Tuesday, February 27, 2024 31 games
Today: winner picks 14 of 24 right · line picks 4 of 5 right · total picks 0 of 1 right. Pick: who we think wins (Banker very likely, Solid likely). Line: the bookmaker's handicap. FLA -9.5 means Florida must win by 10 or more to cover. Prediction: our expected winning margin. Line pick: shown only where history shows an edge. Underdogs getting 12 to 17.5 points covered 53% of the time over the last 7 seasons; other lines are close to a coin flip, so no pick. Result: what happened against the line. Total pick: UNDER at neutral-site games (went under 51.8% over 7 seasons), OVER when the spread is 20+ (went over 52.3%). These are small edges, below the ~52.4% normally needed to profit. Model total: our computer's projected combined points (from each team's speed and points per possession) and its over/under call against the O/U line. Tested on 37,000 past games it was right about 50.4% of the time. Not betting advice.
| Time / Status | Away | Home | Pick | Line | Prediction | Line pick | Result | O/U | Total pick | Model total | Prev. meetings | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Final |  Georgetown
|
47 | @  Villanova
|
75 | VILL Banker 91% ✓ | VILL -14.5 | GTWN +14.5 · covers 53% ✗ | VILL won by 28 · covered | 140.5 | 40 met · VILL 27 · GTWN 13 | |||
| Final |  W Michigan
|
67 | @  E Michigan
|
70 | WMU -2.5 | WMU lost by 3 · not covered | 145.5 | 45 met · EMU 17 · WMU 28 | |||||
| Final |  Miami OH
|
66 | @  Bowling Green
|
58 | BGSU Solid 62% ✗ | BGSU -3.5 | BGSU lost by 8 · not covered | 144.5 | 42 met · BGSU 18 · M-OH 24 | ||||
| Final |  N Illinois
|
75 | @  Toledo
|
72 | TOL Banker 92% ✗ | TOL -15.5 | NIU +15.5 · covers 53% ✓ | TOL lost by 3 · not covered | 152.5 | 42 met · TOL 24 · NIU 18 | |||
| Final |  Akron
|
67 | @  Ohio
|
74 | OHIO -1.5 | OHIO won by 7 · covered | 143.5 | 48 met · OHIO 19 · AKR 29 | |||||
| Final |  Buffalo
|
64 | @  Kent State
|
76 | KENT Banker 92% ✓ | KENT -15.5 | BUF +15.5 · covers 53% ✓ | KENT won by 12 · not covered | 146.5 | 49 met · KENT 28 · BUF 21 | |||
| Final |  Ball State
|
79 | @  C Michigan
|
71 | CMU Solid 62% ✗ | CMU -3.5 | CMU lost by 8 · not covered | 135.5 | 40 met · CMU 16 · BALL 24 | ||||
| Final |  Loyola Chicago
|
64 | @  St Bonaventure
|
79 | SBU -2.5 | SBU won by 15 · covered | 140.5 | 1 met · SBU 0 · LUC 1 | |||||
| Final |  UMass
|
69 | @  G Washington
|
57 | MASS Solid 75% ✓ | MASS -7.5 | MASS won by 12 · covered | 159.0 | 26 met · GW 16 · MASS 10 | ||||
| Final |  George Mason
|
60 | @  Fordham
|
61 | GMU -1.5 | GMU lost by 1 · not covered | 137.5 | 14 met · FOR 8 · GMU 6 | |||||
| Final |  Davidson
|
66 | @  21Dayton
|
80 | DAY Solid 83% ✓ | DAY -10.5 | DAY won by 14 · covered | 132.5 | 12 met · DAY 10 · DAV 2 | ||||
| Final |  Georgia
|
66 | @  LSU
|
