Wednesday, November 13, 2024 55 games

Today: winner picks 32 of 40 right · line picks 6 of 11 right · total picks 4 of 13 right. Pick: who we think wins (Banker very likely, Solid likely). Line: the bookmaker's handicap. FLA -9.5 means Florida must win by 10 or more to cover. Prediction: our expected winning margin. Line pick: shown only where history shows an edge. Underdogs getting 12 to 17.5 points covered 53% of the time over the last 7 seasons; other lines are close to a coin flip, so no pick. Result: what happened against the line. Total pick: UNDER at neutral-site games (went under 51.8% over 7 seasons), OVER when the spread is 20+ (went over 52.3%). These are small edges, below the ~52.4% normally needed to profit. Model total: our computer's projected combined points (from each team's speed and points per possession) and its over/under call against the O/U line. Tested on 37,000 past games it was right about 50.4% of the time. Not betting advice.

Time / Status	Away		Home		Pick	Line	Prediction	Line pick	Result	O/U	Total pick	Model total	Prev. meetings
Final	UAlbany	87	@ Dartmouth	73	DART Solid 66% ✗	DART -4.5			DART lost by 14 · not covered	150.5			7 met · DART 2 · UALB 5
Final	Louisiana Tech	76	vs UMass	66		LT -1.5			LT won by 10 · covered	143.5	UNDER 143.5 · 51.8% (142) ✓		Never met
Final	Wagner	45	@ 22St John's	66	SJU Banker 98% ✓	SJU -25.5			SJU won by 21 · not covered	142.5	OVER 142.5 · 52.3% (111) ✗		6 met · SJU 6 · WAG 0
Final	S Indiana	71	@ Bellarmine	69	BELL Solid 66% ✗	BELL -4.5			BELL lost by 2 · not covered	139.5			Never met
Final	Bryan	59	@ Kennesaw St	94									Never met
Final	Merrimack	42	@ VCU	63	VCU Banker 91% ✓	VCU -14.5		MRMK +14.5 · covers 53% ✗	VCU won by 21 · covered	133.5			Never met
Final	SC Upstate	80	@ Wake Forest	85	WAKE Banker 98% ✓	WAKE -29.5			WAKE won by 5 · not covered	152.5	OVER 152.5 · 52.3% (165) ✓		2 met · WAKE 2 · UPST 0
Final	Canisius	52	@ Mercyhurst	62		CAN -1.5			CAN lost by 10 · not covered	140.5			Never met
Final	Montana	57	@ 11Tennessee	92	TENN Banker 98% ✓	TENN -25.5			TENN won by 35 · covered	141.5	OVER 141.5 · 52.3% (149) ✓		Never met
Final	Le Moyne	49	@ 3UConn	90	CONN Banker 98% ✓	CONN -37.5			CONN won by 41 · covered	150.5	OVER 150.5 · 52.3% (139) ✗		Never met
Final	Milwaukee	62	@ Longwood	76	LONG Solid 62% ✓	LONG -3.5			LONG won by 14 · covered	154.5			1 met · LONG 1 · MILW 0
Final	C Michigan	70	@ George Mason	69	GMU Banker 89% ✗	GMU -13.5		CMU +13.5 · covers 53% ✓	GMU lost by 1 · not covered	138.5			1 met · GMU 0 · CMU 1
Final	Ball State	69	@ Dayton	77	DAY Banker 92% ✓	DAY -15.5		BALL +15.5 · covers 53% ✓	DAY won by 8 · not covered	144.5			3 met · DAY 3 · BALL 0
Final	Richmond	48	@ Charlotte	65		CLT -1.5			CLT won by 17 · covered	141.5			18 met · CLT 6 · RICH 12
Final	St Bonaventure	74	@ FGCU	65		SBU -2.5			SBU won by 9 · covered	135.5			1 met · FGCU 1 · SBU 0
Final	Wofford	68	@ Presbyterian	71	WOF Solid 66% ✗	WOF -4.5			WOF lost by 3 · not covered	145.5			4 met · PRES 0 · WOF 4
Final	Tusculum	54	@ ETSU	82	ETSU Banker 95% ✓								4 met · ETSU 4 · TUSC 0
Final	Wright St	77	@ Toledo	86	TOL Solid 72% ✓	TOL -6.5			TOL won by 9 · covered	161.5			11 met · TOL 5 · WRST 6
Final	Harvard	56	@ Northeastern	78		NE -2.5			NE won by 22 · covered	142.5			14 met · NE 7 · HARV 7
Final	Emerson	46	@ Yale	100									Never met
Final	Mount St Marys	93	@ Bucknell	89	BUCK Solid 69% ✗	BUCK -5.5			BUCK lost by 4 · not covered	144.5			4 met · BUCK 1 · MSM 3
Final	Coastal	70	@ NC State	82	NCSU Banker 94% ✓	NCSU -17.5		CCU +17.5 · covers 53% ✓	NCSU won by 12 · not covered	138.5			Never met
