NCAA Predictor
← Jan 16
Jan 18 →

Wednesday, January 17, 2024 44 games

Today: winner picks 24 of 31 right · line picks 1 of 4 right · total picks 1 of 2 right. Pick: who we think wins (Banker very likely, Solid likely). Line: the bookmaker's handicap. FLA -9.5 means Florida must win by 10 or more to cover. Prediction: our expected winning margin. Line pick: shown only where history shows an edge. Underdogs getting 12 to 17.5 points covered 53% of the time over the last 7 seasons; other lines are close to a coin flip, so no pick. Result: what happened against the line. Total pick: UNDER at neutral-site games (went under 51.8% over 7 seasons), OVER when the spread is 20+ (went over 52.3%). These are small edges, below the ~52.4% normally needed to profit. Model total: our computer's projected combined points (from each team's speed and points per possession) and its over/under call against the O/U line. Tested on 37,000 past games it was right about 50.4% of the time. Not betting advice.

Time / StatusAwayHomePickLinePredictionLine pickResultO/UTotal pickModel totalPrev. meetings
Final Furman 100 @ VMI 60 FUR Banker 93% ✓ FUR -16.5 VMI +16.5 · covers 53% ✗ FUR won by 40 · covered 165.5 20 met · VMI 6 · FUR 14
Final Colgate 64 @ Army 56 COLG Solid 78% ✓ COLG -8.5 COLG won by 8 · not covered 132.5 46 met · ARMY 15 · COLG 31
Final Georgia St 68 @ App State 76 APP Solid 78% ✓ APP -8.5 APP won by 8 · not covered 140.5 19 met · APP 9 · GAST 10
Final Detroit Mercy 99 @ Robert Morris 102 RMU Solid 78% ✓ RMU -8.5 RMU won by 3 · not covered 144.5 7 met · RMU 1 · DETM 6
Final IU Indy 85 @ Purdue FW 79 PFW Banker 94% ✗ PFW -17.5 IUIN +17.5 · covers 53% ✓ PFW lost by 6 · not covered 151.5 31 met · PFW 13 · IUIN 18
Final Youngstown St 67 @ Oakland 70 OAK Solid 62% ✓ OAK -3.5 OAK won by 3 · not covered 152.5 27 met · OAK 19 · YSU 8
Final Chattanooga 74 @ Mercer 60 UTC -2.5 UTC won by 14 · covered 140.5 20 met · MER 9 · UTC 11
Final The Citadel 67 @ UNC Greensboro 73 UNCG Solid 83% ✓ UNCG -10.5 UNCG won by 6 · not covered 133.5 37 met · UNCG 32 · CIT 5
Final ETSU 73 @ Wofford 75 WOF -2.5 WOF won by 2 · not covered 147.5 24 met · WOF 12 · ETSU 12
Final Bucknell 73 @ Boston U 57 BU Solid 66% ✗ BU -4.5 BU lost by 16 · not covered 133.5 25 met · BU 11 · BUCK 14
Final Rhode Island 64 @ St Bonaventure 99 SBU Solid 75% ✓ SBU -7.5 SBU won by 35 · covered 142.5 29 met · SBU 12 · URI 17
Final UMass 78 @ Loyola Chicago 79 LUC Solid 68% ✓ LUC -5 LUC won by 1 · not covered 147.5 1 met · LUC 1 · MASS 0
Final Davidson 79 @ Fordham 69 FOR -2.5 FOR lost by 10 · not covered 143.5 16 met · FOR 3 · DAV 13
Final 22Ole Miss 80 @ LSU 89 LSU -2.5 LSU won by 9 · covered 150.5 35 met · LSU 20 · MISS 15
Final Mississippi St 77 @ 8Kentucky 90 UK Solid 72% ✓ UK -6.5 UK won by 13 · covered 156.5 27 met · UK 23 · MSST 4
Final Lehigh 69 @ Navy 71 NAVY -2.5 NAVY won by 2 · not covered 142.5 45 met · NAVY 16 · LEH 29
Final 18Creighton 48 @ 1UConn 62 CONN Solid 72% ✓ CONN -6.5 CONN won by 14 · covered 145.5 7 met · CONN 1 · CREI 6
