Monday, December 23, 2024 9 games
Today: winner picks 4 of 6 right · total picks 2 of 4 right. Pick: who we think wins (Banker very likely, Solid likely). Line: the bookmaker's handicap. FLA -9.5 means Florida must win by 10 or more to cover. Prediction: our expected winning margin. Line pick: shown only where history shows an edge. Underdogs getting 12 to 17.5 points covered 53% of the time over the last 7 seasons; other lines are close to a coin flip, so no pick. Result: what happened against the line. Total pick: UNDER at neutral-site games (went under 51.8% over 7 seasons), OVER when the spread is 20+ (went over 52.3%). These are small edges, below the ~52.4% normally needed to profit. Model total: our computer's projected combined points and its over/under call against the O/U line. Tested on 38,000 past games it was right about 50% of the time. Not betting advice.
| Time / Status | Away | Home | Pick | Line | Prediction | Line pick | Result | O/U | Total pick | Model total | Prev. meetings | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Final | PSU Scranton | 30 | @  Wagner
|
120 | Never met | ||||||||
| Final | Aquinas | 62 | @  Bowling Green
|
87 | Never met | ||||||||
| Final |  Charleston
|
77 | vs  Loyola Chicago
|
68 | LUC -1.5 | LUC lost by 9 · not covered | 147.5 | UNDER 147.5 · 51.8% (145) ✓ | Never met | ||||
| Final |  MTSU
|
64 | @  1Tennessee
|
82 | TENN Banker 98% ✓ | TENN -26.5 | TENN won by 18 · not covered | 145.5 | OVER 145.5 · 52.3% (146) ✓ | 6 met · TENN 5 · MTSU 1 | |||
| Final |  Bakersfield
|
60 | @  N Dakota St
|
94 | NDSU Solid 81% ✓ | NDSU -9.5 | NDSU won by 34 · covered | 138.5 | 1 met · NDSU 0 · CSUB 1 | ||||
| Final |  Oregon St
|
80 | vs  Oakland
|
74 | ORST Solid 81% ✓ | ORST -9.5 | ORST won by 6 · not covered | 130.5 | UNDER 130.5 · 51.8% (154) ✗ | Never met | |||
| Final |  Seattle U
|
79 | @  Washington
|
70 | WASH Solid 85% ✗ | WASH -11.5 | WASH lost by 9 · not covered | 144.5 | 16 met · WASH 16 · SEA 0 | ||||
| Final |  Nebraska
|
69 | @  Hawai'i
|
55 | NEB Solid 78% ✓ | NEB -8.5 | NEB won by 14 · covered | 140.5 | 3 met · HAW 3 · NEB 0 | ||||
| Final |  Murray St
|
90 | vs  Charlotte
|
94 | MUR Solid 69% ✗ | MUR -5.5 | MUR lost by 4 · not covered | 140.5 | UNDER 140.5 · 51.8% (184) ✗ | Never met |