Wednesday, December 25, 2024 4 games
Today: winner picks 3 of 3 right · total picks 0 of 3 right. Pick: who we think wins (Banker very likely, Solid likely). Line: the bookmaker's handicap. FLA -9.5 means Florida must win by 10 or more to cover. Prediction: our expected winning margin. Line pick: shown only where history shows an edge. Underdogs getting 12 to 17.5 points covered 53% of the time over the last 7 seasons; other lines are close to a coin flip, so no pick. Result: what happened against the line. Total pick: UNDER at neutral-site games (went under 51.8% over 7 seasons), OVER when the spread is 20+ (went over 52.3%). These are small edges, below the ~52.4% normally needed to profit. Model total: our computer's projected combined points and its over/under call against the O/U line. Tested on 38,000 past games it was right about 50% of the time. Not betting advice.
| Time / Status | Away | Home | Pick | Line | Prediction | Line pick | Result | O/U | Total pick | Model total | Prev. meetings | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Final |  Loyola Chicago
|
68 | vs  Murray St
|
71 | LUC -2.5 | LUC lost by 3 · not covered | 137.5 | UNDER 137.5 · 51.8% (139) ✗ | Never met | ||||
| Final |  Charleston
|
84 | vs  Charlotte
|
81 | COFC Solid 69% ✓ | COFC -5.5 | COFC won by 3 · not covered | 148.5 | UNDER 148.5 · 51.8% (165) ✗ | 4 met · CLT 1 · COFC 3 | |||
| Final |  Oakland
|
70 | @  Hawai'i
|
73 | HAW Solid 62% ✓ | HAW -3.5 | HAW won by 3 · not covered | 132.5 | Never met | ||||
| Final |  Oregon St
|
66 | vs  Nebraska
|
78 | NEB Solid 69% ✓ | NEB -5.5 | NEB won by 12 · covered | 137.5 | UNDER 137.5 · 51.8% (144) ✗ | 3 met · NEB 2 · ORST 1 |