NCAA Predictor
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Saturday, March 9, 2024 102 games

Today: winner picks 66 of 83 right · line picks 8 of 11 right · total picks 12 of 24 right. Pick: who we think wins (Banker very likely, Solid likely). Line: the bookmaker's handicap. FLA -9.5 means Florida must win by 10 or more to cover. Prediction: our expected winning margin. Line pick: shown only where history shows an edge. Underdogs getting 12 to 17.5 points covered 53% of the time over the last 7 seasons; other lines are close to a coin flip, so no pick. Result: what happened against the line. Total pick: UNDER at neutral-site games (went under 51.8% over 7 seasons), OVER when the spread is 20+ (went over 52.3%). These are small edges, below the ~52.4% normally needed to profit. Model total: our computer's projected combined points (from each team's speed and points per possession) and its over/under call against the O/U line. Tested on 37,000 past games it was right about 50.4% of the time. Not betting advice.

Time / StatusAwayHomePickLinePredictionLine pickResultO/UTotal pickModel totalPrev. meetings
Final Brown 84 @ Yale 81 YALE Solid 85% ✗ YALE -11.5 YALE lost by 3 · not covered 137.5 41 met · YALE 28 · BRWN 13
Final Arkansas 88 @ 16Alabama 92 ALA Banker 92% ✓ ALA -15.5 ARK +15.5 · covers 53% ✓ ALA won by 4 · not covered 174.5 34 met · ALA 18 · ARK 16
Final Georgetown 78 @ St John's 86 SJU Banker 95% ✓ SJU -18.5 SJU won by 8 · not covered 153.5 44 met · SJU 20 · GTWN 24
Final Memphis 84 @ FAU 92 FAU Solid 75% ✓ FAU -7.5 FAU won by 8 · covered 162.5 2 met · FAU 1 · MEM 1
Final Longwood 80 vs High Point 79 HPU Solid 75% ✗ HPU -7.5 HPU lost by 1 · not covered 148.5 UNDER 148.5 · 51.8% (159) ✗ 32 met · HPU 17 · LONG 15
Final Mercer 57 vs Samford 70 SAM Solid 78% ✓ SAM -8.5 SAM won by 13 · covered 153.5 UNDER 153.5 · 51.8% (127) ✓ 23 met · SAM 4 · MER 19
Final Le Moyne 51 @ Merrimack 61 MRMK Solid 75% ✓ MRMK -7.5 MRMK won by 10 · covered 133.5 2 met · MRMK 2 · LEM 0
Final Campbell 67 vs Monmouth 90 MONM Solid 66% ✓ MONM -4.5 MONM won by 23 · covered 144.5 UNDER 144.5 · 51.8% (157) ✗ 1 met · MONM 1 · CAM 0
Final Saint Louis 73 @ St Bonaventure 65 SBU Solid 85% ✗ SBU -11.5 SBU lost by 8 · not covered 152.5 27 met · SBU 16 · SLU 11
Final GA Southern 80 vs App State 85 APP Banker 87% ✓ APP -12.5 GASO +12.5 · covers 53% ✓ APP won by 5 · not covered 145.5 UNDER 145.5 · 51.8% (165) ✗ 40 met · APP 25 · GASO 15
Final Western KY 79 @ Liberty 82 LIB Solid 69% ✓ LIB -5.5 LIB won by 3 · not covered 151.5 1 met · LIB 0 · WKU 1
Final Siena 54 @ Iona 68 IONA Banker 91% ✓ IONA -14.5 SIE +14.5 · covers 53% ✓ IONA won by 14 · not covered 134.5 48 met · IONA 25 · SIE 23
