NCAA Predictor
← Feb 27
Feb 29 →

Wednesday, February 28, 2024 58 games

Today: winner picks 33 of 43 right · line picks 4 of 6 right · total picks 1 of 2 right. Pick: who we think wins (Banker very likely, Solid likely). Line: the bookmaker's handicap. FLA -9.5 means Florida must win by 10 or more to cover. Prediction: our expected winning margin. Line pick: shown only where history shows an edge. Underdogs getting 12 to 17.5 points covered 53% of the time over the last 7 seasons; other lines are close to a coin flip, so no pick. Result: what happened against the line. Total pick: UNDER at neutral-site games (went under 51.8% over 7 seasons), OVER when the spread is 20+ (went over 52.3%). These are small edges, below the ~52.4% normally needed to profit. Model total: our computer's projected combined points (from each team's speed and points per possession) and its over/under call against the O/U line. Tested on 37,000 past games it was right about 50.4% of the time. Not betting advice.

Time / StatusAwayHomePickLinePredictionLine pickResultO/UTotal pickModel totalPrev. meetings
Final American 73 @ Army 51 AMER Solid 66% ✓ AMER -4.5 AMER won by 22 · covered 122.5 48 met · ARMY 16 · AMER 32
Final Boston U 64 @ Lehigh 62 LEH Solid 72% ✗ LEH -6.5 LEH lost by 2 · not covered 141.5 22 met · LEH 9 · BU 13
Final Old Dominion 64 @ App State 89 APP Banker 91% ✓ APP -14.5 ODU +14.5 · covers 53% ✗ APP won by 25 · covered 143.5 3 met · APP 2 · ODU 1
Final Detroit Mercy 55 @ Youngstown St 69 YSU Banker 95% ✓ YSU -18.5 YSU won by 14 · not covered 151.5 47 met · YSU 16 · DETM 31
Final Rhode Island 67 @ VCU 88 VCU Banker 89% ✓ VCU -13.5 URI +13.5 · covers 53% ✗ VCU won by 21 · covered 144.5 19 met · VCU 9 · URI 10
Final Missouri 74 @ 24Florida 83 FLA Banker 87% ✓ FLA -12.5 MIZ +12.5 · covers 53% ✓ FLA won by 9 · not covered 154.5 14 met · FLA 10 · MIZ 4
Final FGCU 79 @ North Florida 60 UNF Solid 62% ✗ UNF -3.5 UNF lost by 19 · not covered 141.5 35 met · UNF 15 · FGCU 20
Final Marshall 73 @ GA Southern 87 GASO -0.5 GASO won by 14 · covered 153.5 3 met · GASO 1 · MRSH 2
Final James Madison 84 @ Georgia St 78 JMU Solid 78% ✓ JMU -8.5 JMU won by 6 · not covered 151.5 15 met · GAST 8 · JMU 7
Final Purdue FW 79 @ Wright St 77 WRST Solid 72% ✗ WRST -6.5 WRST lost by 2 · not covered 167.5 8 met · WRST 5 · PFW 3
Final Green Bay 69 @ Cleveland St 61 CLE Solid 75% ✗ CLE -7.5 CLE lost by 8 · not covered 134.5 46 met · CLE 18 · GB 28
Final Milwaukee 75 @ IU Indy 70 MILW Banker 87% ✓ MILW -12.5 IUIN +12.5 · covers 53% ✓ MILW won by 5 · not covered 154.5 19 met · IUIN 5 · MILW 14
