Tuesday, February 6, 2024 32 games

Today: winner picks 17 of 25 right · line picks 1 of 3 right · total picks 1 of 2 right. Pick: who we think wins (Banker very likely, Solid likely). Line: the bookmaker's handicap. FLA -9.5 means Florida must win by 10 or more to cover. Prediction: our expected winning margin. Line pick: shown only where history shows an edge. Underdogs getting 12 to 17.5 points covered 53% of the time over the last 7 seasons; other lines are close to a coin flip, so no pick. Result: what happened against the line. Total pick: UNDER at neutral-site games (went under 51.8% over 7 seasons), OVER when the spread is 20+ (went over 52.3%). These are small edges, below the ~52.4% normally needed to profit. Model total: our computer's projected combined points (from each team's speed and points per possession) and its over/under call against the O/U line. Tested on 37,000 past games it was right about 50.4% of the time. Not betting advice.

Time / Status	Away		Home		Pick	Line	Prediction	Line pick	Result	O/U	Total pick	Model total	Prev. meetings
Final	Ole Miss	65	@ 15South Carolina	68	SC Solid 62% ✓	SC -3.5			SC won by 3 · not covered	137.5			31 met · SC 14 · MISS 17
Final	DePaul	57	@ St John's	85	SJU Banker 97% ✓	SJU -21.5			SJU won by 28 · covered	147.5	OVER 147.5 · 52.3% (142) ✗		34 met · SJU 23 · DEP 11
Final	Rutgers	56	@ Maryland	53	MD Solid 75% ✗	MD -7.5			MD lost by 3 · not covered	126.5			14 met · MD 10 · RUTG 4
Final	Toledo	91	@ E Michigan	87	TOL Solid 85% ✓	TOL -11.5			TOL won by 4 · not covered	150.5			46 met · EMU 20 · TOL 26
Final	Buffalo	73	@ Bowling Green	87	BGSU Banker 87% ✓	BGSU -12.5		BUF +12.5 · covers 53% ✗	BGSU won by 14 · covered	150.5			39 met · BGSU 14 · BUF 25
Final	W Michigan	61	@ Kent State	63	KENT Solid 81% ✓	KENT -9.5			KENT won by 2 · not covered	146.5			28 met · KENT 20 · WMU 8
Final	C Michigan	47	@ Akron	68	AKR Banker 89% ✓	AKR -13.5		CMU +13.5 · covers 53% ✗	AKR won by 21 · covered	130.5			28 met · AKR 24 · CMU 4
Final	Ohio	84	@ Ball State	79		OHIO -1.5			OHIO won by 5 · covered	148.5			29 met · BALL 8 · OHIO 21
Final	N Illinois	62	@ Miami OH	59	M-OH Solid 69% ✗	M-OH -5.5			M-OH lost by 3 · not covered	148.5			27 met · M-OH 18 · NIU 9
Final	Canisius	64	@ Niagara	69	NIA Solid 66% ✓	NIA -4.5			NIA won by 5 · covered	147.5			42 met · NIA 28 · CAN 14
Final	VCU	75	@ Fordham	60	VCU Solid 66% ✓	VCU -4.5			VCU won by 15 · covered	138.5			13 met · FOR 1 · VCU 12
Final	Rhode Island	88	@ G Washington	65	GW Solid 75% ✗	GW -7.5			GW lost by 23 · not covered	154.5			26 met · GW 16 · URI 10
Final	Indiana	76	@ Ohio State	73	OSU Solid 69% ✗	OSU -5.5			OSU lost by 3 · not covered	141.5			38 met · OSU 21 · IU 17
Final	Oklahoma St	63	@ 5Houston	79	HOU Banker 97% ✓	HOU -20.5			HOU won by 16 · not covered	128.5	OVER 128.5 · 52.3% (142) ✓		3 met · HOU 2 · OKST 1
Final	Florida St	63	@ Boston College	62	BC Solid 62% ✗	BC -3.5			BC lost by 1 · not covered	152.5			22 met · BC 9 · FSU 13
Final	Clemson	80	@ 3North Carolina	76	UNC Solid 72% ✗	UNC -6.5			UNC lost by 4 · not covered	154.5			31 met · UNC 25 · CLEM 6
Final	Wake Forest	80	@ Georgia Tech	51	WAKE Solid 66% ✓	WAKE -4.5			WAKE won by 29 · covered	150.5			36 met · GT 21 · WAKE 15
Final	UT Martin	57	@ Little Rock	77		LR -2.5			LR won by 20 · covered	162.5			5 met · LR 3 · UTM 2
Final	18Dayton	94	@ Saint Joseph's	79		DAY -1.5			DAY won by 15 · covered	142.5			28 met · JOES 12 · DAY 16
Final	14Iowa State	70	@ Texas	65		TEX -2.5			TEX lost by 5 · not covered	139.5			37 met · TEX 23 · ISU 14
Final	21BYU	66	@ Oklahoma	82		OU -2.5			OU won by 16 · covered	150.5			Never met
Final	17Kentucky	109	@ Vanderbilt	77	UK Solid 78% ✓	UK -8.5			UK won by 32 · covered	151.5			45 met · VAN 13 · UK 32
Final	Butler	62	@ 1UConn	71	CONN Banker 91% ✓	CONN -14.5		BTLR +14.5 · covers 53% ✓	CONN won by 9 · not covered	145.5			8 met · CONN 8 · BTLR 0
Final	25New Mexico	91	@ Wyoming	73	UNM Solid 83% ✓	UNM -10.5			UNM won by 18 · covered	155.5			47 met · WYO 16 · UNM 31
Final	Michigan St	56	@ Minnesota	59	MSU Solid 62% ✗	MSU -3.5			MSU lost by 3 · not covered	138.5			37 met · MINN 7 · MSU 30
Final	Nevada	77	@ 22Utah State	63	USU Solid 69% ✗	USU -5.5			USU lost by 14 · not covered	147.5			37 met · USU 20 · NEV 17
Final	Charlotte	69	@ South Florida	72		USF -1.5			USF won by 3 · covered	132.5			4 met · USF 3 · CLT 1
Final	Boise St	62	@ Colorado St	75	CSU Solid 69% ✓	CSU -5.5			CSU won by 13 · covered	138.5			27 met · CSU 10 · BOIS 17
Final	23Texas Tech	73	@ 13Baylor	79	BAY Solid 69% ✓	BAY -5.5			BAY won by 6 · covered	145.5			43 met · BAY 26 · TTU 17
Final	Fresno St	69	@ San José St	57		SJSU -2.5			SJSU lost by 12 · not covered	139.5			41 met · SJSU 10 · FRES 31
Final	24San Diego St	77	@ Air Force	64	SDSU Solid 81% ✓	SDSU -9.5			SDSU won by 13 · covered	134.5			42 met · AF 11 · SDSU 31
Final	Saint Mary's	84	@ Pacific	43	SMC Banker 96% ✓	SMC -19.5			SMC won by 41 · covered	129.5			21 met · PAC 2 · SMC 19