Friday, February 23, 2024 16 games

Today: winner picks 6 of 9 right. Pick: who we think wins (Banker very likely, Solid likely). Line: the bookmaker's handicap. FLA -9.5 means Florida must win by 10 or more to cover. Prediction: our expected winning margin. Line pick: shown only where history shows an edge. Underdogs getting 12 to 17.5 points covered 53% of the time over the last 7 seasons; other lines are close to a coin flip, so no pick. Result: what happened against the line. Total pick: UNDER at neutral-site games (went under 51.8% over 7 seasons), OVER when the spread is 20+ (went over 52.3%). These are small edges, below the ~52.4% normally needed to profit. Model total: our computer's projected combined points (from each team's speed and points per possession) and its over/under call against the O/U line. Tested on 37,000 past games it was right about 50.4% of the time. Not betting advice.

Time / Status	Away		Home		Pick	Line	Prediction	Line pick	Result	O/U	Total pick	Model total	Prev. meetings
Final	Kent State	70	@ Akron	83	AKR Solid 75% ✓	AKR -7.5			AKR won by 13 · covered	136.5			52 met · AKR 27 · KENT 25
Final	Brown	66	@ Columbia	64	COLU Solid 62% ✗	COLU -3.5			COLU lost by 2 · not covered	146.5			41 met · COLU 18 · BRWN 23
Final	Princeton	66	@ Harvard	53	PRIN Solid 72% ✓	PRIN -6.5			PRIN won by 13 · covered	141.5			42 met · HARV 16 · PRIN 26
Final	Yale	62	@ Cornell	65		COR -2.5			COR won by 3 · covered	156.5			42 met · COR 13 · YALE 29
Final	Purdue FW	85	@ Green Bay	59		GB -1.5			GB lost by 26 · not covered	137.5			8 met · GB 2 · PFW 6
Final	Toledo	68	@ Bowling Green	76	TOL Solid 66% ✗	TOL -4.5			TOL lost by 8 · not covered	158.5			35 met · BGSU 12 · TOL 23
Final	Penn	82	@ Dartmouth	69	PENN Solid 69% ✓	PENN -5.5			PENN won by 13 · covered	134.5			41 met · DART 11 · PENN 30
Final	Niagara	59	@ Canisius	69		NIA -1.5			NIA lost by 10 · not covered	142.5			43 met · CAN 14 · NIA 29
Final	Iona	75	@ Rider	78		RID -1.5			RID won by 3 · covered	145.5			48 met · RID 16 · IONA 32
Final	Marist	57	@ Manhattan	50	MRST Solid 75% ✓	MRST -7.5			MRST won by 7 · not covered	132.5			46 met · MAN 27 · MRST 19
Final	Saint Peter's	70	@ Mount St Marys	65		MSM -1.5			MSM lost by 5 · not covered	130.5			3 met · MSM 1 · SPU 2
Final	North Florida	50	@ Jacksonville	62		UNF -1.5			UNF lost by 12 · not covered	139.5			42 met · JAX 21 · UNF 21
Final	Youngstown St	84	@ Milwaukee	80	YSU Solid 62% ✓	YSU -3.5			YSU won by 4 · covered	162.5			42 met · MILW 23 · YSU 19
Final	Duquesne	67	@ Fordham	79	DUQ Solid 62% ✗	DUQ -3.5			DUQ lost by 12 · not covered	137.5			33 met · FOR 14 · DUQ 19
Final	Fairfield	85	@ Quinnipiac	81		QUIN -2.5			QUIN lost by 4 · not covered	156.5			22 met · QUIN 14 · FAIR 8
Final	Nevada	84	@ San José St	63	NEV Solid 84% ✓	NEV -11			NEV won by 21 · covered	142.0			40 met · SJSU 4 · NEV 36