Tuesday, March 26, 2024 4 games
Today: winner picks 2 of 3 right · total picks 1 of 2 right. Pick: who we think wins (Banker very likely, Solid likely). Line: the bookmaker's handicap. FLA -9.5 means Florida must win by 10 or more to cover. Prediction: our expected winning margin. Line pick: shown only where history shows an edge. Underdogs getting 12 to 17.5 points covered 53% of the time over the last 7 seasons; other lines are close to a coin flip, so no pick. Result: what happened against the line. Total pick: UNDER at neutral-site games (went under 51.8% over 7 seasons), OVER when the spread is 20+ (went over 52.3%). These are small edges, below the ~52.4% normally needed to profit. Model total: our computer's projected combined points (from each team's speed and points per possession) and its over/under call against the O/U line. Tested on 37,000 past games it was right about 50.4% of the time. Not betting advice.
| Time / Status | Away | Home | Pick | Line | Prediction | Line pick | Result | O/U | Total pick | Model total | Prev. meetings | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Final |  High Point
|
81 | vs  Arkansas St
|
80 | HPU -1.5 | HPU won by 1 · not covered | 160.5 | UNDER 160.5 · 51.8% (161) ✗ | Never met | ||||
| Final |  Georgia
|
79 | @  Ohio State
|
77 | OSU Solid 78% ✗ | OSU -8.5 | OSU lost by 2 · not covered | 150.5 | Never met | ||||
| Final |  Cincinnati
|
81 | @  Indiana St
|
85 | INST Solid 69% ✓ | INST -5.5 | INST won by 4 · not covered | 155.5 | Never met | ||||
| Final |  Seattle U
|
75 | vs  Fairfield
|
58 | SEA Solid 72% ✓ | SEA -6.5 | SEA won by 17 · covered | 143.5 | UNDER 143.5 · 51.8% (133) ✓ | 1 met · FAIR 0 · SEA 1 |