Final N Kentucky 70 @ Robert Morris 60 NKU -2.5 NKU won by 10 · covered 145.5 7 met · RMU 1 · NKU 6
Final Samford 69 @ Wofford 91 SAM Solid 69% ✗ SAM -5.5 SAM lost by 22 · not covered 155.5 27 met · WOF 21 · SAM 6
Final VMI 58 @ UNC Greensboro 100 UNCG Banker 98% ✓ UNCG -23.5 UNCG won by 42 · covered 152.5 OVER 152.5 · 52.3% (158) ✓ 21 met · UNCG 17 · VMI 4
Final ETSU 81 @ The Citadel 63 ETSU -1.5 ETSU won by 18 · covered 134.5 23 met · CIT 6 · ETSU 17
Final Furman 77 @ W Carolina 85 WCU -1.5 WCU won by 8 · covered 147.5 37 met · WCU 11 · FUR 26
Final Mercer 75 @ Chattanooga 84 UTC Solid 72% ✓ UTC -6.5 UTC won by 9 · covered 146.5 21 met · UTC 12 · MER 9
Final Bucknell 68 @ Loyola MD 46 BUCK Solid 62% ✓ BUCK -3.5 BUCK won by 22 · covered 132.5 24 met · L-MD 7 · BUCK 17
Final La Salle 63 @ Duquesne 75 DUQ Solid 78% ✓ DUQ -8.5 DUQ won by 12 · covered 142.5 31 met · DUQ 11 · LAS 20
Final 11Auburn 84 @ 4Tennessee 92 TENN Solid 72% ✓ TENN -6.5 TENN won by 8 · covered 151.5 29 met · TENN 17 · AUB 12
Final Lafayette 58 @ Navy 62 NAVY Solid 62% ✓ NAVY -3.5 NAVY won by 4 · covered 130.5 42 met · NAVY 23 · LAF 19
Final Colgate 77 @ Holy Cross 58 COLG Solid 85% ✓ COLG -11.5 COLG won by 19 · covered 139.5 47 met · HC 22 · COLG 25
Final Providence 69 @ 5Marquette 91 MARQ Solid 85% ✓ MARQ -11.5 MARQ won by 22 · covered 149.5 32 met · MARQ 20 · PROV 12
Final DePaul 58 @ Xavier 91 XAV Banker 96% ✓ XAV -19.5 XAV won by 33 · covered 154.5 22 met · XAV 17 · DEP 5
Final Stetson 86 @ Jacksonville 73 JAX -0.5 JAX lost by 13 · not covered 135.5 43 met · JAX 27 · STET 16
Final Northwestern 68 @ Maryland 61 MD Solid 69% ✗ MD -5.5 MD lost by 7 · not covered 129.5 16 met · MD 12 · NU 4
Final Radford 57 @ Charleston So 58 RAD Solid 69% ✗ RAD -5.5 RAD lost by 1 · not covered 142.5 42 met · CHSO 16 · RAD 26
Final Winthrop 96 @ High Point 100 HPU Solid 78% ✓ HPU -8.5 HPU won by 4 · not covered 155.5 45 met · HPU 17 · WIN 28
Final Presbyterian 72 @ SC Upstate 74 UPST -1.5 UPST won by 2 · covered 140.5 12 met · UPST 7 · PRES 5
Final North Texas 80 @ Tulane 76 UNT -2.5 UNT won by 4 · covered 138.5 3 met · TULN 2 · UNT 1
Final Louisville 59 @ 10Duke 84 DUKE Banker 97% ✓ DUKE -20.5 DUKE won by 25 · covered 151.5 OVER 151.5 · 52.3% (143) ✗ 16 met · DUKE 10 · LOU 6
Final Arkansas St 71 @ Coastal 60 ARST Solid 81% ✓ ARST -9.5 ARST won by 11 · covered 156.5 11 met · CCU 6 · ARST 5
Final Louisiana Tech 90 @ Western KY 84 WKU -1.5 WKU lost by 6 · not covered 147.5 15 met · WKU 7 · LT 8
Final E Kentucky 79 @ Austin Peay 83 EKU -2.5 EKU lost by 4 · not covered 147.5 39 met · APSU 22 · EKU 17
