NCAA Predictor
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Thursday, February 1, 2024 65 games

Today: winner picks 36 of 47 right · line picks 3 of 7 right. Pick: who we think wins (Banker very likely, Solid likely). Line: the bookmaker's handicap. FLA -9.5 means Florida must win by 10 or more to cover. Prediction: our expected winning margin. Line pick: shown only where history shows an edge. Underdogs getting 12 to 17.5 points covered 53% of the time over the last 7 seasons; other lines are close to a coin flip, so no pick. Result: what happened against the line. Total pick: UNDER at neutral-site games (went under 51.8% over 7 seasons), OVER when the spread is 20+ (went over 52.3%). These are small edges, below the ~52.4% normally needed to profit. Model total: our computer's projected combined points (from each team's speed and points per possession) and its over/under call against the O/U line. Tested on 37,000 past games it was right about 50.4% of the time. Not betting advice.

Time / StatusAwayHomePickLinePredictionLine pickResultO/UTotal pickModel totalPrev. meetings
Final IU Indy 56 @ Green Bay 79 GB Banker 87% ✓ GB -12.5 IUIN +12.5 · covers 53% ✗ GB won by 23 · covered 136.5 16 met · GB 7 · IUIN 9
Final NJIT 66 @ Binghamton 75 BING Solid 69% ✓ BING -5.5 BING won by 9 · covered 139.5 8 met · BING 6 · NJIT 2
Final Maine 62 @ UMass Lowell 76 UML Solid 78% ✓ UML -8.5 UML won by 14 · covered 138.5 19 met · UML 14 · ME 5
Final Louisiana Tech 93 @ FIU 53 LT Solid 75% ✓ LT -7.5 LT won by 40 · covered 142.5 13 met · FIU 5 · LT 8
Final UAlbany 59 @ Vermont 81 UVM Banker 87% ✓ UVM -12.5 UALB +12.5 · covers 53% ✗ UVM won by 22 · covered 147.5 49 met · UVM 35 · UALB 14
Final UMBC 95 @ Bryant 99 BRY Banker 87% ✓ BRY -12.5 UMBC +12.5 · covers 53% ✓ BRY won by 4 · not covered 165.5 3 met · BRY 1 · UMBC 2
Final App State 81 @ Georgia St 71 APP Solid 72% ✓ APP -6.5 APP won by 10 · covered 144.5 20 met · GAST 10 · APP 10
Final Coastal 67 @ James Madison 105 JMU Banker 95% ✓ JMU -18.5 JMU won by 38 · covered 156.5 2 met · JMU 2 · CCU 0
Final Troy 84 @ GA Southern 63 TROY Solid 69% ✓ TROY -5.5 TROY won by 21 · covered 152.5 19 met · GASO 13 · TROY 6
Final Old Dominion 83 @ Marshall 76 MRSH Solid 81% ✗ MRSH -9.5 MRSH lost by 7 · not covered 155.5 23 met · MRSH 11 · ODU 12
Final Cleveland St 77 @ Detroit Mercy 65 CLE Solid 75% ✓ CLE -7.5 CLE won by 12 · covered 145.5 48 met · DETM 24 · CLE 24
Final Milwaukee 68 @ Purdue FW 65 PFW Solid 62% ✗ PFW -3.5 PFW lost by 3 · not covered 165.5 6 met · PFW 4 · MILW 2
Final Robert Morris 72 @ Oakland 87 OAK Solid 78% ✓ OAK -8.5 OAK won by 15 · covered 145.5 9 met · OAK 7 · RMU 2
Final Saint Francis 62 @ C Connecticut 63 CCSU Banker 89% ✓ CCSU -13.5 SFPA +13.5 · covers 53% ✓ CCSU won by 1 · not covered 138.5 40 met · CCSU 18 · SFPA 22
