Sunday, December 22, 2024 48 games

Today: winner picks 37 of 42 right · line picks 1 of 7 right · total picks 7 of 17 right. Pick: who we think wins (Banker very likely, Solid likely). Line: the bookmaker's handicap. FLA -9.5 means Florida must win by 10 or more to cover. Prediction: our expected winning margin. Line pick: shown only where history shows an edge. Underdogs getting 12 to 17.5 points covered 53% of the time over the last 7 seasons; other lines are close to a coin flip, so no pick. Result: what happened against the line. Total pick: UNDER at neutral-site games (went under 51.8% over 7 seasons), OVER when the spread is 20+ (went over 52.3%). These are small edges, below the ~52.4% normally needed to profit. Model total: our computer's projected combined points and its over/under call against the O/U line. Tested on 38,000 past games it was right about 50% of the time. Not betting advice.

Time / Status	Away		Home		Pick	Line	Prediction	Line pick	Result	O/U	Total pick	Model total	Prev. meetings
Final	UVA Wise	62	@ G Washington	102									Never met
Final	Illinois St	80	@ Cornell	77	COR Solid 69% ✗	COR -5.5			COR lost by 3 · not covered	157.5			Never met
Final	Midway	60	@ Cleveland St	116									Never met
Final	Iona	79	@ Colgate	73	COLG Solid 62% ✗	COLG -3.5			COLG lost by 6 · not covered	137.5			1 met · COLG 0 · IONA 1
Final	Illinois	80	vs Missouri	77	ILL Solid 62% ✓	ILL -3.5			ILL won by 3 · not covered	156.5	UNDER 156.5 · 51.8% (157) ✗		22 met · MIZ 8 · ILL 14
Final	Morgan St	72	@ 3Iowa State	99	ISU Banker 98% ✓	ISU -42.5			ISU won by 27 · not covered	159.5	OVER 159.5 · 52.3% (171) ✓		Never met
Final	Purdue FW	58	@ 24Michigan	89	MICH Banker 97% ✓	MICH -20.5			MICH won by 31 · covered	160.5	OVER 160.5 · 52.3% (147) ✗		1 met · MICH 1 · PFW 0
Final	Kent State	54	@ 6Alabama	81	ALA Banker 97% ✓	ALA -20.5			ALA won by 27 · covered	153.5	OVER 153.5 · 52.3% (135) ✗		Never met
Final	Sacred Heart	76	@ Miami OH	94	M-OH Solid 75% ✓	M-OH -7.5			M-OH won by 18 · covered	147.5			Never met
Final	Binghamton	78	@ Army	68	ARMY Solid 62% ✗	ARMY -3.5			ARMY lost by 10 · not covered	139.5			10 met · ARMY 7 · BING 3
Final	C Arkansas	66	@ 14Oklahoma	89	OU Banker 98% ✓	OU -26.5			OU won by 23 · not covered	148.5	OVER 148.5 · 52.3% (155) ✓		4 met · OU 4 · CARK 0
Final	Bryant	65	@ Towson	70	TOW Solid 66% ✓	TOW -4.5			TOW won by 5 · covered	146.5			2 met · TOW 0 · BRY 2
Final	New Hampshire	83	@ Stonehill	90	STO Solid 78% ✓	STO -8.5			STO won by 7 · not covered	135.5			1 met · STO 0 · UNH 1
Final	Florida Tech	62	@ FGCU	79	FGCU Banker 95% ✓								4 met · FGCU 4 · FIT 0
Final	William & Mary	70	@ VCU	90	VCU Banker 93% ✓	VCU -16.5		W&M +16.5 · covers 53% ✗	VCU won by 20 · covered	155.5			22 met · VCU 19 · W&M 3
Final	American	58	@ Virginia	63	UVA Banker 87% ✓	UVA -12.5		AMER +12.5 · covers 53% ✓	UVA won by 5 · not covered	119.5			1 met · UVA 1 · AMER 0
Final	Montana St	48	@ TCU	82	TCU Solid 83% ✓	TCU -10.5			TCU won by 34 · covered	138.5			Never met
Final	Mercyhurst	46	@ West Virginia	67	WVU Banker 98% ✓	WVU -31.5			WVU won by 21 · not covered	135.5	OVER 135.5 · 52.3% (113) ✗		Never met
Final	Ft Lauderdale	77	@ Stetson	103									Never met
Final	Radford	48	@ South Carolina	74	SC Banker 89% ✓	SC -13.5		RAD +13.5 · covers 53% ✗	SC won by 26 · covered	137.5			2 met · SC 2 · RAD 0
