NCAA Predictor
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Saturday, January 13, 2024 133 games

Today: winner picks 73 of 94 right · line picks 4 of 13 right · total picks 1 of 1 right. Pick: who we think wins (Banker very likely, Solid likely). Line: the bookmaker's handicap. FLA -9.5 means Florida must win by 10 or more to cover. Prediction: our expected winning margin. Line pick: shown only where history shows an edge. Underdogs getting 12 to 17.5 points covered 53% of the time over the last 7 seasons; other lines are close to a coin flip, so no pick. Result: what happened against the line. Total pick: UNDER at neutral-site games (went under 51.8% over 7 seasons), OVER when the spread is 20+ (went over 52.3%). These are small edges, below the ~52.4% normally needed to profit. Model total: our computer's projected combined points (from each team's speed and points per possession) and its over/under call against the O/U line. Tested on 37,000 past games it was right about 50.4% of the time. Not betting advice.

Time / StatusAwayHomePickLinePredictionLine pickResultO/UTotal pickModel totalPrev. meetings
Final Morehead St 48 @ SIUE 61 MORE Solid 66% ✗ MORE -4.5 MORE lost by 13 · not covered 136.5 20 met · SIUE 5 · MORE 15
Final Ohio 79 @ W Michigan 81 OHIO Solid 66% ✗ OHIO -4.5 OHIO lost by 2 · not covered 153.5 29 met · WMU 11 · OHIO 18
Final 5Tennessee 85 @ Georgia 79 TENN Solid 78% ✓ TENN -8.5 TENN won by 6 · not covered 144.5 34 met · UGA 13 · TENN 21
Final Seton Hall 78 @ Butler 72 BTLR Solid 62% ✗ BTLR -3.5 BTLR lost by 6 · not covered 142.5 22 met · BTLR 10 · HALL 12
Final Northwestern 63 @ 15Wisconsin 71 WIS Solid 78% ✓ WIS -8.5 WIS won by 8 · not covered 131.5 35 met · WIS 26 · NU 9
Final Towson 59 @ Northeastern 67 NE -2.5 NE won by 8 · covered 128.5 35 met · NE 22 · TOW 13
Final NC State 89 @ Louisville 83 NCSU Solid 75% ✓ NCSU -7.5 NCSU won by 6 · not covered 147.5 10 met · LOU 6 · NCSU 4
Final Syracuse 67 @ 7North Carolina 103 UNC Solid 85% ✓ UNC -11.5 UNC won by 36 · covered 156.5 16 met · UNC 12 · SYR 4
Final VCU 71 @ La Salle 65 VCU Solid 72% ✓ VCU -6.5 VCU won by 6 · not covered 143.5 13 met · LAS 2 · VCU 11
Final UMBC 82 @ UMass Lowell 86 UML Banker 92% ✓ UML -15.5 UMBC +15.5 · covers 53% ✓ UML won by 4 · not covered 161.5 21 met · UML 13 · UMBC 8
Final N Kentucky 81 @ Detroit Mercy 76 NKU Solid 83% ✓ NKU -10.5 NKU won by 5 · not covered 137.5 17 met · DETM 4 · NKU 13
Final Wofford 72 @ The Citadel 71 CIT -0.5 CIT lost by 1 · not covered 143.5 44 met · CIT 9 · WOF 35
Final E Michigan 54 @ Miami OH 71 M-OH Solid 72% ✓ M-OH -6.5 M-OH won by 17 · covered 142.5 26 met · M-OH 16 · EMU 10
Final Stonehill 74 @ FDU 81 FDU Solid 72% ✓ FDU -6.5 FDU won by 7 · covered 154.5 2 met · FDU 1 · STO 1
