NCAA Predictor
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Thursday, January 18, 2024 59 games

Today: winner picks 31 of 44 right · line picks 4 of 6 right · total picks 1 of 1 right. Pick: who we think wins (Banker very likely, Solid likely). Line: the bookmaker's handicap. FLA -9.5 means Florida must win by 10 or more to cover. Prediction: our expected winning margin. Line pick: shown only where history shows an edge. Underdogs getting 12 to 17.5 points covered 53% of the time over the last 7 seasons; other lines are close to a coin flip, so no pick. Result: what happened against the line. Total pick: UNDER at neutral-site games (went under 51.8% over 7 seasons), OVER when the spread is 20+ (went over 52.3%). These are small edges, below the ~52.4% normally needed to profit. Model total: our computer's projected combined points (from each team's speed and points per possession) and its over/under call against the O/U line. Tested on 37,000 past games it was right about 50.4% of the time. Not betting advice.

Time / StatusAwayHomePickLinePredictionLine pickResultO/UTotal pickModel totalPrev. meetings
Final Vermont 82 @ Binghamton 62 UVM Solid 72% ✓ UVM -6.5 UVM won by 20 · covered 140.5 49 met · BING 8 · UVM 41
Final Minnesota 66 @ Michigan St 76 MSU Solid 85% ✓ MSU -11.5 MSU won by 10 · not covered 140.5 36 met · MSU 29 · MINN 7
Final FIU 69 @ Liberty 78 LIB Banker 89% ✓ LIB -13.5 FIU +13.5 · covers 53% ✓ LIB won by 9 · not covered 140.5 Never met
Final Kennesaw St 75 @ North Florida 84 KENN -2.5 KENN lost by 9 · not covered 163.5 36 met · UNF 24 · KENN 12
Final Queens 77 @ Jacksonville 79 JAX -2.5 JAX won by 2 · not covered 155.5 1 met · JAX 1 · QUC 0
Final UMass Lowell 97 @ UAlbany 76 UML -2.5 UML won by 21 · covered 156.5 20 met · UALB 13 · UML 7
Final Maine 65 @ UMBC 70 ME Solid 62% ✗ ME -3.5 ME lost by 5 · not covered 154.5 39 met · UMBC 25 · ME 14
Final New Hampshire 70 @ NJIT 62 UNH Solid 72% ✓ UNH -6.5 UNH won by 8 · covered 151.5 7 met · NJIT 4 · UNH 3
Final Coastal 70 @ GA Southern 73 GASO -2.5 GASO won by 3 · covered 151.5 16 met · GASO 9 · CCU 7
Final Marshall 66 @ Old Dominion 91 ODU -1.5 ODU won by 25 · covered 157.5 22 met · ODU 11 · MRSH 11
Final Green Bay 88 @ Wright St 81 WRST Solid 83% ✗ WRST -10.5 WRST lost by 7 · not covered 148.5 49 met · WRST 29 · GB 20
Final Milwaukee 72 @ N Kentucky 90 NKU -1.5 NKU won by 18 · covered 156.5 18 met · NKU 12 · MILW 6
Final Campbell 77 @ William & Mary 64 W&M Solid 66% ✗ W&M -4.5 W&M lost by 13 · not covered 137.5 4 met · W&M 3 · CAM 1
Final Hampton 77 @ Hofstra 86 HOF Banker 95% ✓ HOF -18.5 HOF won by 9 · not covered 148.5 2 met · HOF 2 · HAMP 0