Final Davidson 71 @ Saint Joseph's 89 JOES Solid 69% ✓ JOES -5.5 JOES won by 18 · covered 142.5 15 met · JOES 4 · DAV 11
Final Rhode Island 58 @ Fordham 50 FOR Solid 72% ✗ FOR -6.5 FOR lost by 8 · not covered 147.5 36 met · FOR 13 · URI 23
Final Cornell 98 @ Columbia 76 COR Solid 72% ✓ COR -6.5 COR won by 22 · covered 163.5 41 met · COLU 15 · COR 26
Final Niagara 62 @ Marist 63 MRST Solid 62% ✓ MRST -3.5 MRST won by 1 · not covered 131.5 48 met · MRST 21 · NIA 27
Final Quinnipiac 89 @ Saint Peter's 74 SPU -2.5 SPU lost by 15 · not covered 140.5 22 met · SPU 14 · QUIN 8
Final G Washington 65 @ Duquesne 67 DUQ Solid 83% ✓ DUQ -10.5 DUQ won by 2 · not covered 143.5 33 met · DUQ 13 · GW 20
Final Texas A&M 86 @ Ole Miss 60 MISS -1.5 MISS lost by 26 · not covered 143.5 14 met · MISS 5 · TA&M 9
Final West Virginia 56 @ Cincinnati 92 CIN Solid 85% ✓ CIN -11.5 CIN won by 36 · covered 146.5 11 met · CIN 4 · WVU 7
Final 6Iowa State 58 @ Kansas St 65 ISU Solid 66% ✗ ISU -4.5 ISU lost by 7 · not covered 135.5 46 met · KSU 24 · ISU 22
Final Oklahoma 80 @ Texas 94 TEX Solid 69% ✓ TEX -5.5 TEX won by 14 · covered 142.5 46 met · TEX 31 · OU 15
Final Gardner-Webb 72 vs UNC Asheville 83 UNCA Solid 62% ✓ UNCA -3.5 UNCA won by 11 · covered 145.5 UNDER 145.5 · 51.8% (155) ✗ 31 met · UNCA 18 · GWEB 13
Final Maine 58 @ Bryant 84 BRY Solid 66% ✓ BRY -4.5 BRY won by 26 · covered 145.5 4 met · BRY 2 · ME 2
Final Wagner 66 @ C Connecticut 56 CCSU Solid 72% ✗ CCSU -6.5 CCSU lost by 10 · not covered 125.5 44 met · CCSU 17 · WAG 27
Final Richmond 46 @ George Mason 64 GMU -2.5 GMU won by 18 · covered 133.5 22 met · GMU 14 · RICH 8
Final 17South Carolina 93 @ Mississippi St 89 MSST Solid 69% ✗ MSST -5.5 MSST lost by 4 · not covered 132.5 35 met · MSST 22 · SC 13
Final 10Creighton 69 @ Villanova 67 CREI -1.5 CREI won by 2 · covered 137.5 24 met · VILL 16 · CREI 8
Final Notre Dame 76 @ Virginia Tech 82 VT Solid 83% ✓ VT -10.5 VT won by 6 · not covered 136.5 18 met · VT 9 · ND 9
Final ETSU 73 vs UNC Greensboro 62 UNCG Solid 72% ✗ UNCG -6.5 UNCG lost by 11 · not covered 133.5 UNDER 133.5 · 51.8% (135) ✗ 29 met · UNCG 13 · ETSU 16
Final William & Mary 56 vs Towson 67 TOW Solid 85% ✓ TOW -11.5 TOW won by 11 · not covered 129.5 UNDER 129.5 · 51.8% (123) ✓ 41 met · TOW 20 · W&M 21
Final Jax State 73 @ Sam Houston 81 SHSU Solid 72% ✓ SHSU -6.5 SHSU won by 8 · covered 136.5 1 met · SHSU 0 · JXST 1
Final MTSU 70 @ Louisiana Tech 84 LT Banker 87% ✓ LT -12.5 MTSU +12.5 · covers 53% ✗ LT won by 14 · covered 132.5 12 met · LT 7 · MTSU 5
Final Utah Tech 71 @ SF Austin 84 SFA Solid 85% ✓ SFA -11.5 SFA won by 13 · covered 146.5 4 met · SFA 2 · UTU 2
Final 24South Florida 70 @ Tulsa 76 USF Solid 69% ✗ USF -5.5 USF lost by 6 · not covered 147.5 15 met · TLSA 12 · USF 3
