Sunday, March 10, 2024 27 games
Today: winner picks 9 of 18 right · line picks 2 of 2 right · total picks 9 of 16 right. Pick: who we think wins (Banker very likely, Solid likely). Line: the bookmaker's handicap. FLA -9.5 means Florida must win by 10 or more to cover. Prediction: our expected winning margin. Line pick: shown only where history shows an edge. Underdogs getting 12 to 17.5 points covered 53% of the time over the last 7 seasons; other lines are close to a coin flip, so no pick. Result: what happened against the line. Total pick: UNDER at neutral-site games (went under 51.8% over 7 seasons), OVER when the spread is 20+ (went over 52.3%). These are small edges, below the ~52.4% normally needed to profit. Model total: our computer's projected combined points (from each team's speed and points per possession) and its over/under call against the O/U line. Tested on 37,000 past games it was right about 50.4% of the time. Not betting advice.
| Time / Status | Away | Home | Pick | Line | Prediction | Line pick | Result | O/U | Total pick | Model total | Prev. meetings | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Final |  Nebraska
|
85 | @  Michigan
|
70 | NEB Solid 72% ✓ | NEB -6.5 | NEB won by 15 · covered | 150.5 | 18 met · MICH 16 · NEB 2 | ||||
| Final |  Longwood
|
85 | vs  UNC Asheville
|
59 | UNCA Solid 62% ✗ | UNCA -3.5 | UNCA lost by 26 · not covered | 138.5 | UNDER 138.5 · 51.8% (144) ✗ | 22 met · UNCA 16 · LONG 6 | |||
| Final |  Monmouth
|
59 | vs  Charleston
|
83 | COFC Solid 81% ✓ | COFC -9.5 | COFC won by 24 · covered | 154.5 | UNDER 154.5 · 51.8% (142) ✓ | 2 met · COFC 2 · MONM 0 | |||
| Final |  Wisconsin
|
70 | @  3Purdue
|
78 | PUR Solid 83% ✓ | PUR -10.5 | PUR won by 8 · not covered | 147.5 | 34 met · PUR 19 · WIS 15 | ||||
| Final |  Ohio State
|
73 | @  Rutgers
|
51 | OSU -1.5 | OSU won by 22 · covered | 136.5 | 16 met · RUTG 4 · OSU 12 | |||||
| Final |  Austin Peay
|
91 | @  Stetson
|
94 | STET Solid 66% ✓ | STET -4.5 | STET won by 3 · not covered | 143.5 | 2 met · STET 2 · APSU 0 | ||||
| Final |  Drake
|
84 | vs  Indiana St
|
80 | INST -2.5 | INST lost by 4 · not covered | 148.5 | UNDER 148.5 · 51.8% (164) ✗ | 47 met · INST 20 · DRKE 27 | ||||
| Final |  Bucknell
|
65 | @  Colgate
|
68 | COLG Solid 85% ✓ | COLG -11.5 | COLG won by 3 · not covered | 133.5 | 47 met · COLG 19 · BUCK 28 | ||||
| Final |  Towson
|
66 | vs  UNC Wilmington
|
56 | UNCW -2.5 | UNCW lost by 10 · not covered | 130.5 | UNDER 130.5 · 51.8% (122) ✓ | 40 met · UNCW 21 · TOW 19 | ||||
| Final |  SMU
|
70 | @  UAB
|
74 | UAB -1.5 | UAB won by 4 · covered | 152.5 | 11 met · UAB 9 · SMU 2 | |||||
| Final |  Temple
|
84 | @  UTSA
|