Final Monmouth 74 @ Drexel 78 DREX Solid 81% ✓ DREX -9.5 DREX won by 4 · not covered 135.5 8 met · DREX 5 · MONM 3
Final Northeastern 65 @ NC A&T 72 NE Solid 75% ✗ NE -7.5 NE lost by 7 · not covered 144.5 1 met · NCAT 0 · NE 1
Final UNC Wilmington 82 @ Elon 70 UNCW Solid 75% ✓ UNCW -7.5 UNCW won by 12 · covered 148.5 23 met · ELON 8 · UNCW 15
Final Stony Brook 68 @ Delaware 71 DEL Solid 75% ✓ DEL -7.5 DEL won by 3 · not covered 144.5 3 met · DEL 2 · STBK 1
Final Towson 82 @ Charleston 78 COFC Solid 83% ✗ COFC -10.5 COFC lost by 4 · not covered 140.5 25 met · COFC 16 · TOW 9
Final UNC Asheville 82 @ Winthrop 77 WIN Solid 62% ✗ WIN -3.5 WIN lost by 5 · not covered 148.5 48 met · WIN 31 · UNCA 17
Final Wichita St 77 @ 23FAU 86 FAU Banker 92% ✓ FAU -15.5 WICH +15.5 · covers 53% ✓ FAU won by 9 · not covered 154.5 Never met
Final South Florida 74 @ 10Memphis 73 MEM Solid 81% ✗ MEM -9.5 MEM lost by 1 · not covered 157.5 24 met · MEM 19 · USF 5
Final Seattle U 84 @ SF Austin 89 SFA Solid 69% ✓ SFA -5.5 SFA won by 5 · not covered 139.5 2 met · SFA 1 · SEA 1
Final UT Martin 66 @ Morehead St 84 MORE Solid 81% ✓ MORE -9.5 MORE won by 18 · covered 151.5 38 met · MORE 30 · UTM 8
Final Portland St 65 @ N Arizona 84 PRST Solid 66% ✗ PRST -4.5 PRST lost by 19 · not covered 143.5 41 met · NAU 17 · PRST 24
Final Sacramento St 75 @ N Colorado 77 UNCO Solid 81% ✓ UNCO -9.5 UNCO won by 2 · not covered 149.5 31 met · UNCO 22 · SAC 9
Final Abilene Chrstn 71 @ Tarleton St 79 TAR Solid 66% ✓ TAR -4.5 TAR won by 8 · covered 139.5 5 met · TAR 1 · ACU 4
Final UT Rio Grande 73 @ UT Arlington 91 UTA Solid 83% ✓ UTA -10.5 UTA won by 18 · covered 157.5 14 met · UTA 12 · RGV 2
Final North Alabama 80 @ Austin Peay 83 APSU Solid 62% ✓ APSU -3.5 APSU won by 3 · not covered 140.5 1 met · APSU 0 · UNA 1
Final C Arkansas 96 @ Lipscomb 86 LIP Banker 91% ✗ LIP -14.5 CARK +14.5 · covers 53% ✓ LIP lost by 10 · not covered 155.5 3 met · LIP 2 · CARK 1
Final Denver 78 @ N Dakota St 70 NDSU -2.5 NDSU lost by 8 · not covered 157.5 27 met · NDSU 20 · DEN 7
Final Omaha 87 @ S Dakota St 90 SDST Solid 83% ✓ SDST -10.5 SDST won by 3 · not covered 147.5 24 met · SDST 19 · OMA 5
Final Oral Roberts 77 @ North Dakota 87 ORU -1.5 ORU lost by 10 · not covered 151.5 12 met · UND 3 · ORU 9
Final St Thomas 73 @ South Dakota 74 STMN Solid 69% ✗ STMN -5.5 STMN lost by 1 · not covered 144.5 4 met · SDAK 4 · STMN 0
Final UL Monroe 70 @ James Madison 89 JMU Banker 97% ✓ JMU -20.5 JMU won by 19 · not covered 144.5 OVER 144.5 · 52.3% (159) ✓ 1 met · JMU 1 · ULM 0
Final Troy 71 @ South Alabama 74 TROY -0.5 TROY lost by 3 · not covered 150.5 40 met · USA 27 · TROY 13