Final Troy 87 @ Louisiana 73 UL -2.5 UL lost by 14 · not covered 149.5 30 met · UL 22 · TROY 8
Final Southern Miss 70 @ South Alabama 73 USA Solid 62% ✓ USA -3.5 USA won by 3 · not covered 149.5 21 met · USA 11 · USM 10
Final Bellarmine 74 @ Lipscomb 90 LIP Solid 83% ✓ LIP -10.5 LIP won by 16 · covered 152.5 6 met · LIP 4 · BELL 2
Final Richmond 80 @ Saint Louis 64 RICH Solid 69% ✓ RICH -5.5 RICH won by 16 · covered 151.5 23 met · SLU 13 · RICH 10
Final S Illinois 67 @ Bradley 86 BRAD Solid 75% ✓ BRAD -7.5 BRAD won by 19 · covered 135.5 48 met · BRAD 22 · SIU 26
Final Indiana St 85 @ Evansville 67 INST Solid 83% ✓ INST -10.5 INST won by 18 · covered 156.5 50 met · EVAN 18 · INST 32
Final Missouri St 74 @ Illinois St 75 ILST Solid 66% ✓ ILST -4.5 ILST won by 1 · not covered 135.5 44 met · ILST 23 · MOST 21
Final Belmont 83 @ Murray St 61 MUR -2.5 MUR lost by 22 · not covered 151.5 22 met · MUR 8 · BEL 14
Final Drake 107 @ UIC 105 DRKE Solid 78% ✓ DRKE -8.5 DRKE won by 2 · not covered 145.5 4 met · UIC 0 · DRKE 4
Final Temple 65 @ Rice 43 RICE Solid 66% ✗ RICE -4.5 RICE lost by 22 · not covered 141.5 3 met · RICE 1 · TEM 2
Final Wichita St 74 @ UAB 66 UAB Solid 75% ✗ UAB -7.5 UAB lost by 8 · not covered 146.5 2 met · UAB 0 · WICH 2
Final Tulsa 73 @ UTSA 89 UTSA -2.5 UTSA won by 16 · covered 157.5 4 met · UTSA 0 · TLSA 4
Final Oklahoma 45 @ 8Iowa State 58 ISU Solid 81% ✓ ISU -9.5 ISU won by 13 · covered 136.5 39 met · ISU 18 · OU 21
Final UCF 77 @ Oklahoma St 71 OKST -2.5 OKST lost by 6 · not covered 136.5 1 met · OKST 0 · UCF 1
Final California 78 @ Colorado 88 COLO Banker 89% ✓ COLO -13.5 CAL +13.5 · covers 53% ✓ COLO won by 10 · not covered 149.5 27 met · COLO 17 · CAL 10
Final 18South Carolina 70 @ Texas A&M 68 TA&M Solid 69% ✗ TA&M -5.5 TA&M lost by 2 · not covered 133.5 14 met · TA&M 5 · SC 9
Final St John's 82 @ Butler 59 SJU -1.5 SJU won by 23 · covered 150.5 22 met · BTLR 11 · SJU 11
Final 14Alabama 103 @ Ole Miss 88 ALA Solid 69% ✓ ALA -5.5 ALA won by 15 · covered 166.5 35 met · MISS 14 · ALA 21
Final Seton Hall 64 @ 12Creighton 85 CREI Solid 81% ✓ CREI -9.5 CREI won by 21 · covered 144.5 22 met · CREI 12 · HALL 10
Final Minnesota 97 @ 13Illinois 105 ILL Solid 85% ✓ ILL -11.5 ILL won by 8 · not covered 155.5 36 met · ILL 28 · MINN 8
Final Virginia 72 @ Boston College 68 UVA -1.5 UVA won by 4 · covered 125.5 25 met · BC 9 · UVA 16
Final 6Arizona 85 @ Arizona St 67 ARIZ Solid 85% ✓ ARIZ -11.5 ARIZ won by 18 · covered 157.5 45 met · ASU 13 · ARIZ 32
Final Oregon St 71 @ Oregon 78 ORE Banker 89% ✓ ORE -13.5 ORST +13.5 · covers 53% ✓ ORE won by 7 · not covered 136.5 46 met · ORE 31 · ORST 15