Tuesday, November 5, 2024 11 games
Today: winner picks 10 of 10 right · line picks 2 of 3 right · total picks 3 of 4 right. Pick: who we think wins (Banker very likely, Solid likely). Line: the bookmaker's handicap. FLA -9.5 means Florida must win by 10 or more to cover. Prediction: our expected winning margin. Line pick: shown only where history shows an edge. Underdogs getting 12 to 17.5 points covered 53% of the time over the last 7 seasons; other lines are close to a coin flip, so no pick. Result: what happened against the line. Total pick: UNDER at neutral-site games (went under 51.8% over 7 seasons), OVER when the spread is 20+ (went over 52.3%). These are small edges, below the ~52.4% normally needed to profit. Model total: our computer's projected combined points (from each team's speed and points per possession) and its over/under call against the O/U line. Tested on 37,000 past games it was right about 50.4% of the time. Not betting advice.
| Time / Status | Away | Home | Pick | Line | Prediction | Line pick | Result | O/U | Total pick | Model total | Prev. meetings | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Final | Toccoa Falls | 61 | @  Kennesaw St
|
110 | KENN Banker 95% ✓ | 2 met · KENN 2 · TOCC 0 | |||||||
| Final | SUNY Canton | 62 | @  Colgate
|
95 | Never met | ||||||||
| Final |  FIU
|
70 | @  Rice
|
77 | RICE Solid 72% ✓ | RICE -6.5 | RICE won by 7 · covered | 151.5 | 12 met · RICE 5 · FIU 7 | ||||
| Final |  LSU N Orleans
|
65 | @  Kansas St
|
89 | KSU Banker 98% ✓ | KSU -31.5 | KSU won by 24 · not covered | 149.5 | OVER 149.5 · 52.3% (154) ✓ | Never met | |||
| Final |  Bethune
|
61 | @  Texas Tech
|
94 | TTU Banker 98% ✓ | TTU -32.5 | TTU won by 33 · covered | 147.5 | OVER 147.5 · 52.3% (155) ✓ | 1 met · TTU 1 · BCU 0 | |||
| Final |  Evansville
|
63 | @  North Texas
|
80 | UNT Banker 89% ✓ | UNT -13.5 | EVAN +13.5 · covers 53% ✗ | UNT won by 17 · covered | 133.5 | Never met | |||
| Final |  C Arkansas
|
50 | @  BYU
|
88 | BYU Banker 98% ✓ | BYU -33.5 | BYU won by 38 · covered | 155.5 | OVER 155.5 · 52.3% (138) ✗ | Never met | |||
| Final |  Idaho St
|
48 | @  Arizona St
|
55 | ASU Banker 94% ✓ | ASU -17.5 | IDST +17.5 · covers 53% ✓ | ASU won by 7 · not covered | 145.5 | 3 met · ASU 3 · IDST 0 | |||
| Final |  UC Davis
|
73 | @  Washington
|
79 | WASH Banker 92% ✓ | WASH -15.5 | UCD +15.5 · covers 53% ✓ | WASH won by 6 · not covered | 147.5 | 1 met · WASH 1 · UCD 0 | |||
| Final | Cal Maritime | 44 | @  Sacramento St
|
106 | SAC Banker 95% ✓ | 1 met · SAC 1 · CMT 0 | |||||||
| Final |  Cal Poly
|
78 | @  San Francisco
|
86 | SF Banker 97% ✓ | SF -20.5 | SF won by 8 · not covered | 153.5 | OVER 153.5 · 52.3% (164) ✓ | 5 met · SF 3 · CP 2 |