Final Lafayette 72 @ Holy Cross 68 LAF Solid 61% ✓ LAF -3 LAF won by 4 · covered 129.5 46 met · HC 23 · LAF 23
Final Nebraska 82 @ Rutgers 87 RUTG -2.5 RUTG won by 5 · covered 143.5 17 met · RUTG 7 · NEB 10
Final Gardner-Webb 74 @ Radford 68 RAD Solid 66% ✗ RAD -4.5 RAD lost by 6 · not covered 139.5 29 met · RAD 12 · GWEB 17
Final High Point 86 @ Presbyterian 83 HPU Solid 75% ✓ HPU -7.5 HPU won by 3 · not covered 149.5 26 met · PRES 6 · HPU 20
Final Longwood 71 @ SC Upstate 73 LONG Solid 69% ✗ LONG -5.5 LONG lost by 2 · not covered 135.5 10 met · UPST 5 · LONG 5
Final North Texas 60 @ East Carolina 59 UNT -2.5 UNT won by 1 · not covered 122.5 1 met · ECU 0 · UNT 1
Final Florida St 84 @ Miami 75 MIA Solid 72% ✗ MIA -6.5 MIA lost by 9 · not covered 156.5 41 met · MIA 13 · FSU 28
Final Virginia Tech 57 @ Virginia 65 UVA Solid 66% ✓ UVA -4.5 UVA won by 8 · covered 125.5 40 met · UVA 25 · VT 15
Final Arkansas St 66 @ Southern Miss 69 ARST -2.5 ARST lost by 3 · not covered 151.5 4 met · USM 2 · ARST 2
Final Louisiana 86 @ Texas St 68 TXST -1.5 TXST lost by 18 · not covered 135.5 25 met · TXST 7 · UL 18
Final Valparaiso 75 @ Evansville 78 EVAN Solid 72% ✓ EVAN -6.5 EVAN won by 3 · not covered 142.5 17 met · EVAN 8 · VAL 9
Final Drake 77 @ Illinois St 56 DRKE Solid 75% ✓ DRKE -7.5 DRKE won by 21 · covered 137.5 46 met · ILST 24 · DRKE 22
Final Bradley 70 @ S Illinois 69 BRAD -1.5 BRAD won by 1 · not covered 132.5 47 met · SIU 26 · BRAD 21
Final Murray St 73 @ UIC 58 UIC -1.5 UIC lost by 15 · not covered 137.5 4 met · UIC 1 · MUR 3
Final UTSA 78 @ Tulsa 107 TLSA Solid 72% ✓ TLSA -6.5 TLSA won by 29 · covered 155.5 3 met · TLSA 3 · UTSA 0
Final Tulane 69 @ UAB 83 UAB -1.5 UAB won by 14 · covered 164.5 20 met · UAB 14 · TULN 6
Final West Virginia 63 @ 15Oklahoma 77 OU Banker 87% ✓ OU -12.5 WVU +12.5 · covers 53% ✗ OU won by 14 · covered 146.5 27 met · OU 17 · WVU 10
Final UCF 77 @ Texas 71 TEX Solid 78% ✗ TEX -8.5 TEX lost by 6 · not covered 137.5 Never met
Final 13Auburn 80 @ Vanderbilt 65 AUB Solid 85% ✓ AUB -11.5 AUB won by 15 · covered 145.5 26 met · VAN 18 · AUB 8
Final Providence 100 @ DePaul 62 PROV Solid 81% ✓ PROV -9.5 PROV won by 38 · covered 134.5 31 met · DEP 8 · PROV 23
Final Maryland 69 @ Northwestern 72 NU Solid 66% ✓ NU -4.5 NU won by 3 · not covered 131.5 15 met · NU 3 · MD 12
Final Northern Iowa 83 @ Belmont 72 UNI -1.5 UNI won by 11 · covered 148.5 3 met · BEL 3 · UNI 0
Final 25Texas Tech 54 @ 5Houston 77 HOU Banker 87% ✓ HOU -12.5 TTU +12.5 · covers 53% ✗ HOU won by 23 · covered 129.5 4 met · HOU 2 · TTU 2
Final Louisville 70 @ 4North Carolina 86 UNC Banker 97% ✓ UNC -20.5 UNC won by 16 · not covered 155.5 OVER 155.5 · 52.3% (156) ✓ 16 met · UNC 12 · LOU 4
Final UCLA 68 @ Arizona St 66 ASU Solid 62% ✗ ASU -3.5 ASU lost by 2 · not covered 130.5 40 met · ASU 13 · UCLA 27
Final USC 67 @ 12Arizona 82 ARIZ Banker 97% ✓ ARIZ -20.5 ARIZ won by 15 · not covered 158.5 OVER 158.5 · 52.3% (149) ✗ 42 met · ARIZ 28 · USC 14
Final Nevada 59 @ San Diego St 71 SDSU Solid 72% ✓ SDSU -6.5 SDSU won by 12 · covered 138.5 24 met · SDSU 20 · NEV 4