Final Vanderbilt 56 @ Ole Miss 69 MISS Solid 83% ✓ MISS -10.5 MISS won by 13 · covered 144.5 26 met · MISS 10 · VAN 16
Final St John's 65 @ 22Creighton 66 CREI Solid 72% ✓ CREI -6.5 CREI won by 1 · not covered 152.5 20 met · CREI 15 · SJU 5
Final Stony Brook 63 @ William & Mary 59 STBK -1.5 STBK won by 4 · covered 139.5 2 met · W&M 1 · STBK 1
Final Presbyterian 60 @ Gardner-Webb 76 GWEB Solid 75% ✓ GWEB -7.5 GWEB won by 16 · covered 147.5 28 met · GWEB 21 · PRES 7
Final Hou Christian 69 @ East Texas A&M 65 ETAM Solid 81% ✗ ETAM -9.5 ETAM lost by 4 · not covered 146.5 2 met · ETAM 1 · HCU 1
Final NJIT 55 @ Vermont 76 UVM Banker 93% ✓ UVM -16.5 NJIT +16.5 · covers 53% ✗ UVM won by 21 · covered 137.5 12 met · UVM 11 · NJIT 1
Final Oakland 88 @ IU Indy 66 OAK Banker 87% ✓ OAK -12.5 IUIN +12.5 · covers 53% ✗ OAK won by 22 · covered 143.5 36 met · IUIN 15 · OAK 21
Final W Carolina 64 @ Mercer 52 WCU Solid 62% ✓ WCU -3.5 WCU won by 12 · covered 138.5 21 met · MER 10 · WCU 11
Final ETSU 73 @ Furman 82 FUR Solid 75% ✓ FUR -7.5 FUR won by 9 · covered 154.5 26 met · FUR 12 · ETSU 14
Final Kent State 62 @ C Michigan 77 KENT Solid 75% ✗ KENT -7.5 KENT lost by 15 · not covered 141.5 30 met · CMU 7 · KENT 23
Final Long Island 55 @ Sacred Heart 89 SHU Solid 78% ✓ SHU -8.5 SHU won by 34 · covered 150.0 39 met · SHU 17 · LIU 22
Final Merrimack 66 @ Le Moyne 62 MRMK Solid 62% ✓ MRMK -3.5 MRMK won by 4 · covered 136.5 Never met
Final UMass 77 @ Rhode Island 89 MASS Solid 61% ✗ MASS -3 MASS lost by 12 · not covered 152.0 44 met · URI 18 · MASS 26
Final Davidson 79 @ G Washington 83 GW -1.5 GW won by 4 · covered 147.5 12 met · GW 4 · DAV 8
Final 6Kentucky 92 @ Texas A&M 97 TA&M -2.5 TA&M won by 5 · covered 154.5 14 met · TA&M 3 · UK 11
Final 19San Diego St 70 @ New Mexico 88 UNM Solid 62% ✓ UNM -3.5 UNM won by 18 · covered 148.5 44 met · UNM 19 · SDSU 25
Final Navy 62 @ Lafayette 78 LAF -1 LAF won by 16 · covered 127.5 41 met · LAF 18 · NAVY 23
Final Xavier 85 @ Providence 65 PROV -2.5 PROV lost by 20 · not covered 143.5 21 met · PROV 10 · XAV 11
Final Hofstra 68 @ Campbell 69 HOF Banker 89% ✗ HOF -13.5 CAM +13.5 · covers 53% ✓ HOF lost by 1 · not covered 135.5 Never met
Final SC Upstate 70 @ Charleston So 77 UPST -1.5 UPST lost by 7 · not covered 137.5 12 met · CHSO 6 · UPST 6
Final Longwood 61 @ UNC Asheville 65 UNCA Solid 62% ✓ UNCA -3.5 UNCA won by 4 · covered 144.5 20 met · UNCA 15 · LONG 5
Final Radford 88 @ Winthrop 92 WIN Solid 66% ✓ WIN -4.5 WIN won by 4 · not covered 136.5 45 met · WIN 26 · RAD 19
Final Belmont 64 @ Indiana St 94 INST Banker 86% ✓ INST -12 BEL +12 · covers 53% ✗ INST won by 30 · covered 165.5 4 met · INST 2 · BEL 2
