NCAA Predictor
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Monday, March 4, 2024 22 games

Today: winner picks 15 of 19 right · line picks 1 of 1 right · total picks 1 of 1 right. Pick: who we think wins (Banker very likely, Solid likely). Line: the bookmaker's handicap. FLA -9.5 means Florida must win by 10 or more to cover. Prediction: our expected winning margin. Line pick: shown only where history shows an edge. Underdogs getting 12 to 17.5 points covered 53% of the time over the last 7 seasons; other lines are close to a coin flip, so no pick. Result: what happened against the line. Total pick: UNDER at neutral-site games (went under 51.8% over 7 seasons), OVER when the spread is 20+ (went over 52.3%). These are small edges, below the ~52.4% normally needed to profit. Model total: our computer's projected combined points (from each team's speed and points per possession) and its over/under call against the O/U line. Tested on 37,000 past games it was right about 50.4% of the time. Not betting advice.

Time / StatusAwayHomePickLinePredictionLine pickResultO/UTotal pickModel totalPrev. meetings
Final 9Duke 79 @ NC State 64 DUKE Solid 69% ✓ DUKE -5.5 DUKE won by 15 · covered 149.5 35 met · NCSU 10 · DUKE 25
Final Queens 69 @ FGCU 63 FGCU Solid 62% ✗ FGCU -3.5 FGCU lost by 6 · not covered 154.5 4 met · FGCU 1 · QUC 3
Final Jacksonville 92 @ Kennesaw St 86 KENN -2.5 KENN lost by 6 · not covered 148.5 38 met · KENN 13 · JAX 25
Final Nicholls 68 @ N'Western St 62 NICH -1.5 NICH won by 6 · covered 142.5 43 met · NWST 24 · NICH 19
Final SE Louisiana 73 @ Incarnate Word 56 SELA Solid 62% ✓ SELA -3.5 SELA won by 17 · covered 143.5 12 met · UIW 3 · SELA 9
Final MD Eastern 50 @ Norfolk St 69 NORF Solid 85% ✓ NORF -11.5 NORF won by 19 · covered 133.5 36 met · NORF 32 · UMES 4
Final Delaware St 66 @ Howard 85 HOW Solid 69% ✓ HOW -5.5 HOW won by 19 · covered 144.5 35 met · HOW 14 · DSU 21
Final NC Central 79 @ Morgan St 88 NCCU Solid 81% ✗ NCCU -9.5 NCCU lost by 9 · not covered 147.5 15 met · MORG 3 · NCCU 12
Final SC State 61 @ Coppin St 58 SCST Solid 83% ✓ SCST -10.5 SCST won by 3 · not covered 135.5 35 met · COPP 16 · SCST 19
Final N Colorado 82 @ N Arizona 74 UNCO Solid 62% ✓ UNCO -3.5 UNCO won by 8 · covered 156.5 38 met · NAU 15 · UNCO 23
Final Hou Christian 69 @ McNeese 87 MCN Banker 98% ✓ MCN -29.5 MCN won by 18 · not covered 155.5 OVER 155.5 · 52.3% (156) ✓ 19 met · MCN 11 · HCU 8
Final LSU N Orleans 60 @ Texas A&M-CC 73 AMCC Banker 91% ✓ AMCC -14.5 NOLA +14.5 · covers 53% ✓ AMCC won by 13 · not covered 156.5 23 met · AMCC 10 · NOLA 13
Final Lamar 70 @ East Texas A&M 53 LAM Solid 66% ✓ LAM -4.5 LAM won by 17 · covered 145.5 3 met · ETAM 2 · LAM 1
Final Bethune 60 @ Grambling 69 GRAM Solid 66% ✓ GRAM -4.5 GRAM won by 9 · covered 133.5 7 met · GRAM 5 · BCU 2
Final Jackson St 79 @ Prairie View 74 JKST -2.5 JKST won by 5 · covered 144.5 47 met · PV 21 · JKST 26
Final Alcorn St 82 @ Texas Southern 79 TXSO Solid 66% ✗ TXSO -4.5 TXSO lost by 3 · not covered 136.5 50 met · TXSO 38 · ALCN 12
Final E Washington 91 @ Sacramento St 88 EWU Solid 78% ✓ EWU -8.5 EWU won by 3 · not covered 143.5 44 met · SAC 12 · EWU 32
Final Idaho St 65 @ Montana 79 MONT Solid 78% ✓ MONT -8.5 MONT won by 14 · covered 138.5 45 met · MONT 37 · IDST 8
Final Weber St 64 @ Montana St 76 WEB Solid 66% ✗ WEB -4.5 WEB lost by 12 · not covered 144.5 45 met · MTST 15 · WEB 30
Final Florida A&M 44 @ Southern 58 SOU Solid 81% ✓ SOU -9.5 SOU won by 14 · covered 139.5 10 met · SOU 8 · FAMU 2
Final Texas 85 @ 11Baylor 93 BAY Solid 75% ✓ BAY -7.5 BAY won by 8 · covered 146.5 47 met · BAY 22 · TEX 25
Final Idaho 57 @ Portland St 72 PRST Solid 72% ✓ PRST -6.5 PRST won by 15 · covered 141.5 22 met · PRST 13 · IDHO 9