Monday, January 15, 2024 30 games

Today: winner picks 15 of 20 right · line picks 0 of 3 right · total picks 1 of 1 right. Pick: who we think wins (Banker very likely, Solid likely). Line: the bookmaker's handicap. FLA -9.5 means Florida must win by 10 or more to cover. Prediction: our expected winning margin. Line pick: shown only where history shows an edge. Underdogs getting 12 to 17.5 points covered 53% of the time over the last 7 seasons; other lines are close to a coin flip, so no pick. Result: what happened against the line. Total pick: UNDER at neutral-site games (went under 51.8% over 7 seasons), OVER when the spread is 20+ (went over 52.3%). These are small edges, below the ~52.4% normally needed to profit. Model total: our computer's projected combined points (from each team's speed and points per possession) and its over/under call against the O/U line. Tested on 37,000 past games it was right about 50.4% of the time. Not betting advice.

Time / Status	Away		Home		Pick	Line	Prediction	Line pick	Result	O/U	Total pick	Model total	Prev. meetings
Final	Fairfield	88	@ Canisius	63		CAN -2.5			CAN lost by 25 · not covered	148.5			43 met · CAN 15 · FAIR 28
Final	Siena	93	@ Niagara	88	NIA Solid 69% ✗	NIA -5.5			NIA lost by 5 · not covered	138.5			47 met · NIA 20 · SIE 27
Final	Ohio State	65	@ Michigan	73		MICH -1.5			MICH won by 8 · covered	146.5			40 met · MICH 15 · OSU 25
Final	Stonehill	54	@ Wagner	64	WAG Solid 69% ✓	WAG -5.5			WAG won by 10 · covered	131.5			2 met · WAG 1 · STO 1
Final	Brown	74	@ Harvard	72		HARV -2.5			HARV lost by 2 · not covered	142.5			40 met · HARV 26 · BRWN 14
Final	Dartmouth	58	@ Princeton	76	PRIN Banker 94% ✓	PRIN -17.5		DART +17.5 · covers 53% ✗	PRIN won by 18 · covered	133.5			40 met · PRIN 32 · DART 8
Final	Penn	60	@ Cornell	77	COR Solid 75% ✓	COR -7.5			COR won by 17 · covered	161.5			40 met · COR 10 · PENN 30
Final	George Mason	62	@ G Washington	75		GMU -2.5			GMU lost by 13 · not covered	143.5			23 met · GW 14 · GMU 9
Final	Villanova	74	@ 17Marquette	87	MARQ Solid 72% ✓	MARQ -6.5			MARQ won by 13 · covered	145.5			36 met · MARQ 14 · VILL 22
Final	Hou Christian	64	@ N'Western St	69	NWST Solid 62% ✓	NWST -3.5			NWST won by 5 · covered	151.5			18 met · NWST 11 · HCU 7
Final	Miss Valley St	61	@ Texas Southern	93	TXSO Banker 92% ✓	TXSO -15.5		MVSU +15.5 · covers 53% ✗	TXSO won by 32 · covered	126.5			44 met · TXSO 26 · MVSU 18
Final	Merrimack	70	@ C Connecticut	75		MRMK -1.5			MRMK lost by 5 · not covered	130.5			8 met · CCSU 1 · MRMK 7
Final	La Salle	62	@ Saint Joseph's	82	JOES Solid 85% ✓	JOES -11.5			JOES won by 20 · covered	150.5			34 met · JOES 18 · LAS 16
Postponed	AR-Pine Bluff		@ Prairie View										42 met · PV 22 · UAPB 20
Final	Iowa	86	@ Minnesota	77	MINN Solid 62% ✗	MINN -3.5			MINN lost by 9 · not covered	157.5			36 met · MINN 16 · IOWA 20
Final	Texas A&M-CC	73	@ SE Louisiana	68		SELA -1.5			SELA lost by 5 · not covered	136.5			24 met · SELA 10 · AMCC 14
Final	Columbia	70	@ Yale	89	YALE Banker 91% ✓	YALE -14.5		COLU +14.5 · covers 53% ✗	YALE won by 19 · covered	144.5			41 met · YALE 31 · COLU 10
Final	FDU	81	@ Saint Francis	71		SFPA -0.5			SFPA lost by 10 · not covered	150.5			44 met · SFPA 22 · FDU 22
Final	Sacred Heart	80	@ Le Moyne	73		SHU -1.5			SHU won by 7 · covered	145.5			Never met
Final	VA Lynchburg	73	@ Norfolk St	118	NORF Banker 95% ✓								1 met · NORF 1 · VUL 0
Final	American	66	@ Loyola MD	52	AMER Solid 64% ✓	AMER -4			AMER won by 14 · covered	136.5			24 met · L-MD 11 · AMER 13
Final	Chicago St	77	@ Stetson	70	STET Solid 81% ✗	STET -9.5			STET lost by 7 · not covered	137.5			1 met · STET 0 · CHST 1
Final	Notre Dame	59	@ Boston College	63	BC Solid 81% ✓	BC -9.5			BC won by 4 · not covered	135.5			24 met · BC 6 · ND 18
Final	Morehouse	72	@ Howard	78	HOW Banker 95% ✓								1 met · HOW 1 · MRHO 0
Final	Southern	81	@ Bethune	83	SOU Solid 66% ✗	SOU -4.5			SOU lost by 2 · not covered	147.5			4 met · BCU 2 · SOU 2
Final	LSU N Orleans	75	@ Nicholls	78	NICH Solid 66% ✓	NICH -4.5			NICH won by 3 · not covered	151.5			25 met · NICH 16 · NOLA 9
Final	Alabama A&M	55	vs Alabama St	72	ALST Solid 69% ✓	ALST -5.5			ALST won by 17 · covered	143.5	UNDER 143.5 · 51.8% (127) ✓		47 met · ALST 34 · AAMU 13
Final	Lamar	69	@ McNeese	88	MCN Solid 85% ✓	MCN -11.5			MCN won by 19 · covered	144.5			38 met · MCN 19 · LAM 19
Final	Grambling	65	@ Florida A&M	52		GRAM -2.5			GRAM won by 13 · covered	132.5			4 met · FAMU 2 · GRAM 2
Final	NC A&T	81	@ Hampton	80	HAMP Solid 62% ✗	HAMP -3.5			HAMP lost by 1 · not covered	150.5			28 met · HAMP 18 · NCAT 10