Sunday, March 24, 2024 17 games

Today: winner picks 12 of 16 right · line picks 0 of 1 right · total picks 5 of 12 right. Pick: who we think wins (Banker very likely, Solid likely). Line: the bookmaker's handicap. FLA -9.5 means Florida must win by 10 or more to cover. Prediction: our expected winning margin. Line pick: shown only where history shows an edge. Underdogs getting 12 to 17.5 points covered 53% of the time over the last 7 seasons; other lines are close to a coin flip, so no pick. Result: what happened against the line. Total pick: UNDER at neutral-site games (went under 51.8% over 7 seasons), OVER when the spread is 20+ (went over 52.3%). These are small edges, below the ~52.4% normally needed to profit. Model total: our computer's projected combined points (from each team's speed and points per possession) and its over/under call against the O/U line. Tested on 37,000 past games it was right about 50.4% of the time. Not betting advice.

Time / Status	Away		Home		Pick	Line	Prediction	Line pick	Result	O/U	Total pick	Model total	Prev. meetings
Final	N Colorado	49	vs Cleveland St	51	CLE Solid 62% ✓	CLE -3.5			CLE won by 2 · not covered	155.5	UNDER 155.5 · 51.8% (100) ✓		Never met
Final	10Colorado	77	vs 2Marquette	81	MARQ Solid 66% ✓	MARQ -4.5			MARQ won by 4 · not covered	151.5	UNDER 151.5 · 51.8% (158) ✗		Never met
Final	Montana	82	vs Presbyterian	79	MONT Solid 75% ✓	MONT -7.5			MONT won by 3 · not covered	149.5	UNDER 149.5 · 51.8% (161) ✗		Never met
Final	Minnesota	64	@ Indiana St	76	INST Solid 75% ✓	INST -7.5			INST won by 12 · covered	162.5			1 met · INST 0 · MINN 1
Final	8Utah State	67	vs 1Purdue	106	PUR Solid 85% ✓	PUR -11.5			PUR won by 39 · covered	150.5	UNDER 150.5 · 51.8% (173) ✗		1 met · PUR 1 · USU 0
Final	Fairfield	82	vs Little Rock	75		LR -1.5			LR lost by 7 · not covered	154.5	UNDER 154.5 · 51.8% (157) ✗		Never met
Final	Georgia	72	@ Wake Forest	66	WAKE Solid 75% ✗	WAKE -7.5			WAKE lost by 6 · not covered	156.5			4 met · WAKE 1 · UGA 3
Final	12James Madison	55	vs 4Duke	93	DUKE Solid 72% ✓	DUKE -6.5			DUKE won by 38 · covered	147.5	UNDER 147.5 · 51.8% (148) ✗		Never met
Final	Quinnipiac	63	vs Evansville	64	QUIN Solid 66% ✗	QUIN -4.5			QUIN lost by 1 · not covered	152.5	UNDER 152.5 · 51.8% (127) ✓		Never met
Final	6Clemson	72	vs 3Baylor	64	BAY Solid 66% ✗	BAY -4.5			BAY lost by 8 · not covered	145.5	UNDER 145.5 · 51.8% (136) ✓		Never met
Final	12Grand Canyon	61	vs 4Alabama	72	ALA Solid 69% ✓	ALA -5.5			ALA won by 11 · covered	172.5	UNDER 172.5 · 51.8% (133) ✓		Never met
Final	VCU	70	@ South Florida	65	USF Solid 62% ✗	USF -3.5			USF lost by 5 · not covered	142.5			2 met · USF 1 · VCU 1
Final	9Northwestern	58	vs 1UConn	75	CONN Banker 89% ✓	CONN -13.5		NU +13.5 · covers 53% ✗	CONN won by 17 · covered	135.5	UNDER 135.5 · 51.8% (133) ✓		Never met
Final	9Texas A&M	95	vs 1Houston	100	HOU Solid 78% ✓	HOU -8.5			HOU won by 5 · not covered	134.5	UNDER 134.5 · 51.8% (195) ✗		5 met · HOU 2 · TA&M 3
Final	Iowa	82	@ Utah	91	UTAH Solid 66% ✓	UTAH -4.5			UTAH won by 9 · covered	164.5			Never met
Final	Boston College	70	@ UNLV	79	UNLV Solid 62% ✓	UNLV -3.5			UNLV won by 9 · covered	143.5			Never met
Final	13Yale	57	vs 5San Diego St	85	SDSU Solid 69% ✓	SDSU -5.5			SDSU won by 28 · covered	132.5	UNDER 132.5 · 51.8% (142) ✗		Never met