Final Stonehill 72 @ Sacred Heart 77 SHU Solid 85% ✓ SHU -11.5 SHU won by 5 · not covered 141.5 2 met · SHU 0 · STO 2
Final Le Moyne 57 @ Wagner 80 WAG -2.5 WAG won by 23 · covered 129.5 Never met
Final Long Island 75 @ FDU 82 FDU Banker 95% ✓ 41 met · FDU 21 · LIU 20
Final Campbell 69 @ Elon 67 ELON -2.5 ELON lost by 2 · not covered 145.5 3 met · ELON 1 · CAM 2
Final Delaware 81 @ William & Mary 53 DEL Solid 69% ✓ DEL -5.5 DEL won by 28 · covered 143.5 36 met · W&M 12 · DEL 24
Final Drexel 62 @ Monmouth 67 DREX Solid 62% ✗ DREX -3.5 DREX lost by 5 · not covered 136.5 9 met · MONM 3 · DREX 6
Final Hampton 58 @ NC A&T 59 NCAT Solid 62% ✓ NCAT -3.5 NCAT won by 1 · not covered 154.5 29 met · NCAT 11 · HAMP 18
Final UNC Wilmington 80 @ Charleston 74 COFC Solid 66% ✗ COFC -4.5 COFC lost by 6 · not covered 154.5 31 met · COFC 14 · UNCW 17
Final Northeastern 76 @ Towson 83 TOW Solid 75% ✓ TOW -7.5 TOW won by 7 · not covered 127.5 36 met · TOW 13 · NE 23
Final Stony Brook 71 @ Hofstra 72 HOF Solid 72% ✓ HOF -6.5 HOF won by 1 · not covered 141.5 18 met · HOF 13 · STBK 5
Final Longwood 76 @ High Point 93 HPU Solid 75% ✓ HPU -7.5 HPU won by 17 · covered 147.5 30 met · HPU 16 · LONG 14
Final Tulane 76 @ SMU 80 SMU Solid 78% ✓ SMU -8.5 SMU won by 4 · not covered 159.5 26 met · SMU 17 · TULN 9
Final Utah Valley 72 @ SF Austin 77 SFA Solid 72% ✓ SFA -6.5 SFA won by 5 · not covered 141.5 2 met · SFA 1 · UVU 1
Final Bellarmine 96 @ Kennesaw St 95 KENN Solid 78% ✗ KENN -8.5 KENN lost by 1 · not covered 153.5 4 met · KENN 2 · BELL 2
Final Idaho St 86 @ N Colorado 91 UNCO Solid 81% ✓ UNCO -9.5 UNCO won by 5 · not covered 146.5 34 met · UNCO 19 · IDST 15
Final Weber St 72 @ N Arizona 70 WEB Solid 72% ✓ WEB -6.5 WEB won by 2 · not covered 142.5 44 met · NAU 10 · WEB 34
Final Tarleton St 76 @ Abilene Chrstn 73 ACU -1.5 ACU lost by 3 · not covered 141.5 6 met · ACU 4 · TAR 2
Final E Kentucky 76 @ Queens 94 EKU Solid 69% ✗ EKU -5.5 EKU lost by 18 · not covered 163.5 2 met · QUC 0 · EKU 2
Final Denver 71 @ Kansas City 85 KC -1.5 KC won by 14 · covered 153.5 8 met · KC 5 · DEN 3
Final N Dakota St 74 @ S Dakota St 73 SDST Solid 81% ✗ SDST -9.5 SDST lost by 1 · not covered 148.5 43 met · SDST 20 · NDSU 23
Final North Dakota 95 @ South Dakota 81 UND -2.5 UND won by 14 · covered 149.5 20 met · SDAK 11 · UND 9
Final St Thomas 65 @ Omaha 69 STMN -1.5 STMN lost by 4 · not covered 140.5 4 met · OMA 0 · STMN 4
Final South Alabama 66 @ Texas St 74 TXST -2.5 TXST won by 8 · covered 143.5 15 met · TXST 10 · USA 5
Final Morehead St 68 @ Tennessee St 49 MORE Solid 66% ✓ MORE -4.5 MORE won by 19 · covered 137.5 44 met · TNST 19 · MORE 25
Final UT Arlington 76 @ Southern Utah 68 SUU -1.5 SUU lost by 8 · not covered 158.5 1 met · SUU 1 · UTA 0
Final FGCU 82 @ C Arkansas 59 FGCU Solid 62% ✓ FGCU -3.5 FGCU won by 23 · covered 147.5 3 met · CARK 1 · FGCU 2
