149.5			1 met · STET 0 · OMA 1
Final	Jacksonville	60	@ 21Florida	81	FLA Banker 98% ✓	FLA -24.5			FLA won by 21 · not covered	152.5	OVER 152.5 · 52.3% (141) ✗		11 met · FLA 10 · JAX 1
Final	Southern	74	@ Iowa	89	IOWA Banker 98% ✓	IOWA -26.5			IOWA won by 15 · not covered	160.5	OVER 160.5 · 52.3% (163) ✓		2 met · IOWA 2 · SOU 0
Final	Montana St	67	@ Wisconsin	79	WIS Banker 93% ✓	WIS -16.5		MTST +16.5 · covers 53% ✓	WIS won by 12 · not covered	146.5			Never met
Final	Prairie View	59	@ DePaul	92	DEP Banker 93% ✓	DEP -16.5		PV +16.5 · covers 53% ✗	DEP won by 33 · covered	152.5			Never met
Final	Milwaukee	68	@ Northern Iowa	87	UNI Solid 72% ✓	UNI -6.5			UNI won by 19 · covered	157.5			6 met · UNI 4 · MILW 2
Final	Detroit Mercy	65	@ Loyola Chicago	87	LUC Banker 98% ✓	LUC -24.5			LUC won by 22 · not covered	140.5	OVER 140.5 · 52.3% (152) ✓		27 met · LUC 9 · DETM 18
Final	Bucknell	75	@ S Indiana	69	BUCK Solid 62% ✓	BUCK -3.5			BUCK won by 6 · covered	146.5			1 met · USI 0 · BUCK 1
Final	UT Dallas	65	@ Louisiana	82									Never met
Final	Bryan	74	@ Tennessee Tech	89	TNTC Banker 95% ✓								4 met · TNTC 4 · BRYN 0
Final	Biblical Stud	57	@ McNeese	111	MCN Banker 95% ✓								1 met · MCN 1 · CBS 0
Final	Illinois St	77	@ N Dakota St	68	NDSU Solid 62% ✗	NDSU -3.5			NDSU lost by 9 · not covered	138.5			1 met · NDSU 0 · ILST 1
Final	Wylnd Baptist	38	@ North Texas	80	UNT Banker 95% ✓								1 met · UNT 1 · WYBU 0
Final	Jax State	67	@ Air Force	73		AF -1.5			AF won by 6 · covered	132.5			2 met · AF 2 · JXST 0
Final	Cal Poly	73	@ California	91	CAL Banker 91% ✓	CAL -14.5		CP +14.5 · covers 53% ✗	CAL won by 18 · covered	159.5			6 met · CAL 5 · CP 1
Final	Evergreen	84	@ Portland St	131	PRST Banker 95% ✓								5 met · PRST 5 · ESC 0
Final	Idaho St	69	@ USC	75	USC Banker 98% ✓	USC -22.5			USC won by 6 · not covered	137.5	OVER 137.5 · 52.3% (144) ✓		1 met · USC 1 · IDST 0
Final	Chattanooga	74	@ Saint Mary's	86	SMC Banker 93% ✓	SMC -16.5		UTC +16.5 · covers 53% ✓	SMC won by 12 · not covered	136.5			Never met
Final	C Arkansas	63	@ Utah	98	UTAH Banker 98% ✓	UTAH -29.5			UTAH won by 35 · covered	149.5	OVER 149.5 · 52.3% (161) ✓		1 met · UTAH 1 · CARK 0
Final	UC Davis	79	@ Idaho	75		UCD -1.5			UCD won by 4 · covered	143.5			7 met · IDHO 6 · UCD 1