Sunday, February 11, 2024 11 games
Today: winner picks 10 of 11 right. Pick: who we think wins (Banker very likely, Solid likely). Line: the bookmaker's handicap. FLA -9.5 means Florida must win by 10 or more to cover. Prediction: our expected winning margin. Line pick: shown only where history shows an edge. Underdogs getting 12 to 17.5 points covered 53% of the time over the last 7 seasons; other lines are close to a coin flip, so no pick. Result: what happened against the line. Total pick: UNDER at neutral-site games (went under 51.8% over 7 seasons), OVER when the spread is 20+ (went over 52.3%). These are small edges, below the ~52.4% normally needed to profit. Model total: our computer's projected combined points (from each team's speed and points per possession) and its over/under call against the O/U line. Tested on 37,000 past games it was right about 50.4% of the time. Not betting advice.
| Time / Status | Away | Home | Pick | Line | Prediction | Line pick | Result | O/U | Total pick | Model total | Prev. meetings | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Final |  Seton Hall
|
54 | @  Villanova
|
80 | VILL Solid 72% ✓ | VILL -6.5 | VILL won by 26 · covered | 131.5 | 37 met · VILL 29 · HALL 8 | ||||
| Final |  20FAU
|
95 | @  Wichita St
|
82 | FAU Solid 75% ✓ | FAU -7.5 | FAU won by 13 · covered | 149.5 | 1 met · WICH 0 · FAU 1 | ||||
| Final |  Penn State
|
63 | @  Northwestern
|
68 | NU Solid 75% ✓ | NU -7.5 | NU won by 5 · not covered | 148.5 | 38 met · NU 14 · PSU 24 | ||||
| Final |  Rhode Island
|
79 | @  UMass
|
81 | MASS Solid 85% ✓ | MASS -11.5 | MASS won by 2 · not covered | 152.5 | 45 met · MASS 26 · URI 19 | ||||
| Final |  Tulane
|
78 | @  Memphis
|
90 | MEM Solid 78% ✓ | MEM -8.5 | MEM won by 12 · covered | 166.5 | 39 met · MEM 33 · TULN 6 | ||||
| Final |  North Texas
|
68 | @  SMU
|
71 | SMU Solid 72% ✓ | SMU -6.5 | SMU won by 3 · not covered | 124.5 | 2 met · SMU 1 · UNT 1 | ||||
| Final |  Charlotte
|
73 | @  Temple
|
70 | CLT Solid 72% ✓ | CLT -6.5 | CLT won by 3 · not covered | 132.5 | 12 met · TEM 8 · CLT 4 | ||||
| Final |  UAB
|
70 | @  Tulsa
|
63 | UAB Solid 62% ✓ | UAB -3.5 | UAB won by 7 · covered | 153.5 | 11 met · TLSA 4 · UAB 7 | ||||
| Final |  Minnesota
|
85 | @  Iowa
|
90 | IOWA Solid 75% ✓ | IOWA -7.5 | IOWA won by 5 · not covered | 154.5 | 37 met · IOWA 21 · MINN 16 | ||||
| Final |  Bowling Green
|
60 | @  Louisiana
|
86 | UL Solid 75% ✓ | UL -7.5 | UL won by 26 · covered | 151.5 | Never met | ||||
| Final |  Northern Iowa
|
65 | @  UIC
|
71 | UNI Solid 62% ✗ | UNI -3.5 | UNI lost by 6 · not covered | 139.5 | 5 met · UIC 2 · UNI 3 |