Final Bradley 77 @ UIC 59 BRAD Solid 66% ✓ BRAD -4.5 BRAD won by 18 · covered 136.5 9 met · UIC 2 · BRAD 7
Final 9Oklahoma 66 @ 3Kansas 78 KU Solid 72% ✓ KU -6.5 KU won by 12 · covered 141.5 35 met · KU 28 · OU 7
Final Virginia 47 @ Wake Forest 66 WAKE Solid 69% ✓ WAKE -5.5 WAKE won by 19 · covered 130.5 27 met · WAKE 12 · UVA 15
Final Penn State 78 @ 1Purdue 95 PUR Banker 95% ✓ PUR -18.5 PUR won by 17 · not covered 151.5 40 met · PUR 34 · PSU 6
Final Florida St 67 @ Notre Dame 58 FSU -1.5 FSU won by 9 · covered 136.5 15 met · ND 5 · FSU 10
Final Fordham 80 @ St Bonaventure 74 SBU Solid 83% ✗ SBU -10.5 SBU lost by 6 · not covered 141.5 33 met · SBU 21 · FOR 12
Final Seattle U 75 @ UT Arlington 80 UTA -2.5 UTA won by 5 · covered 140.5 4 met · UTA 1 · SEA 3
Final North Dakota 82 @ Kansas City 69 KC Solid 66% ✗ KC -4.5 KC lost by 13 · not covered 139.5 11 met · KC 7 · UND 4
Final S Dakota St 80 @ Denver 99 SDST Solid 62% ✗ SDST -3.5 SDST lost by 19 · not covered 163.5 26 met · DEN 5 · SDST 21
Final 20Utah State 87 @ UNLV 86 USU -1.5 USU won by 1 · not covered 143.5 18 met · UNLV 7 · USU 11
Final Boston College 78 @ 21Clemson 89 CLEM Solid 85% ✓ CLEM -11.5 CLEM won by 11 · not covered 146.5 27 met · CLEM 18 · BC 9
Final Louisiana 84 @ Arkansas St 77 ARST -1.5 ARST lost by 7 · not covered 152.5 40 met · ARST 15 · UL 25
Final Old Dominion 75 @ Coastal 79 ODU -1.5 ODU lost by 4 · not covered 151.5 3 met · CCU 1 · ODU 2
Final Texas St 67 @ UL Monroe 54 TXST Solid 62% ✓ TXST -3.5 TXST won by 13 · covered 130.5 30 met · ULM 11 · TXST 19
Final Colgate 84 @ Bucknell 73 COLG Solid 75% ✓ COLG -7.5 COLG won by 11 · covered 135.5 45 met · BUCK 28 · COLG 17
Final South Carolina 71 @ Missouri 69 MIZ -2.5 MIZ lost by 2 · not covered 138.5 16 met · MIZ 9 · SC 7
Final Fullerton 71 @ CSU Northridge 76 CSUN Solid 62% ✓ CSUN -3.5 CSUN won by 5 · covered 144.5 48 met · CSUN 18 · CSUF 30
Final Grambling 79 @ Bethune 69 BCU -1.5 BCU lost by 10 · not covered 138.5 6 met · BCU 2 · GRAM 4
Final Lamar 78 @ Nicholls 76 NICH -2.5 NICH lost by 2 · not covered 151.5 31 met · NICH 15 · LAM 16
Final Incarnate Word 71 @ N'Western St 97 UIW -2.5 UIW lost by 26 · not covered 145.5 15 met · NWST 12 · UIW 3
Final Binghamton 75 @ UAlbany 95 UALB Solid 62% ✓ UALB -3.5 UALB won by 20 · covered 155.5 41 met · UALB 26 · BING 15
Final App State 59 @ James Madison 55 JMU Solid 72% ✗ JMU -6.5 JMU lost by 4 · not covered 147.5 8 met · JMU 3 · APP 5
Final South Alabama 91 @ Marshall 85 MRSH Solid 66% ✗ MRSH -4.5 MRSH lost by 6 · not covered 152.5 Never met
Final SE Missouri 59 @ Tennessee Tech 70 TNTC Solid 72% ✓ TNTC -6.5 TNTC won by 11 · covered 145.5 36 met · TNTC 25 · SEMO 11
Final Bowling Green 83 @ N Illinois 72 BGSU -1.5 BGSU won by 11 · covered 151.5 30 met · NIU 10 · BGSU 20
