Saturday, March 23, 2024 15 games

Today: winner picks 14 of 15 right · line picks 1 of 2 right · total picks 3 of 11 right. Pick: who we think wins (Banker very likely, Solid likely). Line: the bookmaker's handicap. FLA -9.5 means Florida must win by 10 or more to cover. Prediction: our expected winning margin. Line pick: shown only where history shows an edge. Underdogs getting 12 to 17.5 points covered 53% of the time over the last 7 seasons; other lines are close to a coin flip, so no pick. Result: what happened against the line. Total pick: UNDER at neutral-site games (went under 51.8% over 7 seasons), OVER when the spread is 20+ (went over 52.3%). These are small edges, below the ~52.4% normally needed to profit. Model total: our computer's projected combined points (from each team's speed and points per possession) and its over/under call against the O/U line. Tested on 37,000 past games it was right about 50.4% of the time. Not betting advice.

Time / Status	Away		Home		Pick	Line	Prediction	Line pick	Result	O/U	Total pick	Model total	Prev. meetings
Final	North Texas	58	@ Seton Hall	72	HALL Solid 66% ✓	HALL -4.5			HALL won by 14 · covered	133.5			Never met
Final	7Dayton	68	vs 2Arizona	78	ARIZ Solid 78% ✓	ARIZ -8.5			ARIZ won by 10 · covered	148.5	UNDER 148.5 · 51.8% (146) ✓		Never met
Final	Arkansas St	86	vs Bethune	85	ARST Banker 87% ✓	ARST -12.5		BCU +12.5 · covers 53% ✓	ARST won by 1 · not covered	152.5	UNDER 152.5 · 51.8% (171) ✗		Never met
Final	Bradley	57	@ Cincinnati	74	CIN Solid 72% ✓	CIN -6.5			CIN won by 17 · covered	143.5			1 met · CIN 0 · BRAD 1
Final	UC San Diego	75	vs Chicago St	77	UCSD Solid 83% ✗	UCSD -10.5			UCSD lost by 2 · not covered	140.5	UNDER 140.5 · 51.8% (152) ✗		Never met
Final	5Gonzaga	89	vs 4Kansas	68	GONZ Solid 62% ✓	GONZ -3.5			GONZ won by 21 · covered	154.5	UNDER 154.5 · 51.8% (157) ✗		1 met · KU 0 · GONZ 1
Final	Alabama A&M	66	@ Norfolk St	81	NORF Solid 81% ✓	NORF -9.5			NORF won by 15 · covered	142.5			1 met · NORF 1 · AAMU 0
Final	9Michigan St	69	vs 1North Carolina	85	UNC Solid 62% ✓	UNC -3.5			UNC won by 16 · covered	143.5	UNDER 143.5 · 51.8% (154) ✗		8 met · UNC 7 · MSU 1
Final	Seattle U	79	vs Delaware St	66	SEA Banker 87% ✓	SEA -12.5		DSU +12.5 · covers 53% ✗	SEA won by 13 · covered	136.5	UNDER 136.5 · 51.8% (145) ✗		Never met
Final	7Washington St	56	vs 2Iowa State	67	ISU Solid 72% ✓	ISU -6.5			ISU won by 11 · covered	126.5	UNDER 126.5 · 51.8% (123) ✓		Never met
Final	Virginia Tech	73	@ Ohio State	81	OSU Solid 69% ✓	OSU -5.5			OSU won by 8 · covered	150.5			2 met · OSU 2 · VT 0
Final	14Oakland	73	vs 11NC State	79	NCSU Solid 72% ✓	NCSU -6.5			NCSU won by 6 · not covered	146.5	UNDER 146.5 · 51.8% (152) ✗		Never met
Final	7Texas	58	vs 2Tennessee	62	TENN Solid 72% ✓	TENN -6.5			TENN won by 4 · not covered	144.5	UNDER 144.5 · 51.8% (120) ✓		6 met · TENN 3 · TEX 3
Final	11Duquesne	63	vs 3Illinois	89	ILL Solid 81% ✓	ILL -9.5			ILL won by 26 · covered	146.5	UNDER 146.5 · 51.8% (152) ✗		Never met
Final	11Oregon	73	vs 3Creighton	86	CREI Solid 62% ✓	CREI -3.5			CREI won by 13 · covered	147.5	UNDER 147.5 · 51.8% (159) ✗		3 met · CREI 1 · ORE 2