Tuesday, March 12, 2024 23 games

Today: winner picks 14 of 19 right · line picks 1 of 2 right · total picks 9 of 19 right. Pick: who we think wins (Banker very likely, Solid likely). Line: the bookmaker's handicap. FLA -9.5 means Florida must win by 10 or more to cover. Prediction: our expected winning margin. Line pick: shown only where history shows an edge. Underdogs getting 12 to 17.5 points covered 53% of the time over the last 7 seasons; other lines are close to a coin flip, so no pick. Result: what happened against the line. Total pick: UNDER at neutral-site games (went under 51.8% over 7 seasons), OVER when the spread is 20+ (went over 52.3%). These are small edges, below the ~52.4% normally needed to profit. Model total: our computer's projected combined points (from each team's speed and points per possession) and its over/under call against the O/U line. Tested on 37,000 past games it was right about 50.4% of the time. Not betting advice.

Time / Status	Away		Home		Pick	Line	Prediction	Line pick	Result	O/U	Total pick	Model total	Prev. meetings
Final	Davidson	63	vs Fordham	71		DAV -2.5			DAV lost by 8 · not covered	134.5	UNDER 134.5 · 51.8% (134) ✓		18 met · FOR 3 · DAV 15
Final	Oklahoma St	62	vs UCF	77	UCF Solid 62% ✓	UCF -3.5			UCF won by 15 · covered	136.5	UNDER 136.5 · 51.8% (139) ✗		2 met · UCF 2 · OKST 0
Final	Georgia Tech	80	vs Notre Dame	84		ND -1.5			ND won by 4 · covered	131.5	UNDER 131.5 · 51.8% (164) ✗		23 met · ND 15 · GT 8
Final	G Washington	60	vs La Salle	61		LAS -2.5			LAS won by 1 · not covered	144.5	UNDER 144.5 · 51.8% (121) ✓		32 met · LAS 16 · GW 16
Final	West Virginia	85	vs Cincinnati	90	CIN Solid 81% ✓	CIN -9.5			CIN won by 5 · not covered	144.5	UNDER 144.5 · 51.8% (175) ✗		12 met · CIN 5 · WVU 7
Final	Louisville	85	vs NC State	94	NCSU Solid 81% ✓	NCSU -9.5			NCSU won by 9 · not covered	149.5	UNDER 149.5 · 51.8% (179) ✗		11 met · NCSU 5 · LOU 6
Final	Saint Louis	74	vs Rhode Island	71	SLU Solid 62% ✓	SLU -3.5			SLU won by 3 · not covered	153.5	UNDER 153.5 · 51.8% (145) ✓		25 met · URI 13 · SLU 12
Final	New Hampshire	59	@ Vermont	66	UVM Banker 92% ✓	UVM -15.5		UNH +15.5 · covers 53% ✓	UVM won by 7 · not covered	138.5			48 met · UVM 42 · UNH 6
Final	Canisius	77	vs Mount St Marys	61	MSM Solid 62% ✗	MSM -3.5			MSM lost by 16 · not covered	138.5	UNDER 138.5 · 51.8% (138) ✓		5 met · MSM 4 · CAN 1
Final	Bryant	70	@ UMass Lowell	77	UML Solid 75% ✓	UML -7.5			UML won by 7 · not covered	158.5			4 met · UML 4 · BRY 0
Final	Lamar	57	@ McNeese	76	MCN Banker 89% ✓	MCN -13.5		LAM +13.5 · covers 53% ✗	MCN won by 19 · covered	140.5			40 met · MCN 21 · LAM 19
Final	Wagner	54	@ Merrimack	47	MRMK Solid 75% ✗	MRMK -7.5			MRMK lost by 7 · not covered	119.5			9 met · MRMK 4 · WAG 5
Final	Milwaukee	76	vs Oakland	83	OAK Solid 62% ✓	OAK -3.5			OAK won by 7 · covered	152.5	UNDER 152.5 · 51.8% (159) ✗		24 met · OAK 14 · MILW 10
Final	Stony Brook	79	vs Charleston	82	COFC Solid 81% ✓	COFC -9.5			COFC won by 3 · not covered	149.5	UNDER 149.5 · 51.8% (161) ✗		3 met · COFC 3 · STBK 0
Final	Miami	65	vs Boston College	81		MIA -2.5			MIA lost by 16 · not covered	148.5	UNDER 148.5 · 51.8% (146) ✓		37 met · BC 16 · MIA 21
Final	Sacramento St	71	vs Montana St	74	MTST Solid 66% ✓	MTST -4.5			MTST won by 3 · not covered	134.5	UNDER 134.5 · 51.8% (145) ✗		46 met · MTST 27 · SAC 19
Final	Manhattan	57	vs Iona	60	IONA Solid 78% ✓	IONA -8.5			IONA won by 3 · not covered	137.5	UNDER 137.5 · 51.8% (117) ✓		48 met · IONA 30 · MAN 18
Final	FIU	76	vs Jax State	67	JXST Solid 66% ✗	JXST -4.5			JXST lost by 9 · not covered	142.5	UNDER 142.5 · 51.8% (143) ✗		4 met · JXST 3 · FIU 1
Final	Nicholls	81	vs Texas A&M-CC	73	AMCC Solid 66% ✗	AMCC -4.5			AMCC lost by 8 · not covered	136.5	UNDER 136.5 · 51.8% (154) ✗		24 met · AMCC 14 · NICH 10
Final	17Gonzaga	60	vs 21Saint Mary's	69	GONZ Solid 62% ✗	GONZ -3.5			GONZ lost by 9 · not covered	138.5	UNDER 138.5 · 51.8% (129) ✓		60 met · SMC 14 · GONZ 46
Final	Denver	68	vs S Dakota St	76	SDST Solid 81% ✓	SDST -9.5			SDST won by 8 · not covered	154.5	UNDER 154.5 · 51.8% (144) ✓		28 met · SDST 22 · DEN 6
Final	Idaho St	58	vs Montana	72	MONT Solid 72% ✓	MONT -6.5			MONT won by 14 · covered	137.5	UNDER 137.5 · 51.8% (130) ✓		46 met · MONT 38 · IDST 8
Final	Siena	65	vs Niagara	67	NIA Solid 83% ✓	NIA -10.5			NIA won by 2 · not covered	129.5	UNDER 129.5 · 51.8% (132) ✗		49 met · NIA 21 · SIE 28