Sunday, February 25, 2024 27 games

Today: winner picks 14 of 19 right · line picks 3 of 4 right. Pick: who we think wins (Banker very likely, Solid likely). Line: the bookmaker's handicap. FLA -9.5 means Florida must win by 10 or more to cover. Prediction: our expected winning margin. Line pick: shown only where history shows an edge. Underdogs getting 12 to 17.5 points covered 53% of the time over the last 7 seasons; other lines are close to a coin flip, so no pick. Result: what happened against the line. Total pick: UNDER at neutral-site games (went under 51.8% over 7 seasons), OVER when the spread is 20+ (went over 52.3%). These are small edges, below the ~52.4% normally needed to profit. Model total: our computer's projected combined points (from each team's speed and points per possession) and its over/under call against the O/U line. Tested on 37,000 past games it was right about 50.4% of the time. Not betting advice.

Time / Status	Away		Home		Pick	Line	Prediction	Line pick	Result	O/U	Total pick	Model total	Prev. meetings
Final	Long Island	57	@ Wagner	72	WAG Solid 81% ✓	WAG -9.5			WAG won by 15 · covered	131.0			46 met · WAG 24 · LIU 22
Final	Rhode Island	61	@ La Salle	84	LAS Solid 62% ✓	LAS -3.5			LAS won by 23 · covered	152.5			30 met · LAS 8 · URI 22
Final	15Creighton	66	@ St John's	80		CREI -2.5			CREI lost by 14 · not covered	150.5			21 met · SJU 5 · CREI 16
Final	Maryland	63	@ Rutgers	46		RUTG -1.5			RUTG lost by 17 · not covered	128.5			15 met · RUTG 5 · MD 10
Final	SMU	68	@ South Florida	79	SMU Solid 62% ✗	SMU -3.5			SMU lost by 11 · not covered	147.5			19 met · USF 7 · SMU 12
Final	Cleveland St	73	@ Robert Morris	71		CLE -2.5			CLE won by 2 · not covered	146.5			13 met · RMU 2 · CLE 11
Final	IU Indy	64	@ N Kentucky	80	NKU Banker 94% ✓	NKU -17.5		IUIN +17.5 · covers 53% ✓	NKU won by 16 · not covered	146.5			12 met · NKU 9 · IUIN 3
Final	Siena	64	@ Fairfield	88	FAIR Banker 94% ✓	FAIR -17.5		SIE +17.5 · covers 53% ✗	FAIR won by 24 · covered	142.5			48 met · FAIR 19 · SIE 29
Final	Iona	65	@ Mount St Marys	72		IONA -1.5			IONA lost by 7 · not covered	142.5			4 met · MSM 0 · IONA 4
Final	Quinnipiac	78	@ Rider	88		QUIN -1.5			QUIN lost by 10 · not covered	155.5			23 met · RID 12 · QUIN 11
Final	Army	41	@ Bucknell	54	BUCK Solid 66% ✓	BUCK -4.5			BUCK won by 13 · covered	123.5			47 met · BUCK 37 · ARMY 10
Final	Loyola MD	79	@ Boston U	82	BU Solid 75% ✓	BU -7.5			BU won by 3 · not covered	128.5			24 met · BU 17 · L-MD 7
Final	American	66	@ Colgate	64	COLG Banker 87% ✗	COLG -12.5		AMER +12.5 · covers 53% ✓	COLG lost by 2 · not covered	132.5			47 met · COLG 17 · AMER 30
Final	Holy Cross	66	@ Navy	76	NAVY Solid 66% ✓	NAVY -4.5			NAVY won by 10 · covered	136.5			44 met · NAVY 15 · HC 29
Final	3Purdue	84	@ Michigan	76	PUR Banker 89% ✓	PUR -13.5		MICH +13.5 · covers 53% ✓	PUR won by 8 · not covered	150.5			37 met · MICH 19 · PUR 18
Final	S Illinois	65	@ Evansville	53	SIU Solid 62% ✓	SIU -3.5			SIU won by 12 · covered	139.5			44 met · EVAN 14 · SIU 30
Final	FAU	74	@ Memphis	78		FAU -1.5			FAU lost by 4 · not covered	160.5			1 met · MEM 0 · FAU 1
Final	Purdue FW	88	@ Milwaukee	96		PFW -1.5			PFW lost by 8 · not covered	157.5			7 met · MILW 3 · PFW 4
Final	Wright St	96	@ Oakland	75	OAK Solid 66% ✗	OAK -4.5			OAK lost by 21 · not covered	160.5			25 met · OAK 9 · WRST 16
Final	Youngstown St	71	@ Green Bay	59	YSU Solid 69% ✓	YSU -5.5			YSU won by 12 · covered	142.5			47 met · GB 30 · YSU 17
Final	Marist	60	@ Saint Peter's	69	SPU Solid 62% ✓	SPU -3.5			SPU won by 9 · covered	121.5			46 met · SPU 27 · MRST 19
Final	Saint Joseph's	69	@ VCU	73	VCU Solid 66% ✓	VCU -4.5			VCU won by 4 · not covered	141.5			14 met · VCU 10 · JOES 4
Final	Ohio State	60	@ Michigan St	57	MSU Solid 83% ✗	MSU -10.5			MSU lost by 3 · not covered	138.5			43 met · MSU 26 · OSU 17
Final	UAB	78	@ Tulane	67		TULN -2.5			TULN lost by 11 · not covered	161.5			21 met · TULN 6 · UAB 15
Final	Temple	72	@ Wichita St	66	WICH Solid 75% ✗	WICH -7.5			WICH lost by 6 · not covered	142.5			11 met · WICH 6 · TEM 5
Final	Xavier	64	@ 7Marquette	88	MARQ Solid 85% ✓	MARQ -11.5			MARQ won by 24 · covered	160.5			25 met · MARQ 13 · XAV 12
Final	Minnesota	55	@ Nebraska	73	NEB Solid 72% ✓	NEB -6.5			NEB won by 18 · covered	147.5			24 met · NEB 13 · MINN 11