Final C Connecticut 75 @ Saint Francis 61 CCSU Solid 69% ✓ CCSU -5.5 CCSU won by 14 · covered 137.5 39 met · SFPA 22 · CCSU 17
Final Loyola Chicago 78 @ Saint Joseph's 75 JOES Solid 72% ✗ JOES -6.5 JOES lost by 3 · not covered 144.5 6 met · JOES 5 · LUC 1
Final Arkansas 68 @ Florida 90 FLA Solid 75% ✓ FLA -7.5 FLA won by 22 · covered 163.5 29 met · FLA 22 · ARK 7
Final Army 60 @ American 79 AMER Solid 72% ✓ AMER -6.5 AMER won by 19 · covered 128.5 47 met · AMER 30 · ARMY 17
Final Southern 74 @ Florida A&M 65 SOU Solid 72% ✓ SOU -6.5 SOU won by 9 · covered 140.5 9 met · FAMU 1 · SOU 8
Final Fresno St 67 @ Wyoming 68 WYO -2.5 WYO won by 1 · not covered 137.5 22 met · WYO 9 · FRES 13
Final SMU 75 @ East Carolina 64 SMU Solid 66% ✓ SMU -4.5 SMU won by 11 · covered 136.5 25 met · ECU 6 · SMU 19
Final Kansas St 59 @ Texas Tech 60 TTU Solid 72% ✓ TTU -6.5 TTU won by 1 · not covered 137.5 35 met · TTU 18 · KSU 17
Final 18BYU 63 @ UCF 58 BYU Solid 69% ✓ BYU -5.5 BYU won by 5 · not covered 146.5 Never met
Final MD Eastern 61 @ Howard 72 HOW Solid 85% ✓ HOW -11.5 HOW won by 11 · not covered 144.5 40 met · HOW 25 · UMES 15
Final Bellarmine 57 @ C Arkansas 59 BELL -2.5 BELL lost by 2 · not covered 143.5 3 met · CARK 0 · BELL 3
Final W Illinois 63 @ E Illinois 60 EIU -0.5 EIU lost by 3 · not covered 128.5 24 met · EIU 13 · WIU 11
Final Lindenwood 60 @ Tennessee St 75 TNST Solid 81% ✓ TNST -9.5 TNST won by 15 · covered 144.5 2 met · TNST 2 · LIN 0
Final Little Rock 72 @ UT Martin 77 UTM -2.5 UTM won by 5 · covered 172.5 4 met · UTM 1 · LR 3
Final Monmouth 83 @ Charleston 94 COFC Solid 85% ✓ COFC -11.5 COFC won by 11 · not covered 150.5 1 met · COFC 1 · MONM 0
Final Bakersfield 71 @ UC Davis 78 UCD Solid 83% ✓ UCD -10.5 UCD won by 7 · not covered 136.5 6 met · UCD 6 · CSUB 0
Final Jax State 69 @ Western KY 80 WKU Solid 69% ✓ WKU -5.5 WKU won by 11 · covered 139.5 1 met · WKU 1 · JXST 0
Final Austin Peay 77 @ Lipscomb 91 LIP Solid 72% ✓ LIP -6.5 LIP won by 14 · covered 140.5 11 met · LIP 10 · APSU 1
Final SE Louisiana 65 @ McNeese 74 MCN Solid 85% ✓ MCN -11.5 MCN won by 9 · not covered 132.5 44 met · MCN 16 · SELA 28
Final Texas A&M-CC 80 @ LSU N Orleans 83 AMCC Solid 62% ✗ AMCC -3.5 AMCC lost by 3 · not covered 151.5 22 met · NOLA 12 · AMCC 10
Final GA Southern 62 @ Georgia St 90 GAST Solid 75% ✓ GAST -7.5 GAST won by 28 · covered 149.5 25 met · GAST 16 · GASO 9
Final Southern Miss 56 @ Troy 82 TROY Solid 66% ✓ TROY -4.5 TROY won by 26 · covered 150.5 7 met · TROY 1 · USM 6
Final Boston U 60 @ Loyola MD 58 BU -1.5 BU won by 2 · covered 132.5 23 met · L-MD 7 · BU 16
Final Holy Cross 69 @ Lehigh 66 LEH Solid 81% ✗ LEH -9.5 LEH lost by 3 · not covered 148.5 46 met · LEH 22 · HC 24