82 | UTSA Solid 64% ✗ | UTSA -4 | UTSA lost by 2 · not covered | 152.0 | 1 met · UTSA 0 · TEM 1 | ||||
| Final |  Furman
|
77 | vs  Samford
|
84 | SAM Solid 62% ✓ | SAM -3.5 | SAM won by 7 · covered | 157.5 | UNDER 157.5 · 51.8% (161) ✗ | 34 met · SAM 11 · FUR 23 | |||
| Final |  Lehigh
|
84 | @  Boston U
|
79 | LEH -1.5 | LEH won by 5 · covered | 135.5 | 23 met · BU 14 · LEH 9 | |||||
| Final |  Michigan St
|
64 | @  Indiana
|
65 | MSU Solid 62% ✗ | MSU -3.5 | MSU lost by 1 · not covered | 139.5 | 34 met · IU 12 · MSU 22 | ||||
| Final |  Arkansas St
|
67 | vs  App State
|
65 | APP Solid 66% ✗ | APP -4.5 | APP lost by 2 · not covered | 145.5 | UNDER 145.5 · 51.8% (132) ✓ | 15 met · APP 9 · ARST 6 | |||
| Final |  LSU N Orleans
|
78 | vs  SE Louisiana
|
66 | SELA Solid 69% ✗ | SELA -5.5 | SELA lost by 12 · not covered | 145.5 | UNDER 145.5 · 51.8% (144) ✓ | 27 met · SELA 14 · NOLA 13 | |||
| Final |  Stony Brook
|
91 | vs  Drexel
|
88 | DREX Solid 69% ✗ | DREX -5.5 | DREX lost by 3 · not covered | 138.5 | UNDER 138.5 · 51.8% (179) ✗ | 2 met · DREX 1 · STBK 1 | |||
| Final |  ETSU
|
85 | vs  Chattanooga
|
84 | UTC Solid 69% ✗ | UTC -5.5 | UTC lost by 1 · not covered | 139.5 | UNDER 139.5 · 51.8% (169) ✗ | 37 met · UTC 18 · ETSU 19 | |||
| Final |  12Illinois
|
73 | @  Iowa
|
61 | ILL -1.5 | ILL won by 12 · covered | 171.5 | 37 met · IOWA 14 · ILL 23 | |||||
| Final |  N Dakota St
|
58 | vs  St Thomas
|
68 | STMN Solid 66% ✓ | STMN -4.5 | STMN won by 10 · covered | 132.5 | UNDER 132.5 · 51.8% (126) ✓ | 6 met · STMN 2 · NDSU 4 | |||
| Final |  Maryland
|
69 | @  Penn State
|
85 | MD -1.5 | MD lost by 16 · not covered | 142.5 | 16 met · PSU 7 · MD 9 | |||||
| Final |  Sacramento St
|
74 | vs  E Washington
|
69 | EWU Banker 89% ✗ | EWU -13.5 | SAC +13.5 · covers 53% ✓ | EWU lost by 5 · not covered | 145.5 | UNDER 145.5 · 51.8% (143) ✓ | 45 met · EWU 33 · SAC 12 | ||
| Final |  Texas St
|
68 | vs  James Madison
|
73 | JMU Banker 87% ✓ | JMU -12.5 | TXST +12.5 · covers 53% ✓ | JMU won by 5 · not covered | 139.5 | UNDER 139.5 · 51.8% (141) ✗ | 2 met · JMU 1 · TXST 1 | ||
| Final |  East Texas A&M
|
69 | vs  N'Western St
|
64 | ETAM -1.5 | ETAM won by 5 · covered | 133.5 | UNDER 133.5 · 51.8% (133) ✓ | 4 met · NWST 3 · ETAM 1 | ||||
| Final |  Delaware
|
58 | vs  Hofstra
|
73 | HOF Solid 69% ✓ | HOF -5.5 | HOF won by 15 · covered | 139.5 | UNDER 139.5 · 51.8% (131) ✓ | 49 met · HOF 35 · DEL 14 | |||
| Final |  Omaha
|
73 | vs  North Dakota
|
72 | UND -1.5 | UND lost by 1 · not covered | 147.5 | UNDER 147.5 · 51.8% (145) ✓ | 16 met · UND 4 · OMA 12 | ||||
| Final |  Idaho St
|
83 | vs  N Colorado
|
76 | UNCO Solid 66% ✗ | UNCO -4.5 | UNCO lost by 7 · not covered | 146.5 | UNDER 146.5 · 51.8% (159) ✗ | 36 met · UNCO 21 · IDST 15 |