NCAA Predictor
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Thursday, February 29, 2024 51 games

Today: winner picks 32 of 43 right · line picks 1 of 5 right · total picks 0 of 1 right. Pick: who we think wins (Banker very likely, Solid likely). Line: the bookmaker's handicap. FLA -9.5 means Florida must win by 10 or more to cover. Prediction: our expected winning margin. Line pick: shown only where history shows an edge. Underdogs getting 12 to 17.5 points covered 53% of the time over the last 7 seasons; other lines are close to a coin flip, so no pick. Result: what happened against the line. Total pick: UNDER at neutral-site games (went under 51.8% over 7 seasons), OVER when the spread is 20+ (went over 52.3%). These are small edges, below the ~52.4% normally needed to profit. Model total: our computer's projected combined points (from each team's speed and points per possession) and its over/under call against the O/U line. Tested on 37,000 past games it was right about 50.4% of the time. Not betting advice.

Time / StatusAwayHomePickLinePredictionLine pickResultO/UTotal pickModel totalPrev. meetings
Final Maine 74 @ Binghamton 76 BING Solid 62% ✓ BING -3.5 BING won by 2 · not covered 129.5 43 met · BING 22 · ME 21
Final Bryant 67 @ UMass Lowell 89 UML Solid 69% ✓ UML -5.5 UML won by 22 · covered 160.5 3 met · UML 3 · BRY 0
Final Nebraska 69 @ Ohio State 78 OSU -2.5 OSU won by 9 · covered 143.5 21 met · OSU 16 · NEB 5
Final UTEP 72 @ Jax State 65 JXST Solid 66% ✗ JXST -4.5 JXST lost by 7 · not covered 134.5 1 met · JXST 0 · UTEP 1
Final New Hampshire 67 @ UAlbany 91 UALB -0.5 UALB won by 24 · covered 164.5 48 met · UALB 27 · UNH 21
Final UMBC 79 @ NJIT 60 UMBC -1.5 UMBC won by 19 · covered 154.5 9 met · NJIT 5 · UMBC 4
Final Sacred Heart 79 @ Stonehill 51 SHU Solid 66% ✓ SHU -4.5 SHU won by 28 · covered 143.5 3 met · STO 2 · SHU 1
Final Wagner 56 @ Le Moyne 70 LEM -1.5 LEM won by 14 · covered 131.5 1 met · LEM 0 · WAG 1
Final Long Island 64 @ C Connecticut 78 CCSU Banker 90% ✓ CCSU -14 LIU +14 · covers 53% CCSU won by 14 · push 140.0 39 met · CCSU 17 · LIU 22
Final Merrimack 74 @ FDU 55 MRMK Solid 62% ✓ MRMK -3.5 MRMK won by 19 · covered 147.5 10 met · FDU 2 · MRMK 8
Final Campbell 73 @ Charleston 96 COFC Banker 92% ✓ COFC -15.5 CAM +15.5 · covers 53% ✗ COFC won by 23 · covered 155.5 3 met · COFC 3 · CAM 0
Final Hofstra 69 @ UNC Wilmington 58 UNCW Solid 66% ✗ UNCW -4.5 UNCW lost by 11 · not covered 143.5 48 met · UNCW 22 · HOF 26
Final Monmouth 56 @ Hampton 64 MONM Solid 75% ✗ MONM -7.5 MONM lost by 8 · not covered 152.5 7 met · HAMP 3 · MONM 4
Final Northeastern 67 @ Delaware 73 DEL Solid 69% ✓ DEL -5.5 DEL won by 6 · covered 140.5 40 met · DEL 17 · NE 23
Final Stony Brook 86 @ Drexel 90 DREX Solid 81% ✓ DREX -9.5 DREX won by 4 · not covered 139.5 1 met · DREX 0 · STBK 1
Final Towson 84 @ NC A&T 58 TOW Banker 87% ✓ TOW -12.5 NCAT +12.5 · covers 53% ✗ TOW won by 26 · covered 131.5 2 met · NCAT 0 · TOW 2
Final William & Mary 71 @ Elon 76 ELON Solid 62% ✓ ELON -3.5 ELON won by 5 · covered 144.5 23 met · ELON 8 · W&M 15
Final Longwood 69 @ Gardner-Webb 72 GWEB Solid 62% ✓ GWEB -3.5 GWEB won by 3 · not covered 148.5 21 met · GWEB 13 · LONG 8
Final Memphis 82 @ East Carolina 58 MEM Solid 66% ✓ MEM -4.5 MEM won by 24 · covered 143.5 30 met · ECU 5 · MEM 25
Final SE Missouri 50 @ Morehead St 72 MORE Banker 95% ✓ MORE -18.5 MORE won by 22 · covered 138.5 37 met · MORE 28 · SEMO 9
Final Omaha 61 @ St Thomas 88 STMN Solid 75% ✓ STMN -7.5 STMN won by 27 · covered 142.5 5 met · STMN 4 · OMA 1
