Tuesday, April 2, 2024 2 games
Today: winner picks 2 of 2 right · total picks 0 of 2 right. Pick: who we think wins (Banker very likely, Solid likely). Line: the bookmaker's handicap. FLA -9.5 means Florida must win by 10 or more to cover. Prediction: our expected winning margin. Line pick: shown only where history shows an edge. Underdogs getting 12 to 17.5 points covered 53% of the time over the last 7 seasons; other lines are close to a coin flip, so no pick. Result: what happened against the line. Total pick: UNDER at neutral-site games (went under 51.8% over 7 seasons), OVER when the spread is 20+ (went over 52.3%). These are small edges, below the ~52.4% normally needed to profit. Model total: our computer's projected combined points (from each team's speed and points per possession) and its over/under call against the O/U line. Tested on 37,000 past games it was right about 50.4% of the time. Not betting advice.
| Time / Status | Away | Home | Pick | Line | Prediction | Line pick | Result | O/U | Total pick | Model total | Prev. meetings | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Final |  Utah
|
90 | vs  Indiana St
|
100 | INST Solid 66% ✓ | INST -4.5 | INST won by 10 · covered | 161.5 | UNDER 161.5 · 51.8% (190) ✗ | Never met | |||
| Final |  Georgia
|
67 | vs  Seton Hall
|
84 | HALL Solid 66% ✓ | HALL -4.5 | HALL won by 17 · covered | 145.5 | UNDER 145.5 · 51.8% (151) ✗ | 2 met · HALL 1 · UGA 1 |