Tuesday, January 16, 2024 31 games

Today: winner picks 16 of 22 right · line picks 4 of 6 right. Pick: who we think wins (Banker very likely, Solid likely). Line: the bookmaker's handicap. FLA -9.5 means Florida must win by 10 or more to cover. Prediction: our expected winning margin. Line pick: shown only where history shows an edge. Underdogs getting 12 to 17.5 points covered 53% of the time over the last 7 seasons; other lines are close to a coin flip, so no pick. Result: what happened against the line. Total pick: UNDER at neutral-site games (went under 51.8% over 7 seasons), OVER when the spread is 20+ (went over 52.3%). These are small edges, below the ~52.4% normally needed to profit. Model total: our computer's projected combined points (from each team's speed and points per possession) and its over/under call against the O/U line. Tested on 37,000 past games it was right about 50.4% of the time. Not betting advice.

Time / Status	Away		Home		Pick	Line	Prediction	Line pick	Result	O/U	Total pick	Model total	Prev. meetings
Final	Florida	66	@ 6Tennessee	85	TENN Solid 81% ✓	TENN -9.5			TENN won by 19 · covered	159.5			37 met · TENN 22 · FLA 15
Final	Samford	75	@ W Carolina	71		WCU -1.5			WCU lost by 4 · not covered	158.5			29 met · WCU 13 · SAM 16
Final	Butler	71	@ Xavier	85	XAV Solid 69% ✓	XAV -5.5			XAV won by 14 · covered	151.5			30 met · XAV 18 · BTLR 12
Final	Buffalo	66	@ Toledo	77	TOL Banker 92% ✓	TOL -15.5		BUF +15.5 · covers 53% ✓	TOL won by 11 · not covered	153.5			29 met · TOL 15 · BUF 14
Final	Ball State	76	@ E Michigan	62		EMU -1.5			EMU lost by 14 · not covered	140.5			42 met · EMU 19 · BALL 23
Final	W Michigan	66	@ Akron	77	AKR Banker 89% ✓	AKR -13.5		WMU +13.5 · covers 53% ✓	AKR won by 11 · not covered	148.5			35 met · AKR 26 · WMU 9
Final	Bowling Green	78	@ Miami OH	73		BGSU -1.5			BGSU won by 5 · covered	144.5			41 met · M-OH 24 · BGSU 17
Final	C Michigan	61	@ Ohio	73	OHIO Solid 83% ✓	OHIO -10.5			OHIO won by 12 · covered	145.5			27 met · OHIO 17 · CMU 10
Final	Richmond	63	@ Duquesne	61	DUQ Solid 62% ✗	DUQ -3.5			DUQ lost by 2 · not covered	137.5			27 met · DUQ 3 · RICH 24
Final	Missouri	75	@ Alabama	93	ALA Banker 91% ✓	ALA -14.5		MIZ +14.5 · covers 53% ✗	ALA won by 18 · covered	161.5			16 met · ALA 10 · MIZ 6
Final	2Purdue	87	@ Indiana	66	PUR Solid 81% ✓	PUR -9.5			PUR won by 21 · covered	150.5			37 met · IU 16 · PUR 21
Final	Missouri St	66	@ Indiana St	88	INST Banker 87% ✓	INST -12.5		MOST +12.5 · covers 53% ✗	INST won by 22 · covered	155.0			44 met · INST 13 · MOST 31
Final	19TCU	77	@ Cincinnati	81	CIN Solid 62% ✓	CIN -3.5			CIN won by 4 · covered	150.5			3 met · CIN 3 · TCU 0
Final	Wake Forest	76	@ NC State	83		NCSU -1.5			NCSU won by 7 · covered	149.5			46 met · NCSU 28 · WAKE 18
Final	Syracuse	69	@ Pitt	58	PITT Solid 72% ✗	PITT -6.5			PITT lost by 11 · not covered	148.5			39 met · PITT 22 · SYR 17
Final	Kent State	83	@ N Illinois	76	KENT Solid 66% ✓	KENT -4.5			KENT won by 7 · covered	147.5			29 met · NIU 9 · KENT 20
Final	Saint Louis	65	@ 21Dayton	70	DAY Solid 85% ✓	DAY -11.5			DAY won by 5 · not covered	141.5			40 met · DAY 25 · SLU 15
Final	Charlotte	81	@ Rice	79		CLT -2.5			CLT won by 2 · not covered	138.5			17 met · RICE 10 · CLT 7
Final	Temple	64	@ SMU	77	SMU Banker 89% ✓	SMU -13.5		TEM +13.5 · covers 53% ✓	SMU won by 13 · not covered	140.5			17 met · SMU 11 · TEM 6
Final	9Baylor	64	@ Kansas St	68		KSU -1.5			KSU won by 4 · covered	141.5			37 met · KSU 18 · BAY 19
Final	St John's	65	@ Seton Hall	80		SJU -1.5			SJU lost by 15 · not covered	145.5			35 met · HALL 23 · SJU 12
Final	Air Force	69	@ Colorado St	78	CSU Banker 92% ✓	CSU -15.5		AF +15.5 · covers 53% ✓	CSU won by 9 · not covered	134.5			44 met · CSU 28 · AF 16
Final	Texas A&M	77	@ Arkansas	78		TA&M -2.5			TA&M lost by 1 · not covered	147.5			22 met · ARK 11 · TA&M 11
Final	Georgia	74	@ South Carolina	69	SC Solid 72% ✗	SC -6.5			SC lost by 5 · not covered	137.5			44 met · SC 24 · UGA 20
Final	11Wisconsin	83	@ Penn State	87	WIS Solid 69% ✗	WIS -5.5			WIS lost by 4 · not covered	143.5			36 met · PSU 4 · WIS 32
Final	24Iowa State	72	@ 20BYU	87	BYU Solid 62% ✓	BYU -3.5			BYU won by 15 · covered	144.5			2 met · BYU 0 · ISU 2
Final	3Kansas	90	@ Oklahoma St	66	KU Solid 72% ✓	KU -6.5			KU won by 24 · covered	139.5			38 met · OKST 11 · KU 27
Final	Georgia Tech	93	@ Clemson	90	CLEM Solid 85% ✗	CLEM -11.5			CLEM lost by 3 · not covered	148.5			45 met · CLEM 28 · GT 17
Final	UNLV	68	@ Boise St	64	BOIS Solid 66% ✗	BOIS -4.5			BOIS lost by 4 · not covered	139.5			27 met · BOIS 18 · UNLV 9
Final	San José St	82	@ Fresno St	85		FRES -2.5			FRES won by 3 · covered	136.5			40 met · FRES 30 · SJSU 10
Final	16Utah State	86	@ New Mexico	99	UNM Solid 69% ✓	UNM -5.5			UNM won by 13 · covered	156.5			22 met · UNM 8 · USU 14