NCAA Predictor
← Jan 24
Jan 26 →

Thursday, January 25, 2024 60 games

Today: winner picks 32 of 43 right · line picks 3 of 6 right · total picks 0 of 1 right. Pick: who we think wins (Banker very likely, Solid likely). Line: the bookmaker's handicap. FLA -9.5 means Florida must win by 10 or more to cover. Prediction: our expected winning margin. Line pick: shown only where history shows an edge. Underdogs getting 12 to 17.5 points covered 53% of the time over the last 7 seasons; other lines are close to a coin flip, so no pick. Result: what happened against the line. Total pick: UNDER at neutral-site games (went under 51.8% over 7 seasons), OVER when the spread is 20+ (went over 52.3%). These are small edges, below the ~52.4% normally needed to profit. Model total: our computer's projected combined points (from each team's speed and points per possession) and its over/under call against the O/U line. Tested on 37,000 past games it was right about 50.4% of the time. Not betting advice.

Time / StatusAwayHomePickLinePredictionLine pickResultO/UTotal pickModel totalPrev. meetings
Final C Connecticut 76 @ FDU 60 CCSU -2.5 CCSU won by 16 · covered 155.5 40 met · FDU 20 · CCSU 20
Final Elon 68 @ Campbell 78 CAM -1.5 CAM won by 10 · covered 143.5 2 met · CAM 1 · ELON 1
Final UAlbany 73 @ Maine 81 ME -2.5 ME won by 8 · covered 149.5 42 met · ME 15 · UALB 27
Final North Florida 71 @ Bellarmine 63 BELL -0.5 BELL lost by 8 · not covered 140.5 3 met · BELL 2 · UNF 1
Final Vermont 72 @ UMass Lowell 65 UML -2.5 UML lost by 7 · not covered 141.5 21 met · UML 4 · UVM 17
Final GA Southern 74 @ App State 84 APP Banker 93% ✓ APP -16.5 GASO +16.5 · covers 53% ✓ APP won by 10 · not covered 142.5 38 met · APP 23 · GASO 15
Final Monmouth 65 @ Stony Brook 72 STBK -2.5 STBK won by 7 · covered 143.5 3 met · STBK 2 · MONM 1
Final UTEP 54 @ Louisiana Tech 68 LT Solid 83% ✓ LT -10.5 LT won by 14 · covered 135.5 24 met · LT 13 · UTEP 11
Final Austin Peay 82 @ Stetson 83 STET Solid 62% ✓ STET -3.5 STET won by 1 · not covered 140.5 1 met · STET 1 · APSU 0
Final Jacksonville 59 @ E Kentucky 75 EKU Solid 83% ✓ EKU -10.5 EKU won by 16 · covered 147.5 4 met · EKU 3 · JAX 1
Final Kansas City 66 @ S Dakota St 75 SDST Solid 83% ✓ SDST -10.5 SDST won by 9 · not covered 148.5 27 met · SDST 21 · KC 6
Final Binghamton 73 @ New Hampshire 79 UNH Solid 78% ✓ UNH -8.5 UNH won by 6 · not covered 153.5 45 met · UNH 23 · BING 22
Final Bryant 70 @ NJIT 55 BRY Solid 83% ✓ BRY -10.5 BRY won by 15 · covered 153.5 4 met · NJIT 1 · BRY 3
Final Purdue FW 63 @ N Kentucky 58 NKU Solid 62% ✗ NKU -3.5 NKU lost by 5 · not covered 151.5 8 met · NKU 6 · PFW 2
