Sunday, March 17, 2024 5 games
Today: winner picks 4 of 4 right · total picks 3 of 5 right. Pick: who we think wins (Banker very likely, Solid likely). Line: the bookmaker's handicap. FLA -9.5 means Florida must win by 10 or more to cover. Prediction: our expected winning margin. Line pick: shown only where history shows an edge. Underdogs getting 12 to 17.5 points covered 53% of the time over the last 7 seasons; other lines are close to a coin flip, so no pick. Result: what happened against the line. Total pick: UNDER at neutral-site games (went under 51.8% over 7 seasons), OVER when the spread is 20+ (went over 52.3%). These are small edges, below the ~52.4% normally needed to profit. Model total: our computer's projected combined points (from each team's speed and points per possession) and its over/under call against the O/U line. Tested on 37,000 past games it was right about 50.4% of the time. Not betting advice.
| Time / Status | Away | Home | Pick | Line | Prediction | Line pick | Result | O/U | Total pick | Model total | Prev. meetings | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Final |  Brown
|
61 | vs  Yale
|
62 | YALE Solid 75% ✓ | YALE -7.5 | YALE won by 1 · not covered | 136.5 | UNDER 136.5 · 51.8% (123) ✓ | 42 met · YALE 28 · BRWN 14 | |||
| Final |  Florida
|
67 | vs  12Auburn
|
86 | AUB Solid 69% ✓ | AUB -5.5 | AUB won by 19 · covered | 158.5 | UNDER 158.5 · 51.8% (153) ✓ | 27 met · AUB 5 · FLA 22 | |||
| Final |  Duquesne
|
57 | vs  VCU
|
51 | VCU -1.5 | VCU lost by 6 · not covered | 130.5 | UNDER 130.5 · 51.8% (108) ✓ | 11 met · VCU 8 · DUQ 3 | ||||
| Final |  Temple
|
69 | vs  UAB
|
85 | UAB Solid 72% ✓ | UAB -6.5 | UAB won by 16 · covered | 142.5 | UNDER 142.5 · 51.8% (154) ✗ | 2 met · UAB 1 · TEM 1 | |||
| Final |  Wisconsin
|
87 | vs  13Illinois
|
93 | ILL Solid 62% ✓ | ILL -3.5 | ILL won by 6 · covered | 147.5 | UNDER 147.5 · 51.8% (180) ✗ | 42 met · ILL 17 · WIS 25 |