Final	Georgia St	67	@ Jax State	72	JXST Solid 69% ✓	JXST -5.5			JXST won by 5 · not covered	140.5			4 met · JXST 3 · GAST 1
Final	Newberry	40	@ Campbell	83	CAM Banker 95% ✓								1 met · CAM 1 · NBRY 0
Final	Tennessee St	84	vs Howard	88		HOW -2.5			HOW won by 4 · covered	148.5	UNDER 148.5 · 51.8% (172) ✗		Never met
Final	Truett McCnnll	64	@ W Carolina	99									Never met
Final	Trinity Co Jax	43	@ Mercer	101									Never met
Final	Randall	49	@ C Arkansas	108									Never met
Final	Southern	68	@ East Texas A&M	70	SOU Solid 62% ✗	SOU -3.5			SOU lost by 2 · not covered	147.5			Never met
Final	Evansville	63	@ MTSU	80	MTSU Solid 83% ✓	MTSU -10.5			MTSU won by 17 · covered	144.5			3 met · MTSU 2 · EVAN 1
Final	Crowley Ridge	38	@ SE Missouri	93									Never met
Final	Louisiana	45	@ 8Houston	91	HOU Banker 98% ✓	HOU -31.5			HOU won by 46 · covered	139.5	OVER 139.5 · 52.3% (136) ✗		6 met · HOU 3 · UL 3
Final	FDU	60	@ Nebraska	86	NEB Banker 98% ✓	NEB -27.5			NEB won by 26 · not covered	158.5	OVER 158.5 · 52.3% (146) ✗		1 met · NEB 1 · FDU 0
Final	Kent State	56	@ 5Auburn	79	AUB Banker 98% ✓	AUB -22.5			AUB won by 23 · covered	148.5	OVER 148.5 · 52.3% (135) ✗		Never met
Final	North Texas	54	@ Minnesota	51		MINN -2.5			MINN lost by 3 · not covered	129.5			Never met
Final	Seton Hall	48	vs Hofstra	49	HALL Solid 66% ✗	HALL -4.5			HALL lost by 1 · not covered	137.5	UNDER 137.5 · 51.8% (97) ✓		Never met
Final	Wyoming	49	@ Texas Tech	96	TTU Banker 95% ✓	TTU -18.5			TTU won by 47 · covered	145.5			1 met · TTU 0 · WYO 1
Final	California	69	@ Vanderbilt	85	VAN Solid 75% ✓	VAN -7.5			VAN won by 16 · covered	156.5			Never met
Final	Fisk	69	@ Alabama A&M	103	AAMU Banker 95% ✓								1 met · AAMU 1 · FISK 0
Final	Oral Roberts	76	@ Tulsa	85	TLSA Solid 81% ✓	TLSA -9.5			TLSA won by 9 · not covered	151.5			20 met · TLSA 10 · ORU 10
Final	Troy	49	@ 18Arkansas	65	ARK Banker 87% ✓	ARK -12.5		TROY +12.5 · covers 53% ✗	ARK won by 16 · covered	153.5			5 met · ARK 4 · TROY 1
Final	Green Bay	87	@ W Illinois	73		WIU -1.5			WIU lost by 14 · not covered	143.5			3 met · WIU 1 · GB 2
Final	Queens	55	@ BYU	99	BYU Banker 98% ✓	BYU -31.5			BYU won by 44 · covered	158.5	OVER 158.5 · 52.3% (154) ✗		Never met
Final	Fullerton	53	@ Colorado	83	COLO Banker 91% ✓	COLO -14.5		CSUF +14.5 · covers 53% ✗	COLO won by 30 · covered	136.5			Never met
Final	Oakland	54	@ Illinois	66	ILL Banker 98% ✓	ILL -23.5			ILL won by 12 · not covered	150.5	OVER 150.5 · 52.3% (120) ✗		4 met · ILL 4 · OAK 0
Final	Hou Christian	43	@ 14Creighton	78	CREI Banker 98% ✓	CREI -35.5			CREI won by 35 · not covered	153.5	OVER 153.5 · 52.3% (121) ✗		3 met · CREI 3 · HCU 0
Final	Westminster UT	53	@ Utah State	117	USU Banker 95% ✓								1 met · USU 1 · WUUT 0
Final	Bethesda	59	@ Utah Tech	90	UTU Banker 95% ✓								3 met · UTU 3 · BTHS 0
Final	Long Beach St	54	@ San Francisco	84	SF Banker 92% ✓	SF -15.5		LBSU +15.5 · covers 53% ✗	SF won by 30 · covered	144.5			4 met · SF 2 · LBSU 2
Final	Weber St	58	@ Nevada	88	NEV Banker 94% ✓	NEV -17.5		WEB +17.5 · covers 53% ✗	NEV won by 30 · covered	137.5			4 met · NEV 2 · WEB 2
Final	Fresno St	86	@ Santa Barbara	91	UCSB Banker 87% ✓	UCSB -12.5		FRES +12.5 · covers 53% ✓	UCSB won by 5 · not covered	151.5			6 met · UCSB 5 · FRES 1
Final	N Dakota St	88	@ Santa Clara	80	SCU Banker 92% ✗	SCU -15.5		NDSU +15.5 · covers 53% ✓	SCU lost by 8 · not covered	153.5			1 met · SCU 0 · NDSU 1
Final	Nobel	50	@ CSU Northridge	98									Never met
Final	Seattle Pac	62	@ Washington	77	WASH Banker 95% ✓								1 met · WASH 1 · SEAP 0
Final	UT Arlington	95	@ USC	98	USC Banker 93% ✓	USC -16.5		UTA +16.5 · covers 53% ✓	USC won by 3 · not covered	154.5			Never met