Wednesday, November 6, 2024 37 games

Today: winner picks 24 of 28 right · line picks 4 of 8 right · total picks 4 of 8 right. Pick: who we think wins (Banker very likely, Solid likely). Line: the bookmaker's handicap. FLA -9.5 means Florida must win by 10 or more to cover. Prediction: our expected winning margin. Line pick: shown only where history shows an edge. Underdogs getting 12 to 17.5 points covered 53% of the time over the last 7 seasons; other lines are close to a coin flip, so no pick. Result: what happened against the line. Total pick: UNDER at neutral-site games (went under 51.8% over 7 seasons), OVER when the spread is 20+ (went over 52.3%). These are small edges, below the ~52.4% normally needed to profit. Model total: our computer's projected combined points (from each team's speed and points per possession) and its over/under call against the O/U line. Tested on 37,000 past games it was right about 50.4% of the time. Not betting advice.

Time / Status	Away		Home		Pick	Line	Prediction	Line pick	Result	O/U	Total pick	Model total	Prev. meetings
Final	Wagner	52	@ 25Rutgers	75	RUTG Banker 94% ✓	RUTG -17.5		WAG +17.5 · covers 53% ✗	RUTG won by 23 · covered	131.5			Never met
Final	Mercyhurst	78	@ Morgan St	73	MORG Solid 75% ✗	MORG -7.5			MORG lost by 5 · not covered	147.5			Never met
Final	ME Fort Kent	47	@ Maine	98	ME Banker 95% ✓								4 met · ME 4 · UMFK 0
Final	Campbell	56	@ Virginia	65	UVA Banker 93% ✓	UVA -16.5		CAM +16.5 · covers 53% ✓	UVA won by 9 · not covered	130.5			Never met
Final	Lehigh	77	@ Georgetown	85	GTWN Banker 91% ✓	GTWN -14.5		LEH +14.5 · covers 53% ✓	GTWN won by 8 · not covered	149.5			Never met
Final	Sacred Heart	56	@ 3UConn	92	CONN Banker 98% ✓	CONN -35.5			CONN won by 36 · covered	149.5	OVER 149.5 · 52.3% (148) ✗		6 met · CONN 6 · SHU 0
Final	Columbia	90	@ Villanova	80	VILL Banker 94% ✗	VILL -17.5		COLU +17.5 · covers 53% ✓	VILL lost by 10 · not covered	146.5			4 met · VILL 3 · COLU 1
Final	Stonehill	60	@ Notre Dame	89	ND Banker 98% ✓	ND -26.5			ND won by 29 · covered	142.5	OVER 142.5 · 52.3% (149) ✓		Never met
Final	Mount Olive	68	@ Richmond	101									Never met
Final	Piedmont	70	@ SC Upstate	103	UPST Banker 95% ✓								1 met · UPST 1 · PDMT 0
Final	Coppin St	51	@ High Point	93	HPU Banker 98% ✓	HPU -25.5			HPU won by 42 · covered	142.5	OVER 142.5 · 52.3% (144) ✓		Never met
Final	Car Christian	45	@ Presbyterian	120									Never met
Final	CSU Northridge	97	@ Le Moyne	75		CSUN -2.5			CSUN won by 22 · covered	153.5			1 met · LEM 1 · CSUN 0
Final	UMass Boston	69	@ New Hampshire	99									Never met
Final	VA Lynchburg	60	@ Norfolk St	104	NORF Banker 95% ✓								2 met · NORF 2 · VUL 0
Final	Texas A&M-SA	66	@ Texas Southern	100									Never met
Final	Baldwin Wall	53	@ Cleveland St	91									Never met
Final	Boyce	48	@ Morehead St	89									Never met
Final	Ohio Christian	60	@ Wright St	89									Never met
Final	West Georgia	62	@ Georgia Tech	85	GT Banker 98% ✓	GT -23.5			GT won by 23 · not covered	147.5	OVER 147.5 · 52.3% (147) ✗		Never met
Final	St Andrews	54	@ App State	108	APP Banker 95% ✓								1 met · APP 1 · STAU 0
Final	SIUE	61	@ 17Indiana	80	IU Banker 98% ✓	IU -27.5			IU won by 19 · not covered	150.5	OVER 150.5 · 52.3% (141) ✗		2 met · IU 2 · SIUE 0
Final	Lipscomb	60	@ 16Arkansas	76	ARK Banker 93% ✓	ARK -16.5		LIP +16.5 · covers 53% ✓	ARK won by 16 · not covered	160.5			3 met · ARK 3 · LIP 0
Final	Vermont	43	@ 11Auburn	94	AUB Banker 94% ✓	AUB -17.5		UVM +17.5 · covers 53% ✗	AUB won by 51 · covered	143.5			Never met
Final	UL Monroe	60	@ LSU	95	LSU Banker 98% ✓	LSU -22.5			LSU won by 35 · covered	147.5	OVER 147.5 · 52.3% (155) ✓		6 met · LSU 6 · ULM 0
Final	Oral Roberts	57	@ Minnesota	80	MINN Banker 92% ✓	MINN -15.5		ORU +15.5 · covers 53% ✗	MINN won by 23 · covered	146.5			4 met · MINN 4 · ORU 0
Final	Earlham	61	@ E Illinois	97									Never met
Final	East Texas A&M	83	@ South Dakota	91	SDAK Solid 83% ✓	SDAK -10.5			SDAK won by 8 · not covered	149.5			Never met
Final	Champ Chrstn	57	@ AR-Pine Bluff	99	UAPB Banker 95% ✓								4 met · UAPB 4 · CHCC 0
Final	UT Rio Grande	86	@ 15Creighton	99	CREI Banker 98% ✓	CREI -29.5			CREI won by 13 · not covered	155.5	OVER 155.5 · 52.3% (185) ✓		2 met · CREI 2 · RGV 0
Final	Seattle U	86	@ E Washington	93	SEA Solid 78% ✗	SEA -8.5			SEA lost by 7 · not covered	147.5			16 met · EWU 8 · SEA 8
Final	Alcorn St	46	@ Utah State	101	USU Banker 98% ✓	USU -28.5			USU won by 55 · covered	154.5	OVER 154.5 · 52.3% (147) ✗		Never met
Final	Oakland	43	@ Boise St	87	BOIS Banker 93% ✓	BOIS -16.5		OAK +16.5 · covers 53% ✗	BOIS won by 44 · covered	142.5			2 met · BOIS 2 · OAK 0
Final	W Illinois	64	@ Pepperdine	77	PEPP Solid 69% ✓	PEPP -5.5			PEPP won by 13 · covered	136.5			Never met
Final	UC San Diego	58	@ San Diego St	63	SDSU Solid 83% ✓	SDSU -10.5			SDSU won by 5 · not covered	140.5			10 met · SDSU 10 · UCSD 0
Final	Lewis & Clark	70	@ Portland	83	PORT Banker 95% ✓								9 met · PORT 9 · LC 0
Final	Rider	68	@ San Diego	67	USD Solid 62% ✗	USD -3.5			USD lost by 1 · not covered	148.5			Never met