Saturday, March 30, 2024 2 games
Today: winner picks 2 of 2 right · total picks 1 of 2 right. Pick: who we think wins (Banker very likely, Solid likely). Line: the bookmaker's handicap. FLA -9.5 means Florida must win by 10 or more to cover. Prediction: our expected winning margin. Line pick: shown only where history shows an edge. Underdogs getting 12 to 17.5 points covered 53% of the time over the last 7 seasons; other lines are close to a coin flip, so no pick. Result: what happened against the line. Total pick: UNDER at neutral-site games (went under 51.8% over 7 seasons), OVER when the spread is 20+ (went over 52.3%). These are small edges, below the ~52.4% normally needed to profit. Model total: our computer's projected combined points (from each team's speed and points per possession) and its over/under call against the O/U line. Tested on 37,000 past games it was right about 50.4% of the time. Not betting advice.
| Time / Status | Away | Home | Pick | Line | Prediction | Line pick | Result | O/U | Total pick | Model total | Prev. meetings | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Final |  3Illinois
|
52 | vs  1UConn
|
77 | CONN Solid 78% ✓ | CONN -8.5 | CONN won by 25 · covered | 153.5 | UNDER 153.5 · 51.8% (129) ✓ | Never met | |||
| Final |  6Clemson
|
82 | vs  4Alabama
|
89 | ALA Solid 62% ✓ | ALA -3.5 | ALA won by 7 · covered | 162.5 | UNDER 162.5 · 51.8% (171) ✗ | 6 met · ALA 1 · CLEM 5 |