Final UT Martin 76 @ E Illinois 59 EIU -0.5 EIU lost by 17 · not covered 148.5 44 met · EIU 25 · UTM 19
Final W Illinois 79 @ Lindenwood 71 WIU Solid 62% ✓ WIU -3.5 WIU won by 8 · covered 128.5 1 met · LIN 0 · WIU 1
Final Little Rock 66 @ SIUE 68 SIUE -2.5 SIUE won by 2 · not covered 147.5 3 met · SIUE 1 · LR 2
Final S Indiana 74 @ Tennessee Tech 71 TNTC -1.5 TNTC lost by 3 · not covered 136.5 3 met · TNTC 3 · USI 0
Final 6Wisconsin 72 @ Nebraska 80 NEB -1.5 NEB won by 8 · covered 144.5 22 met · NEB 6 · WIS 16
Final California 65 @ 11Arizona 91 ARIZ Banker 94% ✓ ARIZ -17.5 CAL +17.5 · covers 53% ✗ ARIZ won by 26 · covered 160.5 41 met · ARIZ 33 · CAL 8
Final Stetson 72 @ North Alabama 79 UNA -2.5 UNA won by 7 · covered 152.5 10 met · UNA 2 · STET 8
Final E Washington 60 @ Montana St 70 EWU Solid 62% ✗ EWU -3.5 EWU lost by 10 · not covered 152.5 42 met · MTST 15 · EWU 27
Final Idaho 70 @ Montana 73 MONT Banker 91% ✓ MONT -14.5 IDHO +14.5 · covers 53% ✓ MONT won by 3 · not covered 141.5 24 met · MONT 18 · IDHO 6
Final Jax State 71 @ UTEP 79 UTEP Solid 62% ✓ UTEP -3.5 UTEP won by 8 · covered 130.5 Never met
Final Liberty 73 @ New Mexico St 79 LIB Solid 69% ✗ LIB -5.5 LIB lost by 6 · not covered 136.5 Never met
Final Sam Houston 79 @ Western KY 77 WKU Solid 66% ✗ WKU -4.5 WKU lost by 2 · not covered 157.5 1 met · WKU 0 · SHSU 1
Final Seattle U 88 @ Grand Canyon 95 GCU Solid 81% ✓ GCU -9.5 GCU won by 7 · not covered 141.5 23 met · GCU 16 · SEA 7
Final UT Rio Grande 64 @ Utah Tech 81 UTU Solid 69% ✓ UTU -5.5 UTU won by 17 · covered 152.5 5 met · UTU 3 · RGV 2
Final Youngstown St 88 @ Wright St 77 WRST -2.5 WRST lost by 11 · not covered 164.5 44 met · WRST 31 · YSU 13
Final Stanford 71 @ Arizona St 62 ASU -0.5 ASU lost by 9 · not covered 150.5 45 met · ASU 20 · STAN 25
Final Hawai'i 76 @ Fullerton 68 CSUF -2.5 CSUF lost by 8 · not covered 128.5 27 met · CSUF 9 · HAW 18
Final CSU Northridge 62 @ UC San Diego 83 UCSD Solid 83% ✓ UCSD -10.5 UCSD won by 21 · covered 150.5 4 met · UCSD 4 · CSUN 0
Final Long Beach St 76 @ Bakersfield 82 LBSU -2.5 LBSU lost by 6 · not covered 144.5 9 met · CSUB 3 · LBSU 6
Final UC Irvine 73 @ Cal Poly 59 UCI Banker 89% ✓ UCI -13.5 CP +13.5 · covers 53% ✗ UCI won by 14 · covered 132.5 45 met · CP 13 · UCI 32
Final Portland 65 @ Pacific 60 PORT -2.5 PORT won by 5 · covered 151.5 22 met · PAC 14 · PORT 8
Final Oregon St 63 @ UCLA 71 UCLA Solid 83% ✓ UCLA -10.5 UCLA won by 8 · not covered 124.5 41 met · UCLA 30 · ORST 11
Final Oregon 78 @ USC 69 ORE Solid 62% ✓ ORE -3.5 ORE won by 9 · covered 146.5 42 met · USC 15 · ORE 27
Final UC Davis 79 @ Santa Barbara 69 UCSB Solid 62% ✗ UCSB -3.5 UCSB lost by 10 · not covered 144.5 41 met · UCSB 30 · UCD 11
Final San Diego 79 @ San Francisco 95 SF Banker 95% ✓ SF -18.5 SF won by 16 · not covered 149.5 46 met · SF 27 · USD 19