Final Alcorn St 53 @ Alabama St 55 ALST Solid 62% ✓ ALST -3.5 ALST won by 2 · not covered 146.5 42 met · ALST 22 · ALCN 20
Final Georgia Tech 79 @ 11Duke 84 DUKE Banker 94% ✓ DUKE -17.5 GT +17.5 · covers 53% ✓ DUKE won by 5 · not covered 146.5 33 met · DUKE 28 · GT 5
Final UTEP 68 @ FIU 72 FIU -1.5 FIU won by 4 · covered 144.5 16 met · FIU 2 · UTEP 14
Final Sam Houston 60 @ MTSU 51 SHSU -1.5 SHSU won by 9 · covered 132.5 Never met
Final Jackson St 75 @ Alabama A&M 67 JKST Solid 69% ✓ JKST -5.5 JKST won by 8 · covered 150.5 40 met · AAMU 13 · JKST 27
Final VMI 96 @ Samford 134 SAM Banker 98% ✓ SAM -23.5 SAM won by 38 · covered 162.5 OVER 162.5 · 52.3% (230) ✓ 21 met · SAM 16 · VMI 5
Final George Mason 70 @ Richmond 77 RICH -2.5 RICH won by 7 · covered 131.5 21 met · RICH 7 · GMU 14
Final LSU 78 @ 16Auburn 93 AUB Banker 89% ✓ AUB -13.5 LSU +13.5 · covers 53% ✗ AUB won by 15 · covered 152.5 35 met · AUB 19 · LSU 16
Final Temple 51 @ North Texas 69 UNT Solid 83% ✓ UNT -10.5 UNT won by 18 · covered 127.5 Never met
Final AR-Pine Bluff 70 @ Texas Southern 67 TXSO Solid 75% ✗ TXSO -7.5 TXSO lost by 3 · not covered 152.5 45 met · TXSO 32 · UAPB 13
Final 2Houston 67 @ TCU 68 HOU Solid 62% ✗ HOU -3.5 HOU lost by 1 · not covered 137.5 10 met · TCU 5 · HOU 5
Final 25Texas 73 @ West Virginia 76 TEX Solid 72% ✗ TEX -6.5 TEX lost by 3 · not covered 146.5 26 met · WVU 9 · TEX 17
Final 8Arizona 70 @ Washington St 73 ARIZ Solid 81% ✗ ARIZ -9.5 ARIZ lost by 3 · not covered 152.5 37 met · WSU 8 · ARIZ 29
Final Miss Valley St 60 @ Prairie View 71 PV Banker 91% ✓ PV -14.5 MVSU +14.5 · covers 53% ✓ PV won by 11 · not covered 125.5 45 met · PV 25 · MVSU 20
Final E Washington 79 @ Idaho 58 EWU Solid 72% ✓ EWU -6.5 EWU won by 21 · covered 147.5 31 met · IDHO 13 · EWU 18
Final Weber St 66 @ Portland St 69 WEB Solid 69% ✗ WEB -5.5 WEB lost by 3 · not covered 143.5 46 met · PRST 13 · WEB 33
Final Bryant 89 @ New Hampshire 74 UNH -1.5 UNH lost by 15 · not covered 163.5 13 met · UNH 5 · BRY 8
Final UNC Greensboro 70 @ Chattanooga 54 UTC -1.5 UTC lost by 16 · not covered 141.5 44 met · UTC 22 · UNCG 22
Final Ball State 72 @ Toledo 77 TOL Solid 85% ✓ TOL -11.5 TOL won by 5 · not covered 150.5 43 met · TOL 22 · BALL 21
Final Saint Mary's 73 @ Santa Clara 49 SMC Solid 72% ✓ SMC -6.5 SMC won by 24 · covered 134.5 47 met · SCU 13 · SMC 34
Final Drexel 89 @ Elon 69 DREX Solid 78% ✓ DREX -8.5 DREX won by 20 · covered 138.5 19 met · ELON 8 · DREX 11
Final Missouri St 74 @ Evansville 64 MOST Solid 66% ✓ MOST -4.5 MOST won by 10 · covered 142.5 48 met · EVAN 18 · MOST 30
Final Miami 75 @ Virginia Tech 71 VT -1.5 VT lost by 4 · not covered 154.5 43 met · VT 19 · MIA 24