67 | LSU Solid 69% ✓ | LSU -5.5 | LSU won by 1 · not covered | 153.5 | 28 met · LSU 16 · UGA 12 | ||||
| Final |  16Kentucky
|
91 | @  Mississippi St
|
89 | MSST Solid 66% ✗ | MSST -4.5 | MSST lost by 2 · not covered | 155.5 | 28 met · MSST 4 · UK 24 | ||||
| Final |  Wisconsin
|
70 | @  Indiana
|
74 | WIS Solid 62% ✗ | WIS -3.5 | WIS lost by 4 · not covered | 140.5 | 37 met · IU 7 · WIS 30 | ||||
| Final |  Cincinnati
|
59 | @  1Houston
|
67 | HOU Banker 89% ✓ | HOU -13.5 | CIN +13.5 · covers 53% ✓ | HOU won by 8 · not covered | 132.5 | 27 met · HOU 14 · CIN 13 | |||
| Final |  Pitt
|
62 | @  Clemson
|
69 | CLEM Solid 72% ✓ | CLEM -6.5 | CLEM won by 7 · covered | 142.5 | 13 met · CLEM 11 · PITT 2 | ||||
| Final |  Virginia Tech
|
71 | @  Syracuse
|
84 | SYR -1.5 | SYR won by 13 · covered | 154.5 | 15 met · SYR 10 · VT 5 | |||||
| Final |  UL Monroe
|
55 | @  Texas St
|
73 | TXST Solid 69% ✓ | TXST -5.5 | TXST won by 18 · covered | 133.5 | 31 met · TXST 20 · ULM 11 | ||||
| Final |  Valparaiso
|
54 | @  Northern Iowa
|
68 | UNI Banker 92% ✓ | UNI -15.5 | VAL +15.5 · covers 53% ✓ | UNI won by 14 · not covered | 146.5 | 14 met · UNI 11 · VAL 3 | |||
| Final |  BYU
|
76 | @  7Kansas
|
68 | KU Solid 75% ✗ | KU -7.5 | KU lost by 8 · not covered | 155.5 | 1 met · KU 1 · BYU 0 | ||||
| Final |  SIUE
|
79 | @  E Illinois
|
84 | SIUE -1.5 | SIUE lost by 5 · not covered | 140.5 | 26 met · EIU 16 · SIUE 10 | |||||
| Final |  Boise St
|
79 | @  Air Force
|
48 | BOIS Solid 85% ✓ | BOIS -11.5 | BOIS won by 31 · covered | 134.5 | 24 met · AF 6 · BOIS 18 | ||||
| Final |  Vanderbilt
|
85 | @  Arkansas
|
82 | ARK Solid 81% ✗ | ARK -9.5 | ARK lost by 3 · not covered | 143.5 | 29 met · ARK 21 · VAN 8 | ||||
| Final |  UNLV
|
75 | @  Wyoming
|
69 | UNLV Solid 69% ✓ | UNLV -5.5 | UNLV won by 6 · covered | 144.5 | 42 met · WYO 10 · UNLV 32 | ||||
| Final |  Penn State
|
81 | @  Iowa
|
90 | IOWA Solid 78% ✓ | IOWA -8.5 | IOWA won by 9 · covered | 163.5 | 34 met · IOWA 21 · PSU 13 | ||||
| Final |  Texas
|
81 | @  Texas Tech
|
69 | TTU Solid 62% ✗ | TTU -3.5 | TTU lost by 12 · not covered | 145.5 | 49 met · TTU 17 · TEX 32 | ||||
| Final |  NC State
|
83 | @  Florida St
|
90 | FSU -2.5 | FSU won by 7 · covered | 151.5 | 31 met · FSU 16 · NCSU 15 | |||||
| Final |  Wake Forest
|
65 | @  Notre Dame
|
70 | WAKE Solid 72% ✗ | WAKE -6.5 | WAKE lost by 5 · not covered | 133.5 | 15 met · ND 8 · WAKE 7 | ||||
| Final |  22Utah State
|
77 | @  Fresno St
|
73 | USU Solid 85% ✓ | USU -11.5 | USU won by 4 · not covered | 142.5 | 34 met · FRES 10 · USU 24 | ||||
| Final |  Nevada
|
77 | @  Colorado St
|
74 | CSU Solid 72% ✗ | CSU -6.5 | CSU lost by 3 · not covered | 137.5 | 22 met · CSU 8 · NEV 14 | ||||
| Final |  San José St
|
64 | @  20San Diego St
|
72 | SDSU Banker 97% ✓ | SDSU -21.5 | SDSU won by 8 · not covered | 139.5 | OVER 139.5 · 52.3% (136) ✗ | 19 met · SDSU 18 · SJSU 1 |