Final Oakland 59 @ Green Bay 69 OAK Solid 62% ✗ OAK -3.5 OAK lost by 10 · not covered 139.5 25 met · GB 12 · OAK 13
Final Wright St 107 @ Cleveland St 99 WRST -2.5 WRST won by 8 · covered 162.5 47 met · CLE 20 · WRST 27
Final Youngstown St 78 @ IU Indy 50 YSU Banker 91% ✓ YSU -14.5 IUIN +14.5 · covers 53% ✗ YSU won by 28 · covered 147.5 13 met · IUIN 1 · YSU 12
Final Sacred Heart 71 @ Saint Francis 75 SHU Solid 72% ✗ SHU -6.5 SHU lost by 4 · not covered 141.5 39 met · SFPA 22 · SHU 17
Final Stonehill 60 @ Long Island 63 LIU Solid 62% ✓ LIU -3.5 LIU won by 3 · not covered 140.5 3 met · LIU 1 · STO 2
Final Merrimack 60 @ Wagner 44 MRMK -1.5 MRMK won by 16 · covered 124.5 8 met · WAG 5 · MRMK 3
Final Lipscomb 98 @ FGCU 72 LIP -1.5 LIP won by 26 · covered 144.5 32 met · FGCU 14 · LIP 18
Final Rider 62 @ Saint Peter's 57 SPU Solid 72% ✗ SPU -6.5 SPU lost by 5 · not covered 134.5 51 met · SPU 22 · RID 29
Final Charleston 107 @ Hampton 86 COFC Banker 91% ✓ COFC -14.5 HAMP +14.5 · covers 53% ✗ COFC won by 21 · covered 161.5 2 met · HAMP 0 · COFC 2
Final Drexel 67 @ Towson 70 DREX -1.5 DREX lost by 3 · not covered 124.5 42 met · TOW 18 · DREX 24
Final NC A&T 71 @ Delaware 90 DEL Banker 87% ✓ DEL -12.5 NCAT +12.5 · covers 53% ✗ DEL won by 19 · covered 149.5 1 met · DEL 1 · NCAT 0
Final UNC Wilmington 77 @ Northeastern 54 UNCW -2.5 UNCW won by 23 · covered 141.5 33 met · NE 17 · UNCW 16
Final William & Mary 55 @ Hofstra 64 HOF Banker 89% ✓ HOF -13.5 W&M +13.5 · covers 53% ✓ HOF won by 9 · not covered 144.5 41 met · HOF 27 · W&M 14
Final SMU 66 @ North Texas 68 SMU -0.5 SMU lost by 2 · not covered 127.5 1 met · UNT 0 · SMU 1
Final CA Baptist 63 @ UT Rio Grande 54 CBU Solid 75% ✓ CBU -7.5 CBU won by 9 · covered 146.5 8 met · RGV 3 · CBU 5
Final Grand Canyon 53 @ SF Austin 51 SFA -0.5 SFA lost by 2 · not covered 150.5 3 met · SFA 2 · GCU 1
Final Lindenwood 66 @ Little Rock 80 LR Solid 81% ✓ LR -9.5 LR won by 14 · covered 152.5 2 met · LR 0 · LIN 2
Final Mount St Marys 65 @ Quinnipiac 79 QUIN Solid 66% ✓ QUIN -4.5 QUIN won by 14 · covered 151.5 21 met · QUIN 11 · MSM 10
Final FIU 91 @ Western KY 105 WKU Solid 75% ✓ WKU -7.5 WKU won by 14 · covered 157.5 40 met · WKU 31 · FIU 9
Final Southern Utah 73 @ Tarleton St 70 TAR Solid 69% ✗ TAR -5.5 TAR lost by 3 · not covered 146.5 2 met · TAR 1 · SUU 1
Final N Dakota St 66 @ St Thomas 79 STMN Solid 72% ✓ STMN -6.5 STMN won by 13 · covered 136.5 4 met · STMN 1 · NDSU 3
Final Omaha 67 @ Oral Roberts 74 ORU Solid 62% ✓ ORU -3.5 ORU won by 7 · covered 152.5 19 met · ORU 15 · OMA 4
Final Detroit Mercy 71 @ Milwaukee 87 MILW Solid 85% ✓ MILW -11.5 MILW won by 16 · covered 157.5 45 met · MILW 28 · DETM 17