Final Louisiana 62 vs Arkansas St 89 ARST Solid 62% ✓ ARST -3.5 ARST won by 27 · covered 151.5 UNDER 151.5 · 51.8% (151) ✓ 42 met · ARST 15 · UL 27
Final UMBC 89 @ UMass Lowell 94 UML Solid 75% ✓ UML -7.5 UML won by 5 · not covered 162.5 23 met · UML 15 · UMBC 8
Final Binghamton 64 @ New Hampshire 77 UNH Solid 69% ✓ UNH -5.5 UNH won by 13 · covered 145.5 47 met · UNH 24 · BING 23
Final UAlbany 72 @ Vermont 75 UVM Banker 93% ✓ UVM -16.5 UALB +16.5 · covers 53% ✓ UVM won by 3 · not covered 144.5 51 met · UVM 37 · UALB 14
Final Miss Valley St 67 @ Jackson St 68 JKST Banker 92% ✓ JKST -15.5 MVSU +15.5 · covers 53% ✓ JKST won by 1 · not covered 136.5 48 met · JKST 28 · MVSU 20
Final Northern Iowa 72 vs Indiana St 94 INST Solid 75% ✓ INST -7.5 INST won by 22 · covered 149.5 UNDER 149.5 · 51.8% (166) ✗ 45 met · INST 21 · UNI 24
Final FIU 70 @ New Mexico St 77 NMSU Solid 62% ✓ NMSU -3.5 NMSU won by 7 · covered 143.5 4 met · NMSU 3 · FIU 1
Final Utah Valley 74 @ Abilene Chrstn 67 ACU -2.5 ACU lost by 7 · not covered 137.5 5 met · ACU 2 · UVU 3
Final Bethune 67 @ Florida A&M 66 BCU -2.5 BCU won by 1 · not covered 137.5 41 met · FAMU 13 · BCU 28
Final Canisius 73 @ Manhattan 70 CAN -2.5 CAN won by 3 · covered 137.5 40 met · MAN 25 · CAN 15
Final Fairfield 96 @ Mount St Marys 92 FAIR -1.5 FAIR won by 4 · covered 148.5 3 met · MSM 0 · FAIR 3
Final Colorado St 82 @ Air Force 73 CSU Solid 83% ✓ CSU -10.5 CSU won by 9 · not covered 133.5 45 met · AF 16 · CSU 29
Final La Salle 54 @ Loyola Chicago 64 LUC Banker 87% ✓ LUC -12.5 LAS +12.5 · covers 53% ✓ LUC won by 10 · not covered 143.5 1 met · LUC 1 · LAS 0
Final 15Kentucky 85 @ 4Tennessee 81 TENN Solid 78% ✗ TENN -8.5 TENN lost by 4 · not covered 167.5 46 met · TENN 16 · UK 30
Final Charlotte 82 @ East Carolina 72 ECU -2.5 ECU lost by 10 · not covered 130.5 19 met · ECU 6 · CLT 13
Final 14Kansas 46 @ 1Houston 76 HOU Solid 75% ✓ HOU -7.5 HOU won by 30 · covered 138.5 1 met · HOU 0 · KU 1
Final Miami 75 @ Florida St 83 FSU Solid 66% ✓ FSU -4.5 FSU won by 8 · covered 153.5 42 met · FSU 29 · MIA 13
Final AR-Pine Bluff 95 @ Alcorn St 104 ALCN Solid 78% ✓ ALCN -8.5 ALCN won by 9 · covered 155.5 42 met · ALCN 24 · UAPB 18
Final Florida 78 @ Vanderbilt 79 FLA Solid 81% ✗ FLA -9.5 FLA lost by 1 · not covered 153.5 45 met · VAN 15 · FLA 30
Final Seattle U 66 @ Tarleton St 69 TAR -1.5 TAR won by 3 · covered 137.5 3 met · TAR 1 · SEA 2
Final 8Marquette 86 @ Xavier 80 MARQ Solid 62% ✓ MARQ -3.5 MARQ won by 6 · covered 159.5 26 met · XAV 12 · MARQ 14
Final Southern 56 @ Alabama A&M 66 SOU -2.5 SOU lost by 10 · not covered 131.5 46 met · AAMU 17 · SOU 29
Final Grambling 84 @ Alabama St 87 ALST -1.5 ALST won by 3 · covered 130.5 44 met · ALST 28 · GRAM 16
