Sunday, January 5, 2025 27 games

Today: winner picks 15 of 17 right · line picks 1 of 1 right. Pick: who we think wins (Banker very likely, Solid likely). Line: the bookmaker's handicap. FLA -9.5 means Florida must win by 10 or more to cover. Prediction: our expected winning margin. Line pick: shown only where history shows an edge. Underdogs getting 12 to 17.5 points covered 53% of the time over the last 7 seasons; other lines are close to a coin flip, so no pick. Result: what happened against the line. Total pick: UNDER at neutral-site games (went under 51.8% over 7 seasons), OVER when the spread is 20+ (went over 52.3%). These are small edges, below the ~52.4% normally needed to profit. Model total: our computer's projected combined points and its over/under call against the O/U line. Tested on 38,000 past games it was right about 50% of the time. Not betting advice.

Time / Status	Away		Home		Pick	Line	Prediction	Line pick	Result	O/U	Total pick	Model total	Prev. meetings
Final	Indiana	77	@ Penn State	71	PSU Solid 75% ✗	PSU -7.5			PSU lost by 6 · not covered	156.5			40 met · PSU 16 · IU 24
Final	C Connecticut	62	@ Mercyhurst	50	CCSU Solid 78% ✓	CCSU -8.5			CCSU won by 12 · covered	129.5			Never met
Final	FDU	71	@ Wagner	59		WAG -2.5			WAG lost by 12 · not covered	131.5			47 met · WAG 25 · FDU 22
Final	Lehigh	74	@ Loyola MD	80		L-MD -2.5			L-MD won by 6 · covered	143.5			23 met · L-MD 11 · LEH 12
Final	Army	63	@ Boston U	71	BU Solid 66% ✓	BU -4.5			BU won by 8 · covered	132.5			26 met · BU 13 · ARMY 13
Final	FAU	78	@ East Carolina	76		FAU -2.5			FAU won by 2 · not covered	150.5			4 met · ECU 1 · FAU 3
Final	Canisius	82	@ Sacred Heart	99	SHU Solid 83% ✓	SHU -10.5			SHU won by 17 · covered	145.5			Never met
Final	Quinnipiac	62	@ Marist	69		MRST -1.5			MRST won by 7 · covered	137.5			25 met · MRST 9 · QUIN 16
Final	Niagara	62	@ Mount St Marys	68	MSM Solid 66% ✓	MSM -4.5			MSM won by 6 · covered	136.5			6 met · MSM 2 · NIA 4
Final	Manhattan	80	@ Rider	79		RID -1.5			RID lost by 1 · not covered	143.5			46 met · RID 30 · MAN 16
Final	Iona	74	@ Siena	73		SIE -2.5			SIE lost by 1 · not covered	135.5			49 met · SIE 23 · IONA 26
Final	Providence	84	@ 11UConn	87	CONN Banker 91% ✓	CONN -14.5		PROV +14.5 · covers 53% ✓	CONN won by 3 · not covered	136.5			22 met · CONN 12 · PROV 10
Final	Chicago St	39	@ Long Island	53	LIU Solid 75% ✓	LIU -7.5			LIU won by 14 · covered	138.5			Never met
Final	Northwestern	61	@ 20Purdue	79	PUR Solid 72% ✓	PUR -6.5			PUR won by 18 · covered	138.5			35 met · PUR 23 · NU 12
Final	PSU Schuylkill	71	@ Cornell	123	COR Banker 95% ✓								Never met
Final	J&W	57	@ Brown	98	BRWN Banker 95% ✓								6 met · BRWN 6 · JWU 0
Final	Bowdoin	65	@ Harvard	71									Never met
Final	Colgate	60	@ Bucknell	66		BUCK -2.5			BUCK won by 6 · covered	135.5			48 met · BUCK 28 · COLG 20
Final	Holy Cross	64	@ American	75	AMER Solid 72% ✓	AMER -6.5			AMER won by 11 · covered	137.5			48 met · AMER 28 · HC 20
Final	Lafayette	70	@ Navy	71		NAVY -2.5			NAVY won by 1 · not covered	138.5			43 met · NAVY 24 · LAF 19
Final	Stonehill	64	@ Saint Francis	60		STO -1.5			STO won by 4 · covered	140.5			4 met · SFPA 2 · STO 2
Final	Murray St	66	@ Drake	59	DRKE Solid 81% ✗	DRKE -9.5			DRKE lost by 7 · not covered	125.5			6 met · DRKE 5 · MUR 1
Final	Maryland	79	@ 9Oregon	83	ORE Solid 66% ✓	ORE -4.5			ORE won by 4 · not covered	150.5			Never met
Final	22Illinois	81	@ Washington	77	ILL Solid 72% ✓	ILL -6.5			ILL won by 4 · not covered	154.5			1 met · WASH 1 · ILL 0
Final	S Illinois	54	@ Illinois St	85	ILST Solid 75% ✓	ILST -7.5			ILST won by 31 · covered	140.5			48 met · ILST 20 · SIU 28
Final	7Kansas	99	@ UCF	48	KU Solid 66% ✓	KU -4.5			KU won by 51 · covered	149.5			1 met · UCF 1 · KU 0
Final	North Texas	64	@ 21Memphis	68	MEM Solid 75% ✓	MEM -7.5			MEM won by 4 · not covered	136.5			2 met · MEM 1 · UNT 1