NCAA Predictor
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Tuesday, February 13, 2024 25 games

Today: winner picks 17 of 22 right · line picks 2 of 3 right. Pick: who we think wins (Banker very likely, Solid likely). Line: the bookmaker's handicap. FLA -9.5 means Florida must win by 10 or more to cover. Prediction: our expected winning margin. Line pick: shown only where history shows an edge. Underdogs getting 12 to 17.5 points covered 53% of the time over the last 7 seasons; other lines are close to a coin flip, so no pick. Result: what happened against the line. Total pick: UNDER at neutral-site games (went under 51.8% over 7 seasons), OVER when the spread is 20+ (went over 52.3%). These are small edges, below the ~52.4% normally needed to profit. Model total: our computer's projected combined points (from each team's speed and points per possession) and its over/under call against the O/U line. Tested on 37,000 past games it was right about 50.4% of the time. Not betting advice.

Time / StatusAwayHomePickLinePredictionLine pickResultO/UTotal pickModel totalPrev. meetings
Final 4Marquette 78 @ Butler 72 MARQ Solid 66% ✓ MARQ -4.5 MARQ won by 6 · covered 154.5 23 met · BTLR 12 · MARQ 11
Final La Salle 56 @ Davidson 71 DAV Solid 75% ✓ DAV -7.5 DAV won by 15 · covered 141.5 13 met · DAV 10 · LAS 3
Final G Washington 67 @ George Mason 90 GMU Solid 83% ✓ GMU -10.5 GMU won by 23 · covered 145.5 24 met · GMU 9 · GW 15
Final Duquesne 59 @ 16Dayton 75 DAY Solid 75% ✓ DAY -7.5 DAY won by 16 · covered 134.5 39 met · DAY 29 · DUQ 10
Final Texas A&M 73 @ Vanderbilt 74 TA&M Solid 78% ✗ TA&M -8.5 TA&M lost by 1 · not covered 134.5 17 met · VAN 9 · TA&M 8
Final St John's 72 @ Providence 75 PROV -1.5 PROV won by 3 · covered 146.5 36 met · PROV 23 · SJU 13
Final Michigan 68 @ 14Illinois 97 ILL Banker 92% ✓ ILL -15.5 MICH +15.5 · covers 53% ✗ ILL won by 29 · covered 153.5 39 met · ILL 21 · MICH 18
Final Illinois St 80 @ 23Indiana St 67 INST Banker 94% ✗ INST -17.5 ILST +17.5 · covers 53% ✓ INST lost by 13 · not covered 143.5 47 met · INST 25 · ILST 22
Final 10Iowa State 68 @ Cincinnati 59 CIN -1.5 CIN lost by 9 · not covered 134.5 3 met · CIN 2 · ISU 1
Final Pitt 74 @ 21Virginia 63 UVA Solid 72% ✗ UVA -6.5 UVA lost by 11 · not covered 122.5 14 met · UVA 12 · PITT 2
Final 7North Carolina 79 @ Syracuse 86 UNC Solid 75% ✗ UNC -7.5 UNC lost by 7 · not covered 157.5 17 met · SYR 4 · UNC 13
Final Buffalo 68 @ N Illinois 72 NIU Solid 81% ✓ NIU -9.5 NIU won by 4 · not covered 149.5 28 met · NIU 6 · BUF 22
Final LSU 80 @ Florida 82 FLA Solid 83% ✓ FLA -10.5 FLA won by 2 · not covered 163.5 30 met · FLA 18 · LSU 12
Final Drake 78 @ Evansville 75 DRKE Solid 75% ✓ DRKE -7.5 DRKE won by 3 · not covered 148.5 45 met · EVAN 17 · DRKE 28
Final Tennessee St 50 @ Tennessee Tech 70 TNST Solid 62% ✗ TNST -3.5 TNST lost by 20 · not covered 136.5 41 met · TNTC 20 · TNST 21
Final Georgetown 72 @ 17Creighton 94 CREI Banker 96% ✓ CREI -19.5 CREI won by 22 · covered 149.5 23 met · CREI 14 · GTWN 9
Final Ole Miss 63 @ 22Kentucky 75 UK Solid 78% ✓ UK -8.5 UK won by 12 · covered 162.5 25 met · UK 22 · MISS 3
Final Colorado St 55 @ San Diego St 71 SDSU Solid 69% ✓ SDSU -5.5 SDSU won by 16 · covered 139.5 50 met · SDSU 36 · CSU 14
Final Ohio State 54 @ 20Wisconsin 62 WIS Solid 78% ✓ WIS -8.5 WIS won by 8 · not covered 137.5 39 met · WIS 23 · OSU 16
Final UCF 88 @ 19BYU 90 BYU Banker 87% ✓ BYU -12.5 UCF +12.5 · covers 53% ✓ BYU won by 2 · not covered 144.5 1 met · BYU 1 · UCF 0
Final 25Oklahoma 62 @ 12Baylor 79 BAY Solid 72% ✓ BAY -6.5 BAY won by 17 · covered 141.5 44 met · BAY 19 · OU 25
Final Florida St 75 @ Virginia Tech 83 VT Solid 69% ✓ VT -5.5 VT won by 8 · covered 151.5 28 met · VT 9 · FSU 19
Final Louisville 77 @ Boston College 89 BC Solid 81% ✓ BC -9.5 BC won by 12 · covered 148.5 11 met · BC 3 · LOU 8
Final Air Force 66 @ San José St 73 SJSU Solid 62% ✓ SJSU -3.5 SJSU won by 7 · covered 134.5 22 met · SJSU 9 · AF 13
Final New Mexico 83 @ Nevada 82 NEV -1.5 NEV lost by 1 · not covered 155.5 22 met · NEV 14 · UNM 8