Final N Dakota St 68 @ South Dakota 88 NDSU Solid 62% ✗ NDSU -3.5 NDSU lost by 20 · not covered 152.0 28 met · SDAK 8 · NDSU 20
Final S Dakota St 72 @ North Dakota 62 UND -0.5 UND lost by 10 · not covered 151.5 18 met · UND 1 · SDST 17
Final Abilene Chrstn 77 @ Southern Utah 68 SUU -2.5 SUU lost by 9 · not covered 152.5 2 met · SUU 2 · ACU 0
Final E Illinois 66 @ W Illinois 70 WIU Solid 69% ✓ WIU -5.5 WIU won by 4 · not covered 133.5 25 met · WIU 12 · EIU 13
Final Lindenwood 67 @ S Indiana 63 USI Solid 83% ✗ USI -10.5 USI lost by 4 · not covered 143.5 3 met · USI 3 · LIN 0
Final Tennessee Tech 69 @ UT Martin 80 UTM Solid 83% ✓ UTM -10.5 UTM won by 11 · covered 151.5 36 met · UTM 14 · TNTC 22
Final Michigan 52 @ Rutgers 82 RUTG Solid 75% ✓ RUTG -7.5 RUTG won by 30 · covered 139.5 15 met · RUTG 3 · MICH 12
Final Stanford 68 @ Utah 90 UTAH Solid 78% ✓ UTAH -8.5 UTAH won by 22 · covered 156.5 22 met · UTAH 11 · STAN 11
Final Montana 79 @ E Washington 89 EWU Solid 69% ✓ EWU -5.5 EWU won by 10 · covered 154.5 48 met · EWU 18 · MONT 30
Final Montana St 62 @ Idaho 48 IDHO -1.5 IDHO lost by 14 · not covered 142.5 24 met · IDHO 9 · MTST 15
Final N Arizona 92 @ Idaho St 88 IDST Solid 75% ✗ IDST -7.5 IDST lost by 4 · not covered 138.5 45 met · IDST 24 · NAU 21
Final N Colorado 81 @ Weber St 85 WEB Solid 69% ✓ WEB -5.5 WEB won by 4 · not covered 150.5 35 met · WEB 24 · UNCO 11
Final New Mexico St 58 @ Liberty 83 LIB Banker 91% ✓ LIB -14.5 NMSU +14.5 · covers 53% ✗ LIB won by 25 · covered 134.5 1 met · LIB 0 · NMSU 1
Final Hawai'i 63 @ UC Davis 75 UCD Solid 66% ✓ UCD -4.5 UCD won by 12 · covered 137.5 25 met · UCD 9 · HAW 16
Final UT Rio Grande 43 @ Grand Canyon 72 GCU Banker 98% ✓ GCU -23.5 GCU won by 29 · covered 151.5 OVER 151.5 · 52.3% (115) ✗ 17 met · GCU 12 · RGV 5
Final Tarleton St 85 @ Utah Tech 74 TAR Solid 66% ✓ TAR -4.5 TAR won by 11 · covered 142.5 6 met · UTU 1 · TAR 5
Final Kansas City 84 @ Denver 69 DEN Solid 66% ✗ DEN -4.5 DEN lost by 15 · not covered 152.5 9 met · DEN 3 · KC 6
Final Tennessee St 60 @ Little Rock 85 LR Solid 75% ✓ LR -7.5 LR won by 25 · covered 145.5 5 met · LR 3 · TNST 2
Final Santa Clara 75 @ Portland 80 SCU Solid 81% ✗ SCU -9.5 SCU lost by 5 · not covered 156.5 44 met · PORT 14 · SCU 30
Final Cal Poly 75 @ Santa Barbara 83 UCSB Banker 89% ✓ UCSB -13.5 CP +13.5 · covers 53% ✓ UCSB won by 8 · not covered 136.5 50 met · UCSB 39 · CP 11
Final UC San Diego 57 @ Bakersfield 70 UCSD Solid 69% ✗ UCSD -5.5 UCSD lost by 13 · not covered 135.5 7 met · CSUB 4 · UCSD 3
Final Fullerton 76 @ Long Beach St 71 LBSU Solid 78% ✗ LBSU -8.5 LBSU lost by 5 · not covered 145.5 47 met · LBSU 26 · CSUF 21
Final UC Irvine 89 @ CSU Northridge 64 UCI Solid 75% ✓ UCI -7.5 UCI won by 25 · covered 152.5 42 met · CSUN 13 · UCI 29
Final UT Arlington 82 @ Seattle U 62 SEA Solid 69% ✗ SEA -5.5 SEA lost by 20 · not covered 144.5 5 met · SEA 3 · UTA 2
Final SF Austin 62 @ CA Baptist 60 CBU -1.5 CBU lost by 2 · not covered 134.5 3 met · CBU 1 · SFA 2
Final San Diego 62 @ LMU 96 LMU Solid 75% ✓ LMU -7.5 LMU won by 34 · covered 146.5 44 met · LMU 19 · USD 25
Final USC 72 @ 19Washington St 75 WSU Solid 75% ✓ WSU -7.5 WSU won by 3 · not covered 138.5 40 met · WSU 18 · USC 22
Final UCLA 77 @ Washington 94 WASH Solid 62% ✓ WASH -3.5 WASH won by 17 · covered 139.5 40 met · WASH 14 · UCLA 26
Final 23Gonzaga 86 @ San Francisco 68 GONZ Solid 66% ✓ GONZ -4.5 GONZ won by 18 · covered 152.5 49 met · SF 4 · GONZ 45
Final 17Saint Mary's 83 @ Pepperdine 57 SMC Banker 91% ✓ SMC -14.5 PEPP +14.5 · covers 53% ✗ SMC won by 26 · covered 136.5 47 met · PEPP 8 · SMC 39