Final Utah Tech 60 @ Abilene Chrstn 82 ACU Solid 72% ✓ ACU -6.5 ACU won by 22 · covered 149.5 3 met · ACU 3 · UTU 0
Postponed Arkansas St @ Louisiana UL Banker 95% 41 met · UL 26 · ARST 15
Final South Alabama 66 @ UL Monroe 80 USA Solid 62% ✗ USA -3.5 USA lost by 14 · not covered 142.5 28 met · ULM 12 · USA 16
Final Tennessee Tech 59 @ E Illinois 68 EIU Solid 69% ✓ EIU -5.5 EIU won by 9 · covered 131.5 35 met · EIU 10 · TNTC 25
Final SE Missouri 58 @ UT Martin 84 UTM Solid 83% ✓ UTM -10.5 UTM won by 26 · covered 155.5 42 met · UTM 23 · SEMO 19
Final N Colorado 74 @ E Washington 77 EWU Solid 72% ✓ EWU -6.5 EWU won by 3 · not covered 162.5 33 met · EWU 18 · UNCO 15
Final N Arizona 75 @ Idaho 60 IDHO Solid 62% ✗ IDHO -3.5 IDHO lost by 15 · not covered 141.5 18 met · IDHO 7 · NAU 11
Final Montana St 70 @ Sacramento St 62 SAC -1.5 SAC lost by 8 · not covered 136.5 44 met · SAC 18 · MTST 26
Final New Mexico St 67 @ Sam Houston 79 SHSU Solid 66% ✓ SHSU -4.5 SHSU won by 12 · covered 140.5 3 met · SHSU 3 · NMSU 0
Final South Dakota 110 @ Denver 111 DEN Solid 81% ✓ DEN -9.5 DEN won by 1 · not covered 159.5 22 met · DEN 8 · SDAK 14
Final W Illinois 73 @ S Indiana 68 WIU -2.5 WIU won by 5 · covered 131.5 1 met · USI 0 · WIU 1
Final San Francisco 72 @ Gonzaga 77 GONZ Solid 81% ✓ GONZ -9.5 GONZ won by 5 · not covered 153.5 48 met · GONZ 44 · SF 4
Final Arizona St 61 @ Oregon 80 ORE Solid 81% ✓ ORE -9.5 ORE won by 19 · covered 143.5 42 met · ORE 25 · ASU 17
Final Montana 46 @ Portland St 72 MONT Solid 69% ✗ MONT -5.5 MONT lost by 26 · not covered 146.5 41 met · PRST 15 · MONT 26
Final UC Riverside 65 @ UC San Diego 66 UCSD Solid 75% ✓ UCSD -7.5 UCSD won by 1 · not covered 139.5 8 met · UCSD 2 · UCR 6
Final UC Irvine 72 @ Long Beach St 61 UCI -2.5 UCI won by 11 · covered 153.5 51 met · LBSU 22 · UCI 29
Final Fullerton 54 @ Cal Poly 51 CSUF Solid 69% ✓ CSUF -5.5 CSUF won by 3 · not covered 127.5 41 met · CP 17 · CSUF 24
Final Bakersfield 64 @ CSU Northridge 56 CSUN Solid 62% ✗ CSUN -3.5 CSUN lost by 8 · not covered 146.5 15 met · CSUN 7 · CSUB 8
Final Portland 65 @ LMU 92 LMU Solid 83% ✓ LMU -10.5 LMU won by 27 · covered 149.5 48 met · LMU 24 · PORT 24
Final Pepperdine 71 @ Santa Clara 94 SCU Solid 81% ✓ SCU -9.5 SCU won by 23 · covered 150.5 44 met · SCU 26 · PEPP 18
Final Pacific 28 @ Saint Mary's 76 SMC Banker 98% ✓ SMC -26.5 SMC won by 48 · covered 135.5 OVER 135.5 · 52.3% (104) ✗ 20 met · SMC 18 · PAC 2
Final 9Arizona 80 @ Oregon St 83 ARIZ Banker 94% ✗ ARIZ -17.5 ORST +17.5 · covers 53% ✓ ARIZ lost by 3 · not covered 148.5 42 met · ORST 7 · ARIZ 35
Final Santa Barbara 78 @ Hawai'i 61 HAW Solid 66% ✗ HAW -4.5 HAW lost by 17 · not covered 136.5 24 met · HAW 9 · UCSB 15