Friday, February 16, 2024 15 games

Today: winner picks 11 of 13 right · line picks 2 of 2 right. Pick: who we think wins (Banker very likely, Solid likely). Line: the bookmaker's handicap. FLA -9.5 means Florida must win by 10 or more to cover. Prediction: our expected winning margin. Line pick: shown only where history shows an edge. Underdogs getting 12 to 17.5 points covered 53% of the time over the last 7 seasons; other lines are close to a coin flip, so no pick. Result: what happened against the line. Total pick: UNDER at neutral-site games (went under 51.8% over 7 seasons), OVER when the spread is 20+ (went over 52.3%). These are small edges, below the ~52.4% normally needed to profit. Model total: our computer's projected combined points (from each team's speed and points per possession) and its over/under call against the O/U line. Tested on 37,000 past games it was right about 50.4% of the time. Not betting advice.

Time / Status	Away		Home		Pick	Line	Prediction	Line pick	Result	O/U	Total pick	Model total	Prev. meetings
Final	Harvard	62	@ Cornell	75	COR Solid 81% ✓	COR -9.5			COR won by 13 · covered	160.5			42 met · COR 17 · HARV 25
Final	North Florida	82	@ Kennesaw St	81	KENN Solid 62% ✗	KENN -3.5			KENN lost by 1 · not covered	163.5			37 met · KENN 12 · UNF 25
Final	Jacksonville	65	@ Queens	74		QUC -2.5			QUC won by 9 · covered	151.5			2 met · QUC 0 · JAX 2
Final	Brown	63	@ Princeton	72	PRIN Banker 89% ✓	PRIN -13.5		BRWN +13.5 · covers 53% ✓	PRIN won by 9 · not covered	141.5			41 met · PRIN 25 · BRWN 16
Final	Yale	76	@ Penn	62	YALE Solid 69% ✓	YALE -5.5			YALE won by 14 · covered	138.5			43 met · PENN 21 · YALE 22
Final	Dartmouth	63	@ Columbia	73	COLU Solid 81% ✓	COLU -9.5			COLU won by 10 · covered	133.5			40 met · COLU 20 · DART 20
Final	Canisius	55	@ Marist	78	MRST Solid 69% ✓	MRST -5.5			MRST won by 23 · covered	135.5			49 met · MRST 20 · CAN 29
Final	Niagara	65	@ Fairfield	63	FAIR Solid 72% ✗	FAIR -6.5			FAIR lost by 2 · not covered	146.5			46 met · FAIR 22 · NIA 24
Final	Manhattan	63	@ Iona	73	IONA Banker 89% ✓	IONA -13.5		MAN +13.5 · covers 53% ✓	IONA won by 10 · not covered	145.5			46 met · IONA 29 · MAN 17
Final	Mount St Marys	57	@ Rider	61		MSM -1.5			MSM lost by 4 · not covered	145.5			3 met · RID 2 · MSM 1
Final	Siena	53	@ Saint Peter's	75	SPU Solid 81% ✓	SPU -9.5			SPU won by 22 · covered	127.5			44 met · SPU 22 · SIE 22
Final	VCU	95	@ Saint Louis	85	VCU Solid 69% ✓	VCU -5.5			VCU won by 10 · covered	146.5			20 met · SLU 5 · VCU 15
Final	Villanova	70	@ Georgetown	54	VILL Solid 83% ✓	VILL -10.5			VILL won by 16 · covered	140.5			39 met · GTWN 13 · VILL 26
Final	Ohio	83	@ Toledo	85	TOL Solid 69% ✓	TOL -5.5			TOL won by 2 · not covered	160.5			30 met · TOL 17 · OHIO 13
Final	New Mexico	70	@ San Diego St	81	SDSU Solid 72% ✓	SDSU -6.5			SDSU won by 11 · covered	150.5			45 met · SDSU 25 · UNM 20