Final UCF 79 @ TCU 77 TCU Solid 75% ✗ TCU -7.5 TCU lost by 2 · not covered 143.5 1 met · TCU 1 · UCF 0
Final Colorado 73 @ Oregon St 57 COLO Solid 78% ✓ COLO -8.5 COLO won by 16 · covered 145.5 29 met · ORST 11 · COLO 18
Final Boston College 67 @ Louisville 61 BC Solid 66% ✓ BC -4.5 BC won by 6 · covered 150.5 12 met · LOU 8 · BC 4
Final UC Davis 88 @ Long Beach St 78 LBSU -2.5 LBSU lost by 10 · not covered 149.5 40 met · LBSU 27 · UCD 13
Final Princeton 105 @ Penn 83 PRIN Solid 72% ✓ PRIN -6.5 PRIN won by 22 · covered 141.5 43 met · PENN 15 · PRIN 28
Final Prairie View 78 @ Texas Southern 93 TXSO Solid 81% ✓ TXSO -9.5 TXSO won by 15 · covered 143.5 49 met · TXSO 28 · PV 21
Final 11Baylor 68 @ Texas Tech 78 TTU -2.5 TTU won by 10 · covered 146.5 44 met · TTU 17 · BAY 27
Final Clemson 76 @ Wake Forest 81 WAKE Solid 62% ✓ WAKE -3.5 WAKE won by 5 · covered 149.5 30 met · WAKE 13 · CLEM 17
Final Wofford 57 vs Chattanooga 75 UTC Solid 69% ✓ UTC -5.5 UTC won by 18 · covered 144.5 UNDER 144.5 · 51.8% (132) ✓ 42 met · UTC 24 · WOF 18
Final Texas St 74 vs Troy 68 TROY Solid 69% ✗ TROY -5.5 TROY lost by 6 · not covered 137.5 UNDER 137.5 · 51.8% (142) ✗ 18 met · TROY 8 · TXST 10
Final Bradley 67 vs Drake 72 DRKE -1.5 DRKE won by 5 · covered 137.5 UNDER 137.5 · 51.8% (139) ✗ 52 met · DRKE 27 · BRAD 25
Final Northeastern 65 vs Stony Brook 75 STBK -1.5 STBK won by 10 · covered 138.5 UNDER 138.5 · 51.8% (140) ✗ 15 met · STBK 8 · NE 7
Final Georgia 78 @ 13Auburn 92 AUB Banker 92% ✓ AUB -15.5 UGA +15.5 · covers 53% ✓ AUB won by 14 · not covered 152.5 34 met · AUB 18 · UGA 16
Final 7North Carolina 84 @ 9Duke 79 DUKE Solid 66% ✗ DUKE -4.5 DUKE lost by 5 · not covered 150.5 49 met · DUKE 27 · UNC 22
Final Cal Poly 87 @ UC San Diego 92 UCSD Banker 94% ✓ UCSD -17.5 CP +17.5 · covers 53% ✓ UCSD won by 5 · not covered 138.5 5 met · UCSD 2 · CP 3
Final Wyoming 86 @ Fresno St 47 FRES -1.5 FRES lost by 39 · not covered 137.5 23 met · FRES 13 · WYO 10
Final Utah 65 @ Oregon 66 ORE Solid 66% ✓ ORE -4.5 ORE won by 1 · not covered 151.5 29 met · ORE 24 · UTAH 5
Final Oral Roberts 63 vs S Dakota St 79 SDST Solid 75% ✓ SDST -7.5 SDST won by 16 · covered 147.5 UNDER 147.5 · 51.8% (142) ✓ 33 met · SDST 19 · ORU 14
Final Southern Utah 68 @ UT Rio Grande 59 SUU Solid 66% ✓ SUU -4.5 SUU won by 9 · covered 154.5 2 met · RGV 0 · SUU 2
Final Sacramento St 72 vs Idaho 64 IDHO -2.5 IDHO lost by 8 · not covered 129.5 UNDER 129.5 · 51.8% (136) ✗ 23 met · IDHO 13 · SAC 10
Final NC State 73 @ Pitt 81 PITT Solid 72% ✓ PITT -6.5 PITT won by 8 · covered 147.5 16 met · PITT 4 · NCSU 12
Final Grand Canyon 68 @ CA Baptist 47 GCU Solid 72% ✓ GCU -6.5 GCU won by 21 · covered 138.5 11 met · CBU 3 · GCU 8
Final 2UConn 74 @ Providence 60 CONN Solid 81% ✓ CONN -9.5 CONN won by 14 · covered 140.5 21 met · PROV 10 · CONN 11