Final Utah Valley 68 @ UT Rio Grande 76 UVU Solid 62% ✗ UVU -3.5 UVU lost by 8 · not covered 148.5 34 met · RGV 4 · UVU 30
Final N Colorado 81 @ Montana St 90 UNCO -1.5 UNCO lost by 9 · not covered 153.5 38 met · MTST 21 · UNCO 17
Final Abilene Chrstn 53 @ CA Baptist 68 CBU Solid 69% ✓ CBU -5.5 CBU won by 15 · covered 141.5 3 met · CBU 1 · ACU 2
Final Tarleton St 48 @ Grand Canyon 74 GCU Banker 89% ✓ GCU -13.5 TAR +13.5 · covers 53% ✗ GCU won by 26 · covered 139.5 4 met · GCU 3 · TAR 1
Final St Thomas 87 @ Oral Roberts 76 ORU -2.5 ORU lost by 11 · not covered 144.5 5 met · ORU 5 · STMN 0
Final N Dakota St 92 @ Omaha 96 OMA -1.5 OMA won by 4 · covered 143.5 24 met · OMA 5 · NDSU 19
Final Drake 76 @ S Illinois 58 DRKE -1.5 DRKE won by 18 · covered 136.5 46 met · SIU 23 · DRKE 23
Final Charlotte 66 @ UTSA 58 CLT Solid 66% ✓ CLT -4.5 CLT won by 8 · covered 145.5 11 met · UTSA 5 · CLT 6
Final Cincinnati 59 @ 14Baylor 62 BAY Solid 72% ✓ BAY -6.5 BAY won by 3 · not covered 148.5 Never met
Final California 73 @ Oregon 80 ORE Solid 78% ✓ ORE -8.5 ORE won by 7 · not covered 147.5 42 met · ORE 20 · CAL 22
Final E Kentucky 81 @ North Alabama 72 EKU -2.5 EKU won by 9 · covered 147.5 4 met · UNA 2 · EKU 2
Final Oklahoma St 42 @ Iowa State 66 ISU Banker 87% ✓ ISU -12.5 OKST +12.5 · covers 53% ✗ ISU won by 24 · covered 135.5 38 met · ISU 17 · OKST 21
Final SF Austin 84 @ Southern Utah 82 SFA Solid 72% ✓ SFA -6.5 SFA won by 2 · not covered 156.5 1 met · SUU 1 · SFA 0
Final Alabama 82 @ Mississippi St 74 MSST -1.5 MSST lost by 8 · not covered 153.5 44 met · MSST 15 · ALA 29
Final Idaho St 64 @ Sacramento St 66 SAC -1.5 SAC won by 2 · covered 131.5 41 met · SAC 22 · IDST 19
Final N Arizona 47 @ Montana 90 MONT Banker 89% ✓ MONT -13.5 NAU +13.5 · covers 53% ✗ MONT won by 43 · covered 145.5 45 met · MONT 28 · NAU 17
Final Pacific 64 @ LMU 81 LMU Banker 91% ✓ LMU -14.5 PAC +14.5 · covers 53% ✗ LMU won by 17 · covered 144.5 23 met · LMU 13 · PAC 10
Final San José St 70 @ Air Force 67 AF -1.5 AF lost by 3 · not covered 132.5 21 met · AF 13 · SJSU 8
Final Long Beach St 76 @ Santa Barbara 85 UCSB -1.5 UCSB won by 9 · covered 156.5 46 met · UCSB 22 · LBSU 24
Final UC San Diego 86 @ Cal Poly 61 UCSD Solid 85% ✓ UCSD -11.5 UCSD won by 25 · covered 132.5 4 met · CP 3 · UCSD 1
Final Portland 69 @ San Francisco 96 SF Banker 93% ✓ SF -16.5 PORT +16.5 · covers 53% ✗ SF won by 27 · covered 143.5 44 met · SF 34 · PORT 10
Final Pepperdine 83 @ San Diego 77 USD -0.5 USD lost by 6 · not covered 151.5 50 met · USD 29 · PEPP 21
Final USC 58 @ Colorado 68 COLO Solid 85% ✓ COLO -11.5 COLO won by 10 · not covered 150.5 21 met · COLO 14 · USC 7
Final UC Riverside 56 @ Hawai'i 63 HAW Solid 72% ✓ HAW -6.5 HAW won by 7 · covered 136.0 25 met · HAW 14 · UCR 11