Final	Detroit Mercy	53	@ Wisconsin	76	WIS Banker 98% ✓	WIS -28.5			WIS won by 23 · not covered	147.5	OVER 147.5 · 52.3% (129) ✗		1 met · WIS 1 · DETM 0
Final	Penn	53	@ George Mason	85	GMU Banker 92% ✓	GMU -15.5		PENN +15.5 · covers 53% ✗	GMU won by 32 · covered	137.5			5 met · GMU 4 · PENN 1
Final	Santa Barbara	56	@ Missouri St	68		MOST -0.5			MOST won by 12 · covered	137.5			Never met
Final	Calumet	57	@ Valparaiso	107	VAL Banker 95% ✓								1 met · VAL 1 · CSJ 0
Final	Brown	53	@ 8Kansas	87	KU Banker 98% ✓	KU -24.5			KU won by 34 · covered	145.5	OVER 145.5 · 52.3% (140) ✗		Never met
Final	LSU N Orleans	70	@ LSU	86	LSU Banker 98% ✓	LSU -26.5			LSU won by 16 · not covered	152.5	OVER 152.5 · 52.3% (156) ✓		7 met · LSU 7 · NOLA 0
Final	N Central (IL)	57	@ Milwaukee	92									Never met
Final	Hou Christian	46	@ North Texas	62	UNT Banker 98% ✓	UNT -23.5			UNT won by 16 · not covered	128.5	OVER 128.5 · 52.3% (108) ✗		3 met · UNT 3 · HCU 0
Final	Oregon St	74	vs Charleston	65	ORST Solid 72% ✓	ORST -6.5			ORST won by 9 · covered	140.5	UNDER 140.5 · 51.8% (139) ✓		Never met
Final	Oral Roberts	74	@ Oklahoma St	86	OKST Banker 96% ✓	OKST -19.5			OKST won by 12 · not covered	153.5			6 met · OKST 5 · ORU 1
Final	McNeese	64	@ Louisiana	56	MCN Solid 85% ✓	MCN -11.5			MCN won by 8 · not covered	140.5			22 met · UL 14 · MCN 8
Final	Alcorn St	74	@ UAB	91	UAB Banker 97% ✓	UAB -21.5			UAB won by 17 · not covered	149.5	OVER 149.5 · 52.3% (165) ✓		4 met · UAB 4 · ALCN 0
Final	Prairie View	46	@ Rice	64	RICE Banker 89% ✓	RICE -13.5		PV +13.5 · covers 53% ✗	RICE won by 18 · covered	155.5			5 met · RICE 5 · PV 0
Final	Charleston So	65	@ Georgia	81	UGA Banker 98% ✓	UGA -28.5			UGA won by 16 · not covered	146.5	OVER 146.5 · 52.3% (146) ✗		3 met · UGA 3 · CHSO 0
Final	Rider	63	@ NC State	89	NCSU Banker 94% ✓	NCSU -17.5		RID +17.5 · covers 53% ✗	NCSU won by 26 · covered	133.5			2 met · NCSU 2 · RID 0
Final	Grambling	49	@ 19Cincinnati	84	CIN Banker 98% ✓	CIN -29.5			CIN won by 35 · covered	136.5	OVER 136.5 · 52.3% (133) ✗		Never met
Final	Saint Louis	72	@ Grand Canyon	73	GCU Solid 81% ✓	GCU -9.5			GCU won by 1 · not covered	155.5			Never met
Final	Stanislaus St	47	@ Sacramento St	98	SAC Banker 95% ✓								1 met · SAC 1 · CSUS 0
Final	Southern	51	@ USC	82	USC Banker 92% ✓	USC -15.5		SOU +15.5 · covers 53% ✗	USC won by 31 · covered	144.5			1 met · USC 1 · SOU 0
Final	La Sierra	57	@ Long Beach St	83	LBSU Banker 95% ✓								Never met
Final	Loyola Chicago	71	vs Oakland	72	LUC Solid 72% ✗	LUC -6.5			LUC lost by 1 · not covered	133.5	UNDER 133.5 · 51.8% (143) ✗		Never met
Final	Wyoming	73	@ Fullerton	69	WYO Solid 66% ✓	WYO -4.5			WYO won by 4 · not covered	130.5			2 met · CSUF 1 · WYO 1
Final	Le Moyne	62	@ Notre Dame	91	ND Banker 97% ✓	ND -20.5			ND won by 29 · covered	143.5	OVER 143.5 · 52.3% (153) ✓		Never met
Final	North Alabama	69	@ LMU	85	LMU Solid 72% ✓	LMU -6.5			LMU won by 16 · covered	144.5			Never met
Final	Georgetown	61	@ Seton Hall	60		GTWN -1.5			GTWN won by 1 · not covered	129.5			37 met · HALL 24 · GTWN 13
Final	Utah State	75	@ Saint Mary's	68	SMC Solid 69% ✗	SMC -5.5			SMC lost by 7 · not covered	143.5			7 met · SMC 5 · USU 2
Final	Nebraska	66	vs Murray St	49	NEB Solid 75% ✓	NEB -7.5			NEB won by 17 · covered	145.5	UNDER 145.5 · 51.8% (115) ✓		Never met
Final	Charlotte	61	@ Hawai'i	78	HAW Solid 72% ✓	HAW -6.5			HAW won by 17 · covered	137.5			Never met