Final North Texas 71 @ Rice 55 UNT Solid 69% ✓ UNT -5.5 UNT won by 16 · covered 131.5 25 met · RICE 7 · UNT 18
Final Georgia Tech 57 @ Virginia 72 UVA Solid 81% ✓ UVA -9.5 UVA won by 15 · covered 123.5 31 met · UVA 22 · GT 9
Final Morehead St 69 vs Little Rock 55 MORE Solid 66% ✓ MORE -4.5 MORE won by 14 · covered 135.5 UNDER 135.5 · 51.8% (124) ✓ 3 met · LR 2 · MORE 1
Final Missouri 80 @ LSU 84 LSU Solid 75% ✓ LSU -7.5 LSU won by 4 · not covered 151.5 14 met · LSU 10 · MIZ 4
Final DePaul 62 @ Seton Hall 86 HALL Banker 98% ✓ HALL -26.5 HALL won by 24 · not covered 144.5 OVER 144.5 · 52.3% (148) ✓ 32 met · HALL 22 · DEP 10
Final New Mexico 85 @ 22Utah State 87 USU Solid 62% ✓ USU -3.5 USU won by 2 · not covered 160.5 23 met · USU 14 · UNM 9
Final Furman 79 vs W Carolina 76 FUR -1.5 FUR won by 3 · covered 148.5 UNDER 148.5 · 51.8% (155) ✗ 38 met · WCU 12 · FUR 26
Final Marshall 64 vs James Madison 81 JMU Solid 85% ✓ JMU -11.5 JMU won by 17 · covered 151.5 UNDER 151.5 · 51.8% (145) ✓ 8 met · JMU 6 · MRSH 2
Final Hampton 50 vs Delaware 80 DEL Solid 83% ✓ DEL -10.5 DEL won by 30 · covered 139.5 UNDER 139.5 · 51.8% (130) ✓ 8 met · DEL 6 · HAMP 2
Final UC Irvine 81 @ Fullerton 71 UCI Solid 81% ✓ UCI -9.5 UCI won by 10 · covered 140.5 48 met · CSUF 21 · UCI 27
Final Oklahoma St 71 @ 20BYU 85 BYU Banker 89% ✓ BYU -13.5 OKST +13.5 · covers 53% ✗ BYU won by 14 · covered 150.5 3 met · BYU 1 · OKST 2
Final Minnesota 66 @ Northwestern 90 NU Solid 66% ✓ NU -4.5 NU won by 24 · covered 139.5 43 met · NU 21 · MINN 22
Final Denver 61 vs Kansas City 60 KC Solid 69% ✗ KC -5.5 KC lost by 1 · not covered 147.5 UNDER 147.5 · 51.8% (121) ✓ 10 met · KC 7 · DEN 3
Final UC Riverside 81 @ Santa Barbara 64 UCSB Solid 66% ✗ UCSB -4.5 UCSB lost by 17 · not covered 146.5 44 met · UCSB 31 · UCR 13
Final 5Arizona 65 @ USC 78 ARIZ Solid 78% ✗ ARIZ -8.5 ARIZ lost by 13 · not covered 162.5 43 met · USC 14 · ARIZ 29
Final Idaho St 68 vs N Arizona 60 IDST Solid 66% ✓ IDST -4.5 IDST won by 8 · covered 138.5 UNDER 138.5 · 51.8% (128) ✓ 46 met · NAU 22 · IDST 24
Final San Diego 79 vs Santa Clara 104 SCU Solid 85% ✓ SCU -11.5 SCU won by 25 · covered 148.5 UNDER 148.5 · 51.8% (183) ✗ 47 met · SCU 28 · USD 19
Final UNLV 65 @ Nevada 75 NEV Solid 69% ✓ NEV -5.5 NEV won by 10 · covered 136.5 35 met · NEV 18 · UNLV 17
Final Arizona St 47 @ UCLA 59 UCLA Solid 72% ✓ UCLA -6.5 UCLA won by 12 · covered 132.5 41 met · UCLA 28 · ASU 13
Final Bakersfield 57 @ Hawai'i 74 HAW Solid 72% ✓ HAW -6.5 HAW won by 17 · covered 132.5 8 met · HAW 6 · CSUB 2
Final Portland 51 vs San Francisco 72 SF Banker 92% ✓ SF -15.5 PORT +15.5 · covers 53% ✗ SF won by 21 · covered 142.5 UNDER 142.5 · 51.8% (123) ✓ 46 met · SF 36 · PORT 10