Sunday, March 3, 2024 19 games

Today: winner picks 12 of 17 right · line picks 2 of 3 right. Pick: who we think wins (Banker very likely, Solid likely). Line: the bookmaker's handicap. FLA -9.5 means Florida must win by 10 or more to cover. Prediction: our expected winning margin. Line pick: shown only where history shows an edge. Underdogs getting 12 to 17.5 points covered 53% of the time over the last 7 seasons; other lines are close to a coin flip, so no pick. Result: what happened against the line. Total pick: UNDER at neutral-site games (went under 51.8% over 7 seasons), OVER when the spread is 20+ (went over 52.3%). These are small edges, below the ~52.4% normally needed to profit. Model total: our computer's projected combined points (from each team's speed and points per possession) and its over/under call against the O/U line. Tested on 37,000 past games it was right about 50.4% of the time. Not betting advice.

Time / Status	Away		Home		Pick	Line	Prediction	Line pick	Result	O/U	Total pick	Model total	Prev. meetings
Final	Seton Hall	61	@ 3UConn	91	CONN Banker 92% ✓	CONN -15.5		HALL +15.5 · covers 53% ✗	CONN won by 30 · covered	139.5			21 met · CONN 16 · HALL 5
Final	Rider	65	@ Canisius	61		RID -1.5			RID won by 4 · covered	144.5			45 met · CAN 14 · RID 31
Final	Iona	71	@ Marist	64	MRST Solid 66% ✗	MRST -4.5			MRST lost by 7 · not covered	134.5			44 met · MRST 13 · IONA 31
Final	Mount St Marys	91	@ Niagara	72	NIA Solid 66% ✗	NIA -4.5			NIA lost by 19 · not covered	139.5			5 met · NIA 4 · MSM 1
Final	Siena	57	@ Quinnipiac	71	QUIN Banker 95% ✓	QUIN -18.5			QUIN won by 14 · not covered	146.5			20 met · QUIN 9 · SIE 11
Final	Manhattan	57	@ Saint Peter's	89	SPU Solid 85% ✓	SPU -11.5			SPU won by 32 · covered	131.5			47 met · SPU 20 · MAN 27
Final	Indiana	83	@ Maryland	78	MD Solid 78% ✗	MD -8.5			MD lost by 5 · not covered	136.5			17 met · MD 8 · IU 9
Final	UIC	59	@ Missouri St	69	MOST Solid 69% ✓	MOST -5.5			MOST won by 10 · covered	147.5			3 met · MOST 3 · UIC 0
Final	Northern Iowa	82	@ S Illinois	70	SIU Solid 62% ✗	SIU -3.5			SIU lost by 12 · not covered	137.5			48 met · SIU 20 · UNI 28
Final	Illinois St	72	@ Valparaiso	75	ILST Solid 69% ✗	ILST -5.5			ILST lost by 3 · not covered	138.5			13 met · VAL 11 · ILST 2
Final	Kansas City	71	@ Oral Roberts	54		ORU -2.5			ORU lost by 17 · not covered	142.5			29 met · ORU 21 · KC 8
Final	East Carolina	69	@ North Texas	84	UNT Solid 78% ✓	UNT -8.5			UNT won by 15 · covered	122.5			2 met · UNT 2 · ECU 0
Final	Bradley	66	@ Drake	74	DRKE Solid 66% ✓	DRKE -4.5			DRKE won by 8 · covered	148.5			51 met · DRKE 26 · BRAD 25
Final	Michigan	61	@ Ohio State	84	OSU Solid 85% ✓	OSU -11.5			OSU won by 23 · covered	144.5			41 met · OSU 25 · MICH 16
Final	Murray St	77	@ Indiana St	89	INST Banker 89% ✓	INST -13.5		MUR +13.5 · covers 53% ✓	INST won by 12 · not covered	151.5			6 met · INST 3 · MUR 3
Final	Evansville	66	@ Belmont	83	BEL Solid 83% ✓	BEL -10.5			BEL won by 17 · covered	153.5			7 met · BEL 5 · EVAN 2
Final	UAB	87	@ Memphis	106	MEM Solid 78% ✓	MEM -8.5			MEM won by 19 · covered	158.5			26 met · MEM 22 · UAB 4
Final	Rutgers	56	@ Nebraska	67	NEB Solid 78% ✓	NEB -8.5			NEB won by 11 · covered	140.5			18 met · NEB 10 · RUTG 8
Final	Stanford	71	@ Colorado	81	COLO Banker 87% ✓	COLO -12.5		STAN +12.5 · covers 53% ✓	COLO won by 10 · not covered	155.5			22 met · COLO 16 · STAN 6