Friday, February 2, 2024 15 games

Today: winner picks 11 of 13 right. Pick: who we think wins (Banker very likely, Solid likely). Line: the bookmaker's handicap. FLA -9.5 means Florida must win by 10 or more to cover. Prediction: our expected winning margin. Line pick: shown only where history shows an edge. Underdogs getting 12 to 17.5 points covered 53% of the time over the last 7 seasons; other lines are close to a coin flip, so no pick. Result: what happened against the line. Total pick: UNDER at neutral-site games (went under 51.8% over 7 seasons), OVER when the spread is 20+ (went over 52.3%). These are small edges, below the ~52.4% normally needed to profit. Model total: our computer's projected combined points (from each team's speed and points per possession) and its over/under call against the O/U line. Tested on 37,000 past games it was right about 50.4% of the time. Not betting advice.

Time / Status	Away		Home		Pick	Line	Prediction	Line pick	Result	O/U	Total pick	Model total	Prev. meetings
Final	Kent State	83	@ Buffalo	52	KENT Solid 78% ✓	KENT -8.5			KENT won by 31 · covered	147.5			48 met · BUF 21 · KENT 27
Final	Penn	61	@ Brown	70		BRWN -1.5			BRWN won by 9 · covered	140.5			40 met · BRWN 12 · PENN 28
Final	Columbia	59	@ Harvard	62	HARV Solid 72% ✓	HARV -6.5			HARV won by 3 · not covered	151.5			40 met · HARV 27 · COLU 13
Final	Princeton	64	@ Yale	70	YALE Solid 62% ✓	YALE -3.5			YALE won by 6 · covered	141.5			44 met · YALE 23 · PRIN 21
Final	Fairfield	82	@ Iona	91	IONA Solid 66% ✓	IONA -4.5			IONA won by 9 · covered	145.5			46 met · IONA 27 · FAIR 19
Final	Mount St Marys	76	@ Marist	58		MRST -2.5			MRST lost by 18 · not covered	128.5			3 met · MRST 1 · MSM 2
Final	Niagara	68	@ Saint Peter's	59	SPU Solid 62% ✗	SPU -3.5			SPU lost by 9 · not covered	132.5			43 met · SPU 20 · NIA 23
Final	Quinnipiac	77	@ Manhattan	71	QUIN Solid 72% ✓	QUIN -6.5			QUIN won by 6 · not covered	151.5			22 met · MAN 12 · QUIN 10
Final	Siena	50	@ Rider	91	RID Solid 81% ✓	RID -9.5			RID won by 41 · covered	137.5			44 met · RID 16 · SIE 28
Final	St Bonaventure	71	@ 21Dayton	76	DAY Solid 75% ✓	DAY -7.5			DAY won by 5 · not covered	134.5			26 met · DAY 23 · SBU 3
Final	Cornell	56	@ Dartmouth	53	COR Solid 83% ✓	COR -10.5			COR won by 3 · not covered	152.5			40 met · DART 11 · COR 29
Final	Ohio State	77	@ Iowa	79	IOWA Solid 69% ✓	IOWA -5.5			IOWA won by 2 · not covered	157.5			37 met · IOWA 16 · OSU 21
Final	Toledo	70	@ Akron	77	AKR Solid 62% ✓	AKR -3.5			AKR won by 7 · covered	148.5			29 met · AKR 13 · TOL 16
Final	Butler	99	@ 13Creighton	98	CREI Solid 81% ✗	CREI -9.5			CREI lost by 1 · not covered	145.5			21 met · CREI 13 · BTLR 8
Final	San José St	60	@ Nevada	90	NEV Solid 85% ✓	NEV -11.5			NEV won by 30 · covered	142.5			39 met · NEV 35 · SJSU 4