Monday, February 26, 2024 16 games

Today: winner picks 10 of 12 right · line picks 2 of 2 right. Pick: who we think wins (Banker very likely, Solid likely). Line: the bookmaker's handicap. FLA -9.5 means Florida must win by 10 or more to cover. Prediction: our expected winning margin. Line pick: shown only where history shows an edge. Underdogs getting 12 to 17.5 points covered 53% of the time over the last 7 seasons; other lines are close to a coin flip, so no pick. Result: what happened against the line. Total pick: UNDER at neutral-site games (went under 51.8% over 7 seasons), OVER when the spread is 20+ (went over 52.3%). These are small edges, below the ~52.4% normally needed to profit. Model total: our computer's projected combined points (from each team's speed and points per possession) and its over/under call against the O/U line. Tested on 37,000 past games it was right about 50.4% of the time. Not betting advice.

Time / Status	Away		Home		Pick	Line	Prediction	Line pick	Result	O/U	Total pick	Model total	Prev. meetings
Final	Drexel	70	@ Delaware	60		DEL -2.5			DEL lost by 10 · not covered	137.5			44 met · DEL 20 · DREX 24
Final	West Virginia	90	@ Kansas St	94	KSU Solid 81% ✓	KSU -9.5			KSU won by 4 · not covered	141.5			26 met · KSU 10 · WVU 16
Final	Miami	71	@ 9North Carolina	75	UNC Banker 91% ✓	UNC -14.5		MIA +14.5 · covers 53% ✓	UNC won by 4 · not covered	154.5			31 met · UNC 21 · MIA 10
Final	Alabama St	84	@ Bethune	90		BCU -2.5			BCU won by 6 · covered	137.5			5 met · BCU 3 · ALST 2
Final	Incarnate Word	82	@ Nicholls	92	NICH Solid 81% ✓	NICH -9.5			NICH won by 10 · covered	146.5			16 met · NICH 10 · UIW 6
Final	Coppin St	69	@ Howard	78	HOW Banker 91% ✓	HOW -14.5		COPP +14.5 · covers 53% ✓	HOW won by 9 · not covered	140.5			37 met · HOW 15 · COPP 22
Final	Norfolk St	85	@ Morgan St	82	NORF Solid 66% ✓	NORF -4.5			NORF won by 3 · not covered	147.5			41 met · MORG 15 · NORF 26
Final	Delaware St	81	@ NC Central	93	NCCU Solid 72% ✓	NCCU -6.5			NCCU won by 12 · covered	135.5			24 met · NCCU 18 · DSU 6
Final	MD Eastern	56	@ SC State	64	SCST Solid 81% ✓	SCST -9.5			SCST won by 8 · not covered	135.5			29 met · SCST 22 · UMES 7
Final	Texas A&M-CC	91	@ Hou Christian	79	AMCC Solid 85% ✓	AMCC -11.5			AMCC won by 12 · covered	151.5			21 met · HCU 6 · AMCC 15
Final	McNeese	58	@ Lamar	56	MCN Solid 78% ✓	MCN -8.5			MCN won by 2 · not covered	148.5			39 met · LAM 19 · MCN 20
Final	Alabama A&M	58	@ Florida A&M	76		FAMU -2.5			FAMU won by 18 · covered	139.5			7 met · FAMU 3 · AAMU 4
Final	Prairie View	51	@ Miss Valley St	57	PV Solid 81% ✗	PV -9.5			PV lost by 6 · not covered	134.5			46 met · MVSU 20 · PV 26
Final	UNC Wilmington	100	@ Campbell	105	UNCW Solid 78% ✗	UNCW -8.5			UNCW lost by 5 · not covered	145.5			19 met · CAM 5 · UNCW 14
Final	Texas Southern	77	@ AR-Pine Bluff	70	TXSO Solid 62% ✓	TXSO -3.5			TXSO won by 7 · covered	148.5			46 met · UAPB 14 · TXSO 32
Final	15Baylor	62	@ TCU	54		TCU -2.5			TCU lost by 8 · not covered	145.5			24 met · TCU 7 · BAY 17