Final Utah Tech 65 @ Southern Utah 75 SUU Solid 66% ✓ SUU -4.5 SUU won by 10 · covered 153.5 6 met · SUU 4 · UTU 2
Final SIUE 78 @ Lindenwood 59 SIUE Solid 66% ✓ SIUE -4.5 SIUE won by 19 · covered 135.5 3 met · LIN 0 · SIUE 3
Final Little Rock 77 @ S Indiana 75 LR Solid 62% ✓ LR -3.5 LR won by 2 · not covered 149.5 2 met · USI 2 · LR 0
Final Tennessee Tech 53 @ Tennessee St 85 TNST Solid 75% ✓ TNST -7.5 TNST won by 32 · covered 142.5 40 met · TNST 20 · TNTC 20
Final 14Illinois 88 @ Michigan 73 ILL -2.5 ILL won by 15 · covered 152.5 38 met · MICH 18 · ILL 20
Final E Washington 80 @ Weber St 78 WEB Solid 69% ✗ WEB -5.5 WEB lost by 2 · not covered 145.5 42 met · WEB 25 · EWU 17
Final Idaho 59 @ Idaho St 64 IDST Solid 66% ✓ IDST -4.5 IDST won by 5 · covered 133.5 24 met · IDST 16 · IDHO 8
Final Western KY 70 @ New Mexico St 72 NMSU -2.5 NMSU won by 2 · not covered 147.5 4 met · NMSU 1 · WKU 3
Final MTSU 59 @ UTEP 73 UTEP Solid 72% ✓ UTEP -6.5 UTEP won by 14 · covered 128.5 16 met · UTEP 6 · MTSU 10
Final Utah Valley 65 @ Grand Canyon 78 GCU Banker 89% ✓ GCU -13.5 UVU +13.5 · covers 53% ✓ GCU won by 13 · not covered 140.5 22 met · GCU 13 · UVU 9
Final Washington 77 @ California 75 CAL -1.5 CAL lost by 2 · not covered 155.5 40 met · CAL 20 · WASH 20
Final Oregon St 47 @ Utah 74 UTAH Banker 91% ✓ UTAH -14.5 ORST +14.5 · covers 53% ✗ UTAH won by 27 · covered 141.5 21 met · UTAH 10 · ORST 11
Final UC San Diego 65 @ UC Irvine 76 UCI Solid 72% ✓ UCI -6.5 UCI won by 11 · covered 139.5 7 met · UCI 6 · UCSD 1
Final UC Davis 67 @ Fullerton 65 UCD -1.5 UCD won by 2 · covered 135.5 40 met · CSUF 23 · UCD 17
Final UC Riverside 56 @ Bakersfield 80 UCR Solid 62% ✗ UCR -3.5 UCR lost by 24 · not covered 134.5 12 met · CSUB 5 · UCR 7
Final Hawai'i 71 @ Long Beach St 79 LBSU Solid 61% ✓ LBSU -3 LBSU won by 8 · covered 145.0 29 met · LBSU 13 · HAW 16
Final Santa Barbara 97 @ CSU Northridge 69 CSUN -1.5 CSUN lost by 28 · not covered 154.5 46 met · CSUN 19 · UCSB 27
Final Gonzaga 86 @ Pepperdine 61 GONZ Banker 87% ✓ GONZ -12.5 PEPP +12.5 · covers 53% ✗ GONZ won by 25 · covered 156.5 44 met · PEPP 0 · GONZ 44
Final Santa Clara 88 @ Pacific 69 SCU Solid 85% ✓ SCU -11.5 SCU won by 19 · covered 148.5 33 met · PAC 12 · SCU 21
Postponed San Diego @ Portland 46 met · PORT 18 · USD 28
Final Oregon 70 @ Colorado 86 COLO Solid 72% ✓ COLO -6.5 COLO won by 16 · covered 147.5 24 met · COLO 13 · ORE 11
Final LMU 74 @ San Francisco 90 SF Solid 83% ✓ SF -10.5 SF won by 16 · covered 141.5 46 met · SF 27 · LMU 19
Final Washington St 89 @ Stanford 75 STAN Solid 62% ✗ STAN -3.5 STAN lost by 14 · not covered 144.5 